The Bulwark Podcast XX
[0] Hello and welcome to the Bullwark podcast.
[1] I'm Tim Miller.
[2] I am here with the great Susan Glasser staff writer at the New Yorker, also co -author of The Divider, a history of Donald Trump in the White House, which she co -wrote with her husband, Peter Baker.
[3] Her latest, I listened to Trump's rambling, unhinged, the tuperative Georgia rally, and so should you.
[4] Hey, Susan.
[5] Thanks for doing this.
[6] Hey, there.
[7] Great to be with you.
[8] I have to tell you, I was at my brother's bachelor party this weekend.
[9] I was a little hung over on Sunday morning and I was scrolling through the Sunday show clips, and I saw you going ham on this week panel, and I was like, we have to get Susan.
[10] We have to get Susan to talk about this.
[11] And the context, I believe, was the bloodbath gate.
[12] And, you know, there's some back and forth on the panel about whether the media should be focused more on Trump's tariff policies or whether, I think, your view was that maybe the actual most important thing are the threats to democracy and the threats of violence.
[13] So, you know, talk about how you see that and what the media's role in all this should be.
[14] Yeah, well, to be clear, Tim, you know, my point was actually, I wasn't talking about bloodbath.
[15] I was talking about, in a broad sense, Trump's challenges right now to the basic kind of pillars of democracy and how paradoxically impossible it seems to be for people to focus on it because it comes out and is spewed forth in this series of two hour long Saturday evening rambling rallies.
[16] And this was another great case and point.
[17] And people want to reduce it.
[18] I understand the impulse, right?
[19] You know, obviously it would be a terrible homework to inflict upon people to require them to watch Donald Trump for two hours every Saturday.
[20] I'm not recommending that.
[21] But in fact, once again, we see how the need to reduce it to a news cycle plays very much into Trump's favor.
[22] And so, you know, the entire performance, once again, in that Ohio rally, very comparable to the Georgia rally of the week before that I wrote about in which our need to reduce it to one.
[23] Well, he said bloodbath and it meant bloodbath for the country and violence or it meant a bloodbath for the auto industry.
[24] What a ridiculous kind of non -story.
[25] And so I was trying to make the broader point.
[26] And one of the panelists, who's, you know, very smart, very reason, not at all a fan of Donald Trump, but a Republican Sarah Isker says, well, no, he really was talking about the auto industry and tariffs.
[27] And I said, you know, I'm sorry, but I've been hearing this for eight years.
[28] years.
[29] No, he's not talking about tariffs.
[30] That's not the reason why millions of Americans are supporting Donald Trump.
[31] And if you listen to what he's campaigning on, it's not some policy platform to differentiate himself from Democrats or from President Biden.
[32] It is the most authoritarian, dystopic vision of a really, an anti -democratic system that you could imagine.
[33] I'm happy to complain about the Donald Trump tariffs, by the way, and I don't really love that Joe Biden kept him, you know, so we can talk about tariff policy, but that's not what's bringing the clicks.
[34] That's not what's bringing the click.
[35] That's not what's bringing people to the rally.
[36] I agree with that.
[37] Just one more thing on the bloodbath and then I want to talk about Georgia is, this is why I resonated so much with your comments was it isn't like this old school politics, right, where it's about the gaff, right, where somebody said something that revealed something accidentally true and we're going to really focus on Mitt Romney saying biders full of women or 47.
[38] It's not that.
[39] It's that this person when he last lost an election, actually, did spar a bloody riot at the Capitol.
[40] And so when he's talking about bloodbath in the context of these long speeches, where he's also talking about election denialism and all of that, it comes in that context, right?
[41] It is not, nobody would get upset if Bill Cassidy running for Senate talked about how it would be a blood bath for the auto industry if Joe Biden won, right?
[42] Because it's not within the context of what his career has been about what he's talking about and about his message at these rallies.
[43] Isn't that kind of what the point you're trying to get across?
[44] Yeah.
[45] I mean, that's an important point as well, is that this is not a theoretical threat of violence from Trump and his supporters, but an actual one.
[46] And once again, what you have is many Republicans, even those who don't particularly love Trump, they say, well, don't really pay attention to what he says.
[47] You know, his rhetoric is just overblown.
[48] It doesn't matter.
[49] It's really that Americans are upset at being left behind.
[50] And he is so authentic in delivering this.
[51] message of that, you know, enough, enough, right?
[52] The capacity to justify even the violent attack on the Capitol.
[53] And that was the other point I made because, in fact, the Republican chairman of the House Intelligence Committee was on ABC this week earlier, giving an interview in which he was talking about the bill to ban TikTok, which was something that he had supported and promoted.
[54] And he was asked about how January 6 has become not just another grievance, for Donald Trump, but has become core to his campaign.
[55] And this is someone who clearly is not a big fan of that, but even the most mainstream Republicans at this point refuse to forthrightly condemn in explicit and clear terms because their leader, Donald Trump, has decided that the January 6 criminals, and they have been arrested, tried, and convicted as criminals for storming our own capital, that they're not criminals, but hostages, martyrs, victims.
[56] Trump began the Ohio rally as he began the Georgia rally as he is now beginning all his rallies with pledges not only to pardon these January 6 hostages, but singing of the January 6 choir from these arrested people, talking in elaborate and even grotesque terms.
[57] It's a direct challenge, the rule of law.
[58] And you can't even get a Republican who claims not to like Donald Trump to say in very explicit in forthright terms, this is wrong.
[59] We hear oftentimes like, oh, Donald Trump has serious advisors now and he's running a more serious campaign.
[60] And I guess that's true.
[61] They're not so serious that they've been able to stop him from beginning his rallies with a salute to the January 6 criminals, right?
[62] And I think that is something that you observed.
[63] And so like when you watch the Georgia rally, I sense of the context of this is that, you know, everybody sees the clips.
[64] You know, we see little snippets, you know, looking at it as a complete event.
[65] a two -hour package?
[66] Like, what was your biggest takeaway?
[67] Was that, like, just the unabashed tributes to the January 6th rioters, the biggest thing that you noticed, or what else struck you?
[68] No, actually, it wasn't.
[69] In part because the January 6th thing has been happening.
[70] It's another example of the sort of slowly boiling frog phenomenon of Donald Trump.
[71] He dips his toe in the water more than a year ago.
[72] It was in December of 2022.
[73] In fact, when he first started floating, the idea.
[74] idea of the pardons for the January 6 people, and he gets more and more extreme.
[75] And I would argue that now we're seeing a whole spade of news stories about January 6 and Trump and how it's at the heart of his campaign.
[76] If people were more focused on these rallies and on what he's actually saying over the last year, they would have caught onto this phenomenon a lot sooner.
[77] But many people pointed it out over the last year and a half, but I don't think it broke through.
[78] So that's one example.
[79] But to me, it was actually the new edifice of kind of lies and untruths about Biden and his record and his personal malfeasance that I think people have not fully paid attention to.
[80] It's not just the name calling about Crooked Joe, Sleepy Joe, blah, blah, blah, Joe.
[81] It's a whole vision of the country that makes American carnage look positively upbeat.
[82] in contrast.
[83] He basically directly accuses Biden of unleashing gangs of marauding criminal murderers let loose in the country and says that Biden is directly responsible for murder.
[84] Things that had any presidential candidate of any party at any point in our lifetime said these things.
[85] Obviously, there would have been days and days worth of headlines about that.
[86] Yeah.
[87] I mean, a couple of them that you mentioned here, 50 % inflation under Biden.
[88] Migrants are being let loose for prison in order to murder and steal jobs from native -born Americans.
[89] Everything Joe Biden touches turns to shit, everything.
[90] That's his slogan now, Tim.
[91] Everything Joe Biden touches turns to shit.
[92] That's something that you would have heard out of George H .W. Bush's mouth.
[93] I don't think.
[94] Doomsday will come if Biden is reelected.
[95] I do think that that is like what you're getting at is important because it's like this stuff washes over people, right?
[96] And it is, it's this asymmetry that Trump has benefited from.
[97] from day one, you know, as somebody that used to be in charge of having to do these things, like if I was Communications Director of Jeb Bush, and we had come out and said that, oh, whatever, Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton would lead to 50 % inflation.
[98] You know, we would have had to deal with a spate of fact checks, and every reporter at our next gaggle would have just asked him to, you know, to support that what the facts are.
[99] And we would have bungled it for a few days.
[100] Eventually, you would have apologized, right?
[101] Like, that's what happens to, normal candidates, but this sort of stuff doesn't even get noticed, right?
[102] And I guess that does tie into the bloodbath, like kind of drama, right?
[103] Is that he just advances this whole river of lies and, you know, this picture of the country that is so bleak and dark that is not based in any fact.
[104] And yet, how do you deal with that?
[105] Like, what is the right way for the media to, and maybe the Biden campaign to address, like, just all that intense amount of lies and deceptions in a single speech.
[106] Yeah, I mean, that is the dilemma, unfortunately, of our times, because I do think Trump's kind of taking it into individual clips has become kind of the background noise of our times.
[107] And it's very hard to, or conversely, there's also the permanent outrage machine that is generated by those clips.
[108] And in a weird way, then you have a status quo where both sides can generate a certain amount of anger, heat, excitement in their respective basis.
[109] And so I've noticed since the bloodbath controversy that both Biden and Trump are fundraising off of it.
[110] And so in a horrible way, there's a codependency around this.
[111] Donald Trump has turned it into the bloodbath hoax, you know, and he is now literally sending fundraising emails off of it.
[112] Meanwhile, Biden's campaign newly, I would say, more aggressive since we've moved into the official general election phase of this endless race between the two of them, they cut an immediate, you know, kind of quicky social media ad with those comments and said, here, we'll give you the context.
[113] And they put it in the context of Charlottesville and both sides and January 6 and things like that.
[114] So, you know, they're both get some advantage off the outrage.
[115] And of course, we are all the collective losers there.
[116] But I, I, I, I, don't like the clip phenomenon because I think it just keeps us in a state of permanent agitation without really wrestling and coming to terms with the scale and enormity of the problem posed by Trump.
[117] And I don't have easy answers.
[118] We're eight years into this.
[119] And obviously, if somebody had a brilliant idea for how to cover this phenomenon, if somebody had a brilliant idea for how to counter it, it would have emerged by now.
[120] Yeah.
[121] I do think watching the whole two hours is important.
[122] important because it's just so weird.
[123] You say it's homework, but it is, so maybe it shouldn't be homework for liberal listeners to this podcast resistance folks, but it is my homework for the quasi -normal Republicans, my former friends.
[124] And I think that a lot of times, I'm joking the green, we were on a, we're on a panel last year where I was on with you and Carl Rove and Mike Murphy and, you know, Murphy does hacks on tap and it's very clear I had about this.
[125] But Roe in that crowd, I think, live in a world that is very the Wall Street Journal Ed Board they hang out with rich friends that don't like this part of the Trump and they sometimes see some of the clips when it pops up in their feed, but they don't really live it.
[126] And I do say to my friends in that world oftentimes that I'm like, I think you're protecting yourself from the craziness a little bit and that it is a good homework assignment to go to a Trump rally or to actually listen.
[127] And Trump people will say this too.
[128] You should go to Trump rally and see that Trump people are great.
[129] It's like, well, you know, there are some genuinely nice Trump people, but I think that most of the establishment Republican world, somehow they've managed to protect themselves from seeing the reality of what is happening in the base.
[130] I don't know.
[131] Tim, that is such an important point.
[132] Thank you for saying that.
[133] I think that is an important point.
[134] And in some ways, it's what motivated my column the other day.
[135] You know, I did read a piece that Rove wrote a column he wrote in the Wall Street Journal.
[136] I say he is no fan of Donald Trump.
[137] He has made that clear for the whole time.
[138] He is also absolutely not, you know, I don't mean to single him out in any way.
[139] Because he is completely, you know, consistent with what we're seeing of the kind of anti -Trump Republicans.
[140] They focus on their policy differences with Democrats.
[141] They kind of avert their gaze from the unseemliness or they pedal, you know, essentially don't listen to what he says.
[142] Just look at what his administration will do.
[143] At any rate, Rose column was about Biden's State of the Union address, which had taken place just a few days before Trump's Georgia rally.
[144] And in that address, Biden, it was a very, I thought, partisan address.
[145] It was effective to a certain extent at shoring up uncertain, wavering Democrats who weren't looking for proof of Biden's ability to vigorously prosecute the campaign against Trump.
[146] And in the course of that, he made 13 references to Trump, not by name, only calling him my predecessor.
[147] This was seen as a big break with tradition.
[148] And, you know, there was much tutting about it in the Republican, you know, kind of commentary on, including in this column where Roe said that Biden lowered himself essentially and that he had sort of demeaned the presidency by lowering himself to, you know, criticize Trump.
[149] And it wasn't, you know, worthy of him in the state of the union address.
[150] And then you have to two.
[151] days later, the Washington Post counted more than five dozen references to Biden in Trump's nearly two -hour Georgia rally.
[152] And I thought, well, wow, what if we had covered these two things side by side?
[153] What if this column in the Wall Street Journal, which was written after the Georgia rally, had made mention, he's criticizing 13 references to Donald Trump and says nothing about five dozen of the most grotesque.
[154] That's the thing.
[155] You know, it is outside.
[156] any bounds of acceptable political rhetoric in a democracy to call your opponent a criminal, a crook, a killer, an idiot, you know, I mean, every kind of nasty one word in the English language.
[157] I agree.
[158] And I want Carl to come on this podcast for us to continue hashing it out.
[159] So I don't think it's not a personal thing.
[160] I think he's representative of a class of folks.
[161] And this is something that I disagree with him on, but maybe a couple other things we agree on.
[162] certainly with the gross of Trump.
[163] And just one other note, I feel like I have to mention the Biden State of the Union was certainly anti -Trump.
[164] And it was partisan, I guess.
[165] He quoted Reagan, and he was pretty nice to Nicky Haley and the NATO folks.
[166] So it was partisan in the sense of his current political interests, right?
[167] And I guess that's my one more thing that I want to move on to Russia and some other topics.
[168] But the question for the Biden campaign, so when you were talking about how it's just getting noticed right now, you can sense the trend about, all of this January 6th, apology isn't even the right word, kind of promotion, frankly, of Trump.
[169] And I think part of it's related to the fact that the Biden campaign has been calling him out on it, right?
[170] And there is, I think, in a sense among reporters that's like, oh, okay, right now if Trump's getting criticized from this, then this is a trend and now we have to cover it.
[171] And I hate to, like, put the onus on the Biden campaign.
[172] But I do wonder, you know, what your kind of thought about that is because I hear your point about how it's kind of like funded and fundraising on Bloodbath.
[173] only exacerbates the problem of this click -bate kind of coverage.
[174] But on the other hand, aren't they responding to what the media incentives are, right?
[175] Like the more that they highlight random Trump craziness, the more the media will talk about it again?
[176] I don't know.
[177] What do you think?
[178] I think you're right about that.
[179] And by the way, it's not a criticism, at least on my part, it's an observation that this is the dynamic in our politics now.
[180] And certainly what we are seeing and hearing from the Biden campaign is a much more explicit joining of the battle with Trump right now.
[181] There was clearly a decision, okay, the state of the union and going forward now that they both locked up their respective parties' nominations, this is a new phase of the campaign, and we're seeing a new set of responses to that by the Biden campaign.
[182] I can't say whether it's more effective or less effective.
[183] I think it's now the reality that we're living in.
[184] And as always, you are right to, you know, you understand the dynamics, I think, of how these, you know, the kind of news cycle works where the White House or it surrogates talking more about Trump or confronting him day in and day out in ways creates it back into a news cycle in a way that it hasn't been.
[185] And that was one of the things that was I found very eerie about the earlier parts of the Biden presidency is that there was all this kind of endless hand -wringing, remember, oh, well, you know, now that Biden is in office and Trump is gone, we don't, you know, we shouldn't cover him.
[186] We shouldn't platform him.
[187] We're not going to put him on the front page anymore.
[188] We're not going to write about him.
[189] He's done.
[190] And my point was, it doesn't matter if the New York Times puts him on the front page.
[191] He still got his constituency.
[192] He's still, in effect, the de facto leader, the Republican Party.
[193] Now he's simply addressing his supporters without us listening in on it.
[194] And, you know, that that was a whole set of debates that to me missed the point.
[195] And I think it's why many people were very surprised to discover that Donald Trump was going to steamroll over the Republican field and, you know, once again, take the nomination.
[196] I don't think that was a surprise to anybody who had been kind of watching and paying attention to more right -meaning news outlets and what Trump was actually doing for the first couple of years that Biden was in office.
[197] But you get a sort of endless debates among ourselves, some of which aren't necessarily all that relevant to how politics is going to play out.
[198] I would be energetically snapping in agreement if I was a New York Times staffer to that.
[199] Okay, a few other Trump news items.
[200] Donald Trump's efforts to secure a bond to cover the $454 million judgment in the New York civil fraud case has been rejected by 30 companies, as lawyers said on Monday, and stringing him closer to the possibility that he could have his properties seized by New York.
[201] I'm wondering your thoughts on that story, but I'm particularly, interested in your thoughts on the national security implications of this.
[202] I mean, I do think that having a guy running for president that's struggling to pay his bonds and is getting national security and is getting secret service detail and is getting national security briefings, this is uncharted territory.
[203] And I think that there should be some national security concerns, but I'm interested in any thoughts you have on that.
[204] Yeah, I mean, look, of course, it's a good point.
[205] You know, Donald Trump has always intertwined for him, you know, the business and the politics are, there's no dividing line.
[206] There's no separation line.
[207] One of the most extraordinary aspects of his presidency that people somehow, you know, mostly just kind of moved on from was his refusal to disentangle himself fully and to obey the conflict of interest provisions that apply to every other official of the United States government except for the president.
[208] And, you know, so you had this remarkable, bizarre aspect of him owning a hotel in the, you know, blocks away from the White House that was used by foreign governments seeking to curry favor with him.
[209] You know, I know people like Congressman Jamie Raskin always very exercised over the Constitution's emoluments clause, which seems to explicitly prohibit behavior like that for exactly the kind of national security reasons that you're talking about.
[210] It didn't go anywhere in terms of a legal challenge, but I think the broad point certainly applies.
[211] And, you know, just the other day, terrific reporting in the New York Times about, his son -in -law, Jared Kushner, seeking to, with, along with Rick Cornell, who has been tagged by many as a potential very senior diplomatic or national security official in a future Trump administration, working on major real estate projects in the Balkans with officials who obviously would be very eager to curry favor with a future President Trump, especially one who is potentially enormously indebted and seeking to pay off hundreds of millions of dollars and fines and judgments against him.
[212] Yes, and another example of an intertwining business interests.
[213] I guess this one isn't Trump's business interest, but from Trump officials with the campaign, we had Paul Manafort.
[214] I want to read a very good sentence by somebody that you know.
[215] Trump may bring in convicted tax cheat and fraudster Paul Manafort, who made a fortune working for pro -Kremlin interest to help run his convention, which your husband in the New York Times.
[216] I mean, again, I feel like every question of asking, every item on this podcast, it would be like, this would have been a week -long front -page news story if it was any other politician in our lifetimes.
[217] But talk about the Manafort element of this.
[218] Yeah, I know.
[219] To anybody who really cares about the rule of law, this is like, you know, do your deep breathing because it's hard to know where to start in this conversation.
[220] The Manafort thing, really talk about a gut punch to people who care about the rule of law.
[221] I mean, this guy was flagrantly influenced peddling in the most shameless sense of the word as an outgrowth of the Mueller investigation.
[222] He was arrested, tried, convicted, served time.
[223] You know, this is amazing for Donald Trump to say he wants to bring him back.
[224] And remember that it was Manafort, who was a key conduit of information from the 2016 campaign, actually passing secret internal detailed polling information to Constantine Kalimnik identified by American officials as a Russian intelligence contact and what was Manfred doing in the 2016 campaign when the guy who is desperate for money and he also was indebted in a very problematic way to a series of problematic foreign actors offering to work for Donald Trump for free.
[225] We all understand that, you know, if you are doing something for free, then perhaps you're the product, right?
[226] You're the thing being sold.
[227] And I found that to be just a gut punch and a real reminder of the stakes involved in Trump 2024.
[228] This is another thing that's kind of been memory holds, right?
[229] Because of all the controversy around the Mueller report, but there was a bipartisan Republican -led Senate intelligence report that identified Bannafort as having been a conduit for Russian intelligence assets, right?
[230] This wasn't resistance stuff.
[231] It was a court of law, was a Republican Senate, and then he gets pardoned, and now to bring him back in.
[232] And all this is happening, and this is obvious, but it just bears mentioning also is happening amidst Russia attacking Hillary's campaign, right?
[233] And so it's just like, well, was Kalimnik and Deripaska, you know, you can get the whiteboard up where you have all the, you know, different pieces of ribbon, you know, connecting everything.
[234] Like, you know, were they connected to the Russian intelligence operation?
[235] It kind of doesn't matter, right?
[236] Like, in the context, to me, my view always was, was Trump and Manafort are condemned for going along with this while it was happening, right?
[237] Any other responsible campaign, any other patriotic campaign that cared about American interests would be absolutely condemning a hostile foreign powers effort to hack their opponent's campaign.
[238] And meanwhile, Trump is cheering it on and Manafort as the republic.
[239] said is actively working with Russian intelligence.
[240] Well, that's right.
[241] Look, I think the bottom line is it does matter in the sense that it has been absolutely established as a factual matter in a court of law in investigations.
[242] And yes, it is something that the American people should care about.
[243] Paul Manafort, the two politicians that he is most associated with in his career are Donald Trump and Viktor Yanukovych, the Russian -supported leader of Ukraine who had to flee and run away from his country of Ukraine and run to Russia because his corrupt regime toppled after he unleashed violence against his own citizens in a peaceful revolution in the Maidan.
[244] And he was Russia's proxy in Ukraine, period, full stop.
[245] That's just a factual matter.
[246] Those are the politicians that Paul Manafort worked with, supported and promoted.
[247] Yeah, we had Trump people on cable last night I was watching.
[248] I forget which surrogate it was, so I don't want to quote him wrong, you know saying, well, we don't really, he might not be part of the convention.
[249] We don't exactly know what his role is going to be.
[250] Trump talking to this person, getting advice from this person at any level is an absolute scandal and outrage.
[251] Going back to the Anakovich takes us to the Russia element of it all.
[252] And I always want to get your take on this, having a lot of experience, having lived over there.
[253] Kathy Young wrote for the Bullwark this morning, a, fake vote for Putin that he won, I guess, 87 % of the fake vote.
[254] But there are also these noon against Putin protests that, you know, seem to, I guess, given the threats facing these folks, you know, any sort of gathering of this nature is a huge risk.
[255] And so, you know, that was some sort of green shoot and encouraging.
[256] I'm wondering what your thoughts were on the news out of Russia.
[257] And then I want to get into the Trump and Putin of it all.
[258] Yeah.
[259] I mean, well, so first of all, I think it's right not to call it a real presidential election in any conventional sense.
[260] You know, I saw one German expert was using the phrase authoritarian plebiscite, and that seems to me to be possibly a better way of thinking of it as a plebiscite in which you force as many of your people as possible to come out and essentially ratify your continued tenure and power.
[261] That's something more akin to North Korea or Iraq under Saddam Hussein.
[262] it's a form of legitimizing your regime, but it's not really an election if no one can even say who your opponents are and anyone who was an actual opponent is not allowed to run.
[263] Or in the case of Alexei Navalny, the leading opposition politician in Russia over the last more than a decade, you know, he literally is essentially killed by the government in prison just weeks before the voting.
[264] And those protests you mentioned, those were basically Alexei Navalny's last will and testament.
[265] They were his last wish for the Russian people to come out at noon on the day of this public site and at least show a certain solidarity in doing that.
[266] And, you know, it's an act of incredible bravery in ways that Americans might not fully appreciate that in parallel and in tandem with Putin's full -scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, he's used that as a cover for completing the authoritarian takeover of Russian society, the stifling of the remaining space for political debate and discourse, and has arrested thousands and thousands of Russians for the simple act of doing something like wearing a blue and yellow pin or sending a text message that was perceived as supporting Ukraine.
[267] You know, he is putting people in jail now for thought crimes in a way that even they didn't do in the later years of the Soviet Union.
[268] The dictatorship that Putin has now established is much more intrusive, fuller.
[269] It goes along with the militarization of Russian society that has occurred as a result of this invasion of Ukraine.
[270] And it means that it's hard to see, to be honest, Tim, any green shoots out of this election and that in a way it was the election that was meant to tell the Russian people, that there is no hope here for any kind of democratic small D overturning of the government.
[271] It means that the war will go on.
[272] It means that Putin has continued with his maximalist aims for the war in Ukraine, that he is continuing to press forward, not for some negotiated peace.
[273] That's a fantasy for right now.
[274] But he's still looking for a victory.
[275] He's still looking for a victory.
[276] And remember, he defines victory essentially as dismantling Ukraine as a viable independence state.
[277] Yeah.
[278] And Medvedev just called Latvia a fake country the other day, which gives you a sense for where the victory might go from there.
[279] You wrote recently about Trump's threat to NATO being the scariest kind of gaffe.
[280] Obviously, this is all related.
[281] I was talking to some senior administration officials that were in Munich.
[282] And the sense that I got was that there is just a very palpable concern and much higher even than it was during the Trump administration from European officials and allies about whether America will continue to be a reliable partner at all if Trump wins and what that means for Putin and what that means for threats.
[283] So I'm wondering how you kind of assess all that.
[284] Yeah, I think that's right.
[285] The level of shock, concern, dismay, and anxiety among European officials I've spoken with the last few months is, is really off the charts.
[286] One senior European official referred to it as the, quote, American scenario being grimly discussed and planned for in the bowels of their national security bureaucracy.
[287] And the idea of the United States as a national security threat to our allies in Europe is really something to process.
[288] It's kind of breathtaking.
[289] And I think in part it's because during Trump's four years in the White House, there was a view.
[290] And many Democrats had it as well, that it's problematic, it's regrettable, but it's very likely that the U .S. and its partnerships in the world can survive four years, but not eight.
[291] And I think with the Biden victory, but the dawning, the realization that not only was Trump not gone from the scene, but that there was no returning to the status quo ante, I think that this phenomenon has already kicked in, where European allies, Asian allies as well, have come to realize that there's no going back to America as the superpower that it used to be.
[292] And that, for example, when President Biden says America is going to be with Ukraine as long as it takes, that our sclerotic politics and the nature of the Republican Party today in the U .S., and its continued reliance on the cult of personality around Donald Trump means that no American president, no matter how responsible an actor or how committed to these alliances, can actually make a firm commitment that America will be with you as long as it takes because of our own extremely divided internal politics.
[293] I'm wondering, we've had a running kind of conversation on this podcast with the question of the specter of a Trump next term and the stakes and the threat.
[294] And you're just so well -versed in kind of the examples of these regimes in other countries.
[295] Like, what do you see in the second Trump term when you look at a model and maybe if the range is from, I don't know, Berlusconi to poop, Putin?
[296] Where on the threat level are you, on the threat assessment of the democratic backsliding if Trump was to win?
[297] Yeah.
[298] I mean, look, I think that because Trump is not a policy person, because he is highly manipulable, because he is not a super organized and disciplined leader of a government, it really depends very much who is around him, who he's talking to, who is relying upon, and the sort of constraints and guardrails that did come up, especially in terms of foreign policy and national security in the first term, those people are simply not going to surround Donald Trump in a second term.
[299] And I think that's one reason that I and many others have said this would be a much more radical break and departure from kind of American policy than we saw in the first Trump term, number one.
[300] Number two, Trump's grievance, revenge, retribution campaign.
[301] campaign has really focused like a laser on making sure that he essentially takes over the American justice system and uses it to his own ends.
[302] And I think that that is the part that will be very personal for Donald Trump that he will be very focused on.
[303] And I think that you can do quite lasting damage.
[304] In my view, I know there's a kind of self -soothing that people have and they say, well, the institution's held and it's okay.
[305] But I think a reasonable examination of the record of Trump in his first four years does not support that argument.
[306] In fact, what it supports is that there were vulnerabilities.
[307] We didn't even know were vulnerabilities in the system.
[308] And that in many times, we were just one vice president, one chairman of the joint chiefs, one defense secretary away from really extreme and radical things happening that Donald Trump demanded.
[309] Yeah, well, there's a little dessert.
[310] One of the people that he said he's going to have around him, floated yesterday, Vivek Ramoswamy, to head up the Department of Homeland Security.
[311] So that department would go from becoming a response to 9 -11 to having a 9 -11 truther in charge in one generation.
[312] It tells you a lot about the way that this thing is degraded.
[313] Susan Glasser, I really admire your work, and I'm so grateful you took the time to come on.
[314] We will be reading you, and hopefully we'll be talking again soon, and maybe a little more cheerier.
[315] I'm going to try to come up with a cheerier topic for our next gathering, if that's okay with you.
[316] That sounds fantastic.
[317] Maybe I'll come down there to New Orleans and we can do it over a relaxed sending to him.
[318] But thank you for having me. And congratulations on the podcast.
[319] It's really a terrific contribution to have you doing this.
[320] Very much appreciate it, Susan.
[321] We'll be back tomorrow.
[322] We'll see you all then.
[323] Crazy guy with a matted beard standing on the corner.
[324] Shouting out in times on you and nobody knows it.
[325] But I can't.
[326] She is gone to hear him loud and clear She is gone now And nowhere near Seems like in terms of here I walk around a puddle in the street And head on home Outside my window there's a cat in here Shut up cat and leave me alone There ain't no I don't feel nothing now not even fear now that end times are here everyone's crazy lost their minds just look at the world could all be over at any old time she's gone in times are here The Bullwark podcast is produced by Katie Cooper with audio engineering and editing by Jason Brow