The Bulwark Podcast XX
[0] Hello and welcome to the Bullwark podcast.
[1] I'm your host Tim Miller.
[2] Sorry if it's out a little late today, but my guest has another job.
[3] You might have heard of it.
[4] She's on a little show called The View, which is on Terrestrial Network Television.
[5] She's also a political commentator for CNN.
[6] She was White House Communications Director during the Trump administration and press secretary for Mike Pence, Alyssa Farah.
[7] What's up, girl?
[8] Hello.
[9] It's good to see you.
[10] Welcome back to the Bullwark podcast.
[11] It's so nice that since I last joined you, the country's on the right track.
[12] We're heading.
[13] the right way.
[14] We've really turned away from our worst instincts.
[15] Just kidding.
[16] You know, remember when you thought people were going to follow you out the door of the Trump administration and that everybody is going to be like, yes.
[17] Liz Cheney and I were like, follow us.
[18] Follow us.
[19] And then I'm looking behind.
[20] It's like nobody's there.
[21] Okay.
[22] Interesting.
[23] Well, we've got much to discuss, obviously.
[24] And I want to start with J .D. Vance, who officially became the vice presidential pick for Donald Trump, maybe just because Trump Vance sounds better than the other options, but also maybe for other reasons, wondering what your initial impressions were of the choice.
[25] So initial impressions, J .D. Vance was a gamble for Donald Trump to pick, and I think it's a sign that he feels like he's on a glide path to win this election.
[26] And I say that because J .D. Vance has actually a thin resume.
[27] He's a freshman senator.
[28] He's an incredibly polarizing figure in American politics.
[29] This is, you know, Joe Biden coined the term ultramag.
[30] He is ultra -magan.
[31] He is Maga.
[32] You know, the reporting is basically that Don Jr. and Eric were lobbying for him, but so was Elon Musk and David Sachs and some of these sort of Silicon Valley bros. Then we find out this reporting from the Wall Street Journal that now Elon's giving $45 million a month to a Trump -aligned super PAC, you know, timed that announcement with the Vance decision.
[33] Listen, on the one hand, it's the complete realignment of the Republican Party.
[34] This is not our Republican Party.
[35] This is the Donald Trump populist, national this is not Romney, Ryan Reagan, Republican Party.
[36] And you saw that on display at the convention, if you watched any of it.
[37] There are major vulnerabilities with Vance on the ticket.
[38] I think in a lot of ways he's mini -Trump with just as many flaws.
[39] So there's some good fodder for Democrats.
[40] But the reality is VPs have only minorly really influenced tickets, generally speaking.
[41] And with Trump as far ahead as he is, I don't think he's a big enough vulnerability to, you know, put Biden over the edge.
[42] But it does.
[43] It solidifies the MAGA agenda going forward.
[44] One other thing I should want to mention, I'm so fascinated.
[45] J .D. Vance basically did the reverse Alyssa Farah.
[46] So he started never Trump, Donald Trump's, you know, a threat to our institutions.
[47] He said things far more extreme than I even believe about Donald Trump.
[48] The America's Hitler.
[49] Yeah.
[50] Then I saw, I saw his presidency.
[51] I saw the Muslim ban.
[52] I saw family separation.
[53] I saw January 6th and that is my guy.
[54] Like, that to me is a remarkable evolution.
[55] And it's remarkable than be that someone was able to convince Donald Trump that this man will be totally loyal to him and is actually bought into this.
[56] So it's interesting.
[57] I'd be curious your thoughts.
[58] I agree.
[59] And I think that it was a pivot to full MAGA, right?
[60] And you do that when you have confidence.
[61] Maybe Clyde Path is overstated, but he feels like he's confident enough to do this.
[62] I heard Don Jr. in an interview say that J .D. Vance will help them in the Rust Belt states.
[63] So who the hell knows?
[64] Maybe they've deluded themselves into thinking that J .D. Vance will help them in the rest ofelt states because he wrote a book that white liberals in New York read about poor white folks that poor white folks didn't read.
[65] I don't understand what that is.
[66] J .D. Vans performed way worse than Mike DeWine in Ohio in the midterms.
[67] It was more of a traditional.
[68] And Trump and when he was on the bat with Trump.
[69] Yeah.
[70] So maybe they've convinced themselves with that.
[71] I think more likely it is a pick of we feel comfortable with this person.
[72] I think that they feel that J .D. has shown enough loyalty.
[73] despite all this horrible rhetoric about Trump in 2016 because he's like gone there on all of Trump's worst things, right?
[74] Marco, little Marco said you want about him.
[75] He's sucked up to Trump, but he kind of always does the kind of meta dancing around the 2020 question and the vaccine question.
[76] J .D. Vanceley went whole hog on vaccine conspiracies, whole hog on January 6th, overturning the election thinks Mike Pence didn't have the courage.
[77] Whole hog on the Ukraine.
[78] It's Joe Biden's fault that Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine, right?
[79] Like, so on all of these things.
[80] So I think that that made everybody in the Trump family feel like, okay, he's fully come with us.
[81] And I think they like a convert.
[82] They like a convert, right?
[83] Because it shows, especially they especially like a convert, by the way.
[84] I know they pretend to not care about the elites.
[85] They especially like a convert who went to Yale, which was mentioned twice in the press release that Donald Trump sent out about JD Vance, who had a Hollywood movie, who had a New York Times bestseller.
[86] It's like it's an ego thing.
[87] It's like, oh, yeah, now he is loyal to up.
[88] So I think that explains it.
[89] And I think that your point about how this marks a permanent shift of the party to this nationalist populist that's going to be really hard to unravel.
[90] I just think that's obvious.
[91] But if you have any pushback to me on that, I'd happy to hear it.
[92] No, I think it was evidence completely by kind of the, not even the tone, but just the straight of policies that were advocated for last night.
[93] I mean, I think we all watched the world's least inspiring speech by David Sacks that was basically blaming Ukraine for Russia's invasion because of NATO expansion.
[94] I mean, truly, like, things that would have gotten you chased out of Republican circles for the last 50 years are now being fully embraced.
[95] David Ball Sachs is a billionaire.
[96] I don't understand why I didn't hire a speech coach.
[97] So it's just like speech coaches are available.
[98] If you're one of his fellow podcast hosts on the All In podcast, maybe pitch in, help him hire a speech coach.
[99] No, and I think, I think it's baked in.
[100] I think that some of the more Normie type Republicans who showed up and thought they knew the assignment, a Glenn Yonkin calling for national unity, were missing the moment in the sense of, I don't think that's where the party is.
[101] I want to note, because coming off of the assassination attempt on the former president, this horrific assassination attempt that has no place in our country, the person who had the single worst response to it was J .D. Vance, immediately blaming Joe Biden.
[102] And there was this moment, God bless, for 24 hours in our country where we're like, let's take down the tone and tenor.
[103] Let's be thoughtful with our words.
[104] Let's think about the fingers we point.
[105] And then he goes ahead and picks this person who immediately pointed a finger, which is it's baseless and it's wrong.
[106] Here's the one thing I'll say with Vance.
[107] This is my, I guess, defense of him, if you want to call it that.
[108] He's incredibly savvy.
[109] He's a chameleon.
[110] This is somebody who can go on any mainstream outlet and give an intellectual explanation of MAGA policies.
[111] He can go toe to toe with the best interviewer.
[112] As you said, he's Yale law educated.
[113] He's a Marine.
[114] But for every time that he's, you know, on CNN explaining why I know, this is good for working Americans and we're, you know, building the middle class, there's a clip of him on Steve Bannon's war room saying some of the most polarizing stuff that you could imagine a national figure saying.
[115] A lot of vulnerabilities there.
[116] I mean, I really do think because there was reporting that Trump was waffling last minute.
[117] I think it's the classic, the last person in his ear won and it was the kids.
[118] And they're going to have to stick with it.
[119] There's no reversing it.
[120] They painted the plane.
[121] Yeah, no. And they're kind of stuck with them in a way.
[122] I want to save the Biden talk for the end, but they're stuck in a way that a lot of the Democratic issues right now are about the fact that Biden picked Kamala, who was a natural successor, but then didn't, like, believe in her as a successor, which is a problem.
[123] I mean, as people listen to know, I'm kind of bullish on Kamala, but they've picked a successor.
[124] Like, so that was another, I think, interesting thing.
[125] Like, he's like now the successor to Maga, whether they like it or not, like in two years.
[126] This is a little inside baseball, but like having worked for Pence and worked for a vice president in a Trump White House, we actively worked to not let Mike Pence's light shine, to not let him get too good of press, to not let him ever overstep Trump, because we would hear from the West Wing immediately if he got a better headline or more attention.
[127] It would like message you and say, get worse press?
[128] Oh, we got back from a trip to Southeast Asia and there was some headline that was actually pretty innocuous.
[129] It was like NBC News, you know, world leaders hope to meet with Pence more on the international stage, favor him over Trump.
[130] And we were like getting calls.
[131] We need to get this headline changed.
[132] Like, I'm going back and forth on it.
[133] I say that, and it sounds so ridiculous looking back, Vance is someone who's a much bigger personality and stronger feelings than a Mike Pence.
[134] And I could see there being real tension, even just on the campaign trail if he starts to outshine Donald Trump.
[135] Pence is very quiet.
[136] Do we know what he's thinking right now?
[137] So I've not talked to Pence in quite some time.
[138] I talk to Mark Short regularly, he's former chief of staff.
[139] And the sense is, I generally agree with this and respect it.
[140] He said his peace.
[141] He's not supporting him.
[142] His disagreements are both on a policy side of things that we're walking away from conservatism on things like Ukraine, reversal on TikTok.
[143] He's obviously feels strongly about kind of the softening on abortion.
[144] But then also the substance in his character and his fitness.
[145] I think he believes it was his duty to say it, but then let the country decide not to be out there campaigning one way or the other.
[146] But I couldn't shake the thought last night of Mitt Romney, Paul Ryan, Mike Pence, none of these people are in this room.
[147] They'd get boot off the stage if they were there.
[148] George Bush, Dick Cheney.
[149] Correct.
[150] Everyone that was a standard bearer for decades is nowhere to be seen in this Republican Party.
[151] Except Palin.
[152] Palin would be, although she hasn't been invited, but she would be welcome.
[153] But so Pence is just in Indiana?
[154] You just hanging out?
[155] Yeah, and he's got his conservative think -take, and he's trying to kind of push back on the national populism.
[156] I actually really appreciate he's been direct in calling out the dangers.
[157] He calls it the siren song of national populism.
[158] So I think that's going to be his lane, but I think the cake's baked.
[159] I also respect that.
[160] That's needed.
[161] There needs to be people that are not, you know, me, like not MSNBC, full never Trump, former Republican types out there talking about the dangers of the populist shift.
[162] Okay, I do think that Vance, we talked about how he underperformed in the Senate campaign for a reason.
[163] He still won, but it's Ohio.
[164] I'll listen to two clips to kind of show what some vulnerabilities are that Democrats might be able to exploit.
[165] Let's listen to the first one.
[166] The last time I checked, President Biden wasn't approving of the chance to hang his vice president and did not call his vice president when their life was in danger on Capitol Hill, something that Mike Pence himself has testified to.
[167] So my question is, does it give you any pause to be his vice president?
[168] Vice President, given how he has treated Mike Pence.
[169] Caitlin, I'm extremely skeptical that Mike Pence's life was ever in danger.
[170] I think politics and politics people like to really exaggerate things from time to time.
[171] I think Mike Pence would disagree with that, Senator.
[172] A lot of folks in the Democratic Party, Caitlin, act as if January the 6th was the scariest moment of their lives.
[173] Man, that was a bad clip before, but boy, after Saturday.
[174] Like, that's a horrific clip.
[175] It's disgraceful.
[176] Filed J .D. Vance under those who know better.
[177] This isn't an ignorant person like Marjorie Taylor Green.
[178] It's not Mike Pence who said his life was in danger.
[179] It was United States Secret Service who had to evacuate him and his family, who had to keep him in the basement of the Capitol.
[180] It was Mike Pence who didn't want to get in the Secret Service car out of fear that he would be taken from the Capitol and unable to certify the election.
[181] But it's always rich hearing these people who were scared themselves that day, just of what was happening around them sort of rewrite history.
[182] and pretend that it was, you know, oh, it was just a nice demonstration of peaceful patriots, but that's America's potential future vice president.
[183] There are plenty of examples of J .D. Vance saying disgraceful things about January 6th, but in the fallout of Saturday and following his response, I thought that one is one that is potentially sticky.
[184] Here's another piece of audio that I think is a big vulnerability for J .D. Vance.
[185] Let's listen to that.
[186] And this is one of the great tricks that I think the sexual revolution pulled on the American populace, which is this idea that, like, well, okay, these marriages were fundamentally, you know, they were maybe even violent, but certainly they were unhappy.
[187] And so getting rid of them and making it easier for people to shift spouses like they changed their underwear, that's going to make people happier in the long term.
[188] And maybe it worked out for the moms and dads, though I'm skeptical, but it really didn't work out for the kids of those marriages.
[189] Boy, I got to tell you, I think one of the swing groups that is underappreciated in this election is white working class women.
[190] Putting J .D .V. on this ticket with his comments about rape, with his just absolutist opinion on abortion, even in the case of rape, and then saying that like women who are getting beat up in their marriages should be stuck in their marriages, does feel like the vulnerabilities.
[191] That feels like a loser.
[192] That's just such a striking comment.
[193] I think he tried to push back on it on Hannity and the answer didn't work for me. I mean, any woman that's been a victim of domestic abuse will tell you the worst thing you could do is keep your kids in a relationship where there's abuse, where they themselves will witness the behavior or themselves could be victims of it.
[194] It's just an absurdity.
[195] There's a reason that when you go to battered women shelters, I volunteered at them, women often are in their pajamas.
[196] They often just left their house with what they had because they had to leave for their lives.
[197] So the notion that there's a benefit to the institution of the family to stay with an abusive partner is horrific.
[198] And there's a bigger undercurrent here because we're living in like times that a, where policy is being entertained that I thought only existed on literally like the most fringe corners of the internet, but there's a part of this populist maga world that wants to end like no fault divorce.
[199] That's something that's actively kind of talked about because, you know, it chips away at the family institution.
[200] Well, oftentimes that's the easiest way for somebody in an unsafe marriage to get out of a marriage.
[201] It's also just, if you say you're for freedom and you're for individual liberties, the notion that you shouldn't have a right to terminate your marriages is a fascinating role for the state to play.
[202] But that's going to be hard to defend on the campaign trail.
[203] Hey, y 'all.
[204] I've been a long time reader of the Washington Post.
[205] Even back when I was a Republican, you know, and people always took out the fake news.
[206] I always relied on the post back when I went to George Washington as a kid.
[207] We had it in the dorm room.
[208] And frankly, the paper just keeps getting better and better.
[209] I've sent multiple articles in the last week to families and friends from the post, some articles about what's happening behind the scenes of the Biden administration.
[210] I think they've been doing a great job covering.
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[224] At the convention, I wonder how you kind of take this.
[225] Like, there's always been more of like a machismo broie element to the Republican side than the Democratic side, at least during our time in politics.
[226] But man, that gap has gotten so wide.
[227] I mean, like the weird Charlie Kirk's speech last night.
[228] You've got like Dana White, the UFC guy who's on video hitting.
[229] His wife is going to speak before Trump.
[230] There was also Amber Rose, but maybe that's part of bro culture too in a different way.
[231] But there was a very bro culture kind of vibe to last night.
[232] And I think that the Republicans think of that is, and maybe it is right now helping them with like working non -college, maybe black and Latino men.
[233] But man, the gender gap feels like it's going to be just wider than ever.
[234] I don't know what your thoughts are on that.
[235] Well, I think that's the risk.
[236] I thought it was remarkable that from the outset when we were talking about the veep stakes, there was not really a real contender who was a woman.
[237] There were the second tier, Elise DeFonic types.
[238] But to me, knowing.
[239] I wondered why Elise didn't hit more.
[240] There must be something I don't know, the look.
[241] She doesn't have the look for Trump.
[242] I don't know that she has the delivery and charisma for Trump.
[243] But it's like an election that we know is going to be about women's reproductive rights, abortion, IVF, you would think you would have somebody who could try to appeal to women and soften them with them.
[244] that, but it's clearly a doubling down on these inroads they've made with white working class men.
[245] I didn't feel like there was a lot in watching things last night for the, you know, fence -sitting female voter.
[246] Listen, the economy stuff does resonate.
[247] I'll give them that.
[248] I think that that's going to be their strongest place to be as you thought you had more money at this point.
[249] But beyond that, there is really just not a huge entree to female voters who aren't already with them.
[250] Anything else strike you from last night?
[251] Okay, so I have a totally different take on the Amber Rose of it.
[252] Tell people who Amber Rose is that we have some listeners that weren't suffering.
[253] Borg is doing a live YouTube, by the way.
[254] So if you are a sicko and just want a play -by -play of every speech and every speaker, we are doing YouTube live.
[255] So you can go check that out on the Bullock's YouTube page.
[256] But for those who didn't, tell them about who Amber Rose is.
[257] So she's, I mean, she's what my generation would have called a video vixen, but I'm pretty sure Instagram influencer kind of dated Kanye.
[258] She's got 23 million Instagram followers.
[259] been some hip -hop videos, I think dated Wiz Khalifa.
[260] She gave what I thought was honestly one of the better delivered speeches.
[261] If you didn't know a damn thing about her, you saw that she's a beautiful woman who looks like she's from, you know, kind of your interpretation of hip -hop culture, not something maggot people are used to seeing on their stage talking about how her friends, you know, judged her because she had some right of center viewpoints.
[262] And now she came around and decided these are her people.
[263] I actually thought it was kind of effective because what Donald Trump in his campaign, I think, are doing outside of doubling down on their base is they're trying to reach some low -intensity voters, some voters who don't necessarily tune in national politics.
[264] They don't necessarily turn out.
[265] We know only two -thirds of Americans vote in national elections.
[266] And if you're on TikTok, I'm personally not, but I monitor what he's doing on there.
[267] Trump dominates it.
[268] He is out -maneuvering Biden left and right.
[269] And it's the meme wars.
[270] It's the influence.
[271] It's the influence.
[272] influencers like Amber Rose, who are, you know, putting things out to her followers.
[273] It's the 50 -cent clips of him, you know, putting his music to Donald Trump after the, the attempt this weekend.
[274] There's something there that he's tapping into.
[275] This is, this is not something people should sleep on.
[276] And it's not because, you know, she's some big star or whatever.
[277] But I'm not sure that I think, let's say the Robert De Niro's of the world break through in a particular way.
[278] But having someone like her, I think, is really interesting because you don't expect to see her at the R &C.
[279] Yeah, I don't disagree with that.
[280] My other big takeaway from last night, which is, you know, maybe kind of a half compliment, half insult to them is that there wasn't a message, really.
[281] Like, it was all over the place.
[282] What David Sachs was saying, the union guy, and Amber Rose and Marshall Walker, there just wasn't a coherent message.
[283] Like, Trump actually has a pretty coherent message for the campaign, but the first time of the convention didn't, really.
[284] And maybe that's because they really did tone it down a little bit.
[285] They did not do the whole axiess thing about how he's going to be a uniter with love and all that like there wasn't that and he does come out and they you know they show him with the bandage on his ear and they have lee greenwood singing god bless usa on saturday afternoon and evening like once it kind of sunk in with me that the convention was starting in two days i was scared kind of that there was going to be a very rabid vengeance filled convention that was really going to even turn the heat up and are already you know broiling pit that we're living in right now, even hotter.
[286] And they didn't do that.
[287] And maybe at the expense of not having that clear of a message.
[288] So I guess that was my other observation about last night.
[289] I don't know if you felt that way.
[290] Yeah.
[291] If there was a message, it was the economy, but then you threw in these kind of disjointed things people weren't sure what to do with that I think could leave people.
[292] But here's what I will say.
[293] And viewers and listeners may hate this.
[294] All right.
[295] We love triggering the listeners right now.
[296] I try to put on my take off the elisa biases, take away my personal feelings about Donald Trump and what he poses to this nation.
[297] I think there's a lot of people who watched Lee Greenwood, him walking out, Don Jr. tearing up and the whole place erupting two days after a horrific assassination attempt.
[298] And I think people see strength.
[299] And I think that there's something in the American DNA.
[300] We may not relate to it personally, but that strength may matter more than a lot of other characteristics.
[301] Yeah, that doesn't land with me. Nothing he does lands with me, though I have sympathy, obviously.
[302] again even in the strength side of things like he could have come out last night with two blocks and gloves on with the 50 cent rap video over it you know with like they tried to take me down and now we're going to fuck him up like that was an option like that's like and kind of would be in Trump's what I would have thought would have been like his natural instinct and so I was a little bit surprised it was kind of melancholy I thought almost like the plaintively Lee Greenwood, Trump, John Jr. kind of crying.
[303] Trump was a little bit, was not making the angry face that he makes.
[304] I think, to be honest, I think it was smart.
[305] I try not to get inside his head.
[306] It's a scary place.
[307] Even if it only lasts until Thursday and we'll see how his speech goes, there's no way you're not going to be shaken by something like what he experienced.
[308] I think you saw that on his face.
[309] I think there, I was talking to reporters who were in the room.
[310] They said that they felt the power of the moment of him, coming out.
[311] I do think Susie Wiles, who's kind of running his campaign, is somebody who, from what I've gathered from the outside, tries to be that voice of don't just play to the base.
[312] You've got to play to bigger.
[313] And last night, to me, felt like playing to bigger.
[314] I mean, I've got a lot of family that are, you know, Trump interested voters.
[315] They're like, don't want to tell me they're voting for him.
[316] And they were, they were loving last night.
[317] They were, this is what America's about.
[318] And so I think we have to remember that's how a lot of folks see it.
[319] I know.
[320] This is why you can't do focus groups in your life anymore when you're a commentator because it's like it's totally self -selected.
[321] Like people that agree with me on a certain thing are so excited to talk to me about it.
[322] And then people that don't, like kind of like, oh, let's talk about football.
[323] So anyway, so it's hard to know what people that disagree with me are thinking in my personal life, at least.
[324] We luckily have the focus group podcast here to hear from actual real people.
[325] I want to talk just about the assassination attempt a little bit before you get to Biden, Lester Hold, interview.
[326] If you have any thoughts beyond the discourse, I'd like to hear them.
[327] But I'm also curious about your take about kind of the discourse about the discourse around it, because I did a show on Sunday where I was purposefully muted and, you know, wanting to be, you know, reserve judgment here and get learn more information, take down temperature.
[328] I'm not saying today, I'm like, we should turn up the temperature as high as possible.
[329] But like, we're 72 hours out now.
[330] there's not a lot of evidence that this young man was influenced by political rhetoric.
[331] Maybe he was, maybe we're still going to find out the latest thing I saw is that neighbors said that they had a Trump sign in front of his house at one point.
[332] So who the hell knows?
[333] Like to me it seems as likely or more likely, frankly, that this is like a school shooter type model where it's like a kid that is lonely and bullied young man that is lonely and bullied and wants attention or once whatever, once vengeance, personal or mental health.
[334] right, than that it was a political thing.
[335] Maybe that will end up being wrong.
[336] Anyway, in the context of that, I just wonder what you think.
[337] I know you guys have been discussing this on the VO, just kind of about that conversation about whether the discourse has gotten too hot.
[338] Thank God that a millisecond and a millimeter happened, that this didn't go very differently.
[339] Thank God.
[340] First and foremost, just for his safety, the fact that he survived this and it was an attempt and we're not having a very different conversation today.
[341] And for the country, I don't even want to go down this.
[342] spiral much, but God forbid, had it gone differently, we think we are torn apart right now.
[343] We would be looking at something so, so much worse.
[344] Should you just even imagine last night in the context of the going down the way?
[345] Horrific.
[346] That's what should be the sobering moment that we reflect on.
[347] I believe strongly that the tone in the words we use need to be taken down, but I fundamentally disagree that we cannot talk about policies, character, fitness.
[348] and concerns about democracy.
[349] I've done that since the day I started speaking out against Trump, and I believe, and if I have ever said something that goes too far, I'll take responsibility.
[350] But I believe I've been able to do it in a way that is never inciting.
[351] It is never meant to tear Americans against each other.
[352] It is meant to tell people what he wants to do as president going forward.
[353] There's a way to do this.
[354] And I think that there was a bit of a, you know, we had like 24 hours where basically it was suggested, if you ever raise that he may be a threat to democratic institutions, a man who genuinely tried to overturn a democratic election, you are contributing to this.
[355] And that's not true.
[356] But what I do think, frankly, honestly, took the steam out of that perspective is appointing someone like J .D. Vance.
[357] J .D. Vance has said far more inflammatory things about Donald Trump than I ever have and ever will.
[358] The comparison to Hitler, I wouldn't say that.
[359] I actually find that offensive.
[360] That is going too far.
[361] I mean, to be fair to J .D. Vance, he did try to offer just a range, you know.
[362] He thinks that Donald Trump could be anything from corrupt and useful, like Nixon, all the way to him.
[363] That's true.
[364] There was a range there.
[365] That's a broad range.
[366] There was a range.
[367] Not a very positive range, but, you know, something we said for that.
[368] But I think my big takeaway, and you may appreciate this because we talked for your book, and I think you've kind of been a friend and a sounding board in my evolution is I was a firebird.
[369] brand earlier and early in my career.
[370] The goal was to own the libs, to spike the football, to get the loudest applause from the echo chamber you live in.
[371] Since then, I have tried to dedicate myself to what can we say that as constructive, that has nuance that tries to reach the broadest swath of this country, which actually does not often fall into the far right or the far left.
[372] That's how I try to speak.
[373] And I try to hold myself to account in doing that.
[374] And I also try to not demonize because because I think it's fair game to go after politicians on substance.
[375] I think attacking the voters who support them is often a mistake because it probably means we're not listening, we're not understanding, and you're not moving hearts and minds when you just simply, you know, tell people you're in a coal if you do this, you're in X, Y, and Z if you do.
[376] That's my perspective.
[377] Many people see it differently.
[378] I agree with all that.
[379] I just, and going back to the JD clip that we played earlier, it's like, you can't tell me on the one hand that a literal attack, on the Capitol, incited by the sitting president is not a big deal, but like some panelist on Joy Reid shows overheated comment what's, all right?
[380] Like those two things can't exist together.
[381] And that's what they're trying to sell.
[382] I wouldn't say that like my tone is is the most measured of anyone's tone in the political discourse.
[383] But like at the same time, I'm not, you know, look, I'm not trying to, I'm not trying to incite anyone.
[384] And I think it's important to be clear about what the threat is and what is coming.
[385] And I also think that it's not useful to try to, you know, like when you look at the problem of that assassination attempt, like there's some things that we know, like easy access to an assault rifle was one of the problems.
[386] And like that, you know, gets totally washed out of the discourse as we talked about the discourse, but the discourse.
[387] And then you get into like some ridiculous things like Joe Biden saying in a private conference call that he is going to put Donald Trump in the bulls on.
[388] which is maybe not the best word to use.
[389] I get that.
[390] But like, it's obviously a metaphor.
[391] It was a private conference call.
[392] Nobody really thinks he was doing that.
[393] There's no evidence that the shooter I knew about it.
[394] You know what I mean?
[395] And then, which brings us to Lester Holt interview.
[396] Yeah, and that's the first question he got.
[397] Well, and he owned it.
[398] And that's the thing is I respect a politician who can say like should use different language.
[399] I literally, because you're constantly on TV too.
[400] I was on air last night and I was as I was speaking about to make a point and use some kind of a language that was like, you know, targeting or something.
[401] Like the things that we do in American vernacular, and I stopped myself because that's worth second guessing in a moment.
[402] Like, is there another way to say this that doesn't allude to something or couldn't be misinterpreted?
[403] And then if you say something wrong, just own it.
[404] Biden did, and I appreciated it.
[405] Let's talk about the president last night.
[406] That answer on the stupid bullseye question for Lester Holt, and I'm happy to wag my finger at Lester Holtz about that question because it was pretty dumb.
[407] There are plenty of things to ask Biden about.
[408] Like, for example, nobody seemed to ask him about the fact that his son, Hunter, seems to be in West Wing meetings, apparently, and that question hasn't been asked yet.
[409] So there are legitimate questions to ask for the president.
[410] I didn't love the bulls I won.
[411] That said, well, I won't bias the guest here.
[412] What did you think about the last year old interview?
[413] All right.
[414] Here's where I'm really going to piss off some of your listeners and then some will be with me. Honestly, anybody you're going to piss off with this answer and listen in anymore because I have been losing my fucking mind for like three weeks now.
[415] If I'm in a triangle where it's Tim Miller, the Pod Save America guys, and me all saying the same thing, maybe we're not all secret Trump supporters trying to get him back into office.
[416] Maybe not.
[417] It's worth considering.
[418] It's like, you get people that are like, but you're not going to be the one that is a threat from a Trump administration like, I am as a middle class white woman.
[419] And I'm like, what are you talking about?
[420] I'm not really like seriously worried about being in the gulag.
[421] but I do think I'm higher on the audit list than you.
[422] I think it's certainly worth considering.
[423] I feel so strongly that Democrats properly diagnosed the concerns about Trump, things that he's openly talked about, that would fundamentally change the American government, the way that he would install loyalists in the federal government.
[424] He has obviously espoused anti -democratic positions.
[425] You cannot say he is this once in a, lifetime threat and then put someone up against him who just every measure that we rely on to win elections is telling us he's not going to win.
[426] And extreme times call for extreme measures.
[427] And what I mean by that, just to be very clear, is if you feel that the country and the kind of future you want is on the line, then of course you should consider changing candidates.
[428] This is democracy is a team sport.
[429] This is not just Joe Biden and his legacy and his ambitions.
[430] I've never seen anything like it.
[431] I'm sure I mean, we're around the same.
[432] They may. There's never been something like this where such a plurality of smart, serious Democrats who know how to win elections are saying, hi, you're risking losing the whole thing.
[433] I think he needs to step aside.
[434] I think the debate performance was not a one -off.
[435] I think that he had been shielded quite a bit.
[436] And we were, I started to buy into like, you know, actually, I think he's, I think he's going to do better than we expect.
[437] It was, my jaw was on the floor.
[438] It was hard to watch.
[439] I was covering it live on CNN.
[440] And it was, I literally, this is how insane I am.
[441] stayed up, we finished, we got off air at 2 a .m. I pulled up the Reagan -Mondale debate and watched it in full.
[442] Same.
[443] I needed to see.
[444] Is there a historic example?
[445] Yeah.
[446] Like, I need to know, is this, am I out of my mind?
[447] Reagan would have run laps around both candidates on that stage at his worst.
[448] Obama Romney, that's not even the same universe.
[449] Obama on his worst day was miles beyond what we saw.
[450] And then I personally don't think the performances since have been an improvement.
[451] Like, NATO, great.
[452] He's worked on the issue for 40 years.
[453] He should have have a command of foreign policy, but it's still, you know, we had the gaffs that were there.
[454] He's not litigating the case against Trump, which I think is one of the hardest things to watch.
[455] Like, people, I guess, are watching.
[456] It's like, tap me in if you can't do it, like, put someone up there, not to run, but like, who can actually argue the policies that we're worried about with him.
[457] And I think Democrats are playing a really dangerous game.
[458] Yeah, let's, for people who didn't suffer through it, I just want to play one clip of the Joe Biden, Lester Holden, interview last time.
[459] What happens if you have another?
[460] episode like we saw during the debate.
[461] What happens if you have another performance on that level?
[462] I don't plan to have another performance on that level.
[463] So it's like literally the question is, what happens if you have another terrible performance?
[464] The answer is a terrible performance and him saying, I don't plan on it.
[465] It's like, did you plan on the June one?
[466] another thing in that interview last night, which hasn't gotten attention, which I don't understand why, is that Lesterhold asked him if you would do another debate, if they would add a third debate.
[467] Why not?
[468] Traditionally, there have been three debates.
[469] Why not?
[470] If you think you can do it, why not do it?
[471] And he said no. It's like, you're losing this race.
[472] I had a text.
[473] There's private polling in Virginia, Democratic private polling, not Republican.
[474] Democratic private polling shows the race tied in Virginia.
[475] There's public polling showing him losing in Virginia.
[476] And we're like, going to bet on somebody that is given a hum and a hum an answer that it's going to be better in September when it's too late to change it.
[477] That is psychotic to me. I just cannot even imagine.
[478] I don't understand.
[479] I guess I understand the position that's like, well, Kamala is risky for various reasons.
[480] And it has to be Kamala.
[481] But I understand that this is risky.
[482] I understand that position.
[483] But like telling me that this is the safe bet is crazy.
[484] That's where I'm lost.
[485] And it's a weird place to be a the exiled Republican, never Trump, or if you want to call us that, which is for the last three years, I've been getting the, you have to back Biden or you're complicit.
[486] And the God's honest truth, and I've shared this on my show, is I was prepared to back Biden.
[487] I was going to do it quietly.
[488] I was going to do some endorsement because I've always thought, like, my place, the Liz Cheneas of the world, is most effective talking to Republicans who don't know where to be in this current Republican Party about the stakes of this race.
[489] But then after that performance, we're told, oh, and shut your mouth about Joe Biden's performance and saying we might need to consider someone else.
[490] This is up to Democrats and the primary voters who voted for him.
[491] And I'm like, I feel incredibly disenfranchised on a personal level.
[492] But the other side of this is you're risking everything.
[493] I'll put it this way.
[494] People privately admit the comment Miller Harris concern.
[495] I'm bullish.
[496] She would outperform Joe Biden.
[497] And even if she didn't beat Trump, I don't believe she'd be in any way a drag on the down ballot Democratic ticket.
[498] And that matters too.
[499] Yeah, especially if Trump, in there.
[500] Trump's in there.
[501] Trump having a 56 seat Senate or 55 versus 52 about what they could do on appointments and all that is massive.
[502] Right.
[503] I mean, I'm still talking to some folks who are in leadership.
[504] It sounds like there's quiet conversations, but you do get the sense that...
[505] Democratic leadership.
[506] Democratic leadership, but you get the sense that a lot of the momentum that was there even a week ago kind of has dwindled.
[507] It feels very like we've resigned ourselves to Trump's going to win.
[508] I think there's some momentum coming back.
[509] You'd know better than Well, the private polling is a bloodbath.
[510] I mean, it is.
[511] The private polling is really, really bad.
[512] In mind, we don't even have post -GOP convention post the horrible events of this weekend, which there could be a change in public sentiment.
[513] So, yeah, it's bleak.
[514] You said something in there, though, that I can't let go.
[515] So if you're a Wisconsin voter, you're a New York voter.
[516] Are you D .C.?
[517] New York.
[518] You're a New York voter now, so I don't really actually care who you cast your ballot for personally.
[519] If you're a Wisconsin voter in November, what are you doing?
[520] I know I said this on CNN the other day.
[521] It's, okay, it's really tough with Biden on the ballot.
[522] I think if I'm in Wayne County, Michigan, you've got to do it.
[523] But I have genuine concern about his ability to do the job.
[524] And I fully reject this.
[525] There are competent people around him and nameless political advisors who can handle it.
[526] That's not right.
[527] That's not how it works.
[528] And by the way, just a technical matter, which you know this.
[529] I work for the Secretary of Defense.
[530] The vice president is not in the chain of command.
[531] So if there's a military matter that's urgent in the middle of the night, only Joe Biden, the president of the United States, can sign off on the order.
[532] That could be a matter of life and death, of our troop safety, of national security.
[533] There are functions of the U .S. presidency that only the president can do.
[534] And you could have the smartest Ron Claims and whoever around him, it does not change that you need a functioning, awake, alive, ready to go.
[535] president.
[536] I think that's a really important point.
[537] I'm glad you mentioned it.
[538] Because, and I don't, just to be clear, I said this for it, but I want to always be crystal clear because they're trolls on the internet that want to, you know, try to make it seem like I'm trying to hurt Joe Biden, which I'm not.
[539] I think that Joe Biden's fine on that count right now.
[540] But I think to dismiss people's legitimate concerns that he would be fine on that count in 2027 is silly.
[541] I think those are legitimate concerns.
[542] All right.
[543] Last topic, our favorite topic, Alyssa subjected herself to a psychoanalysis from me for the book.
[544] which I really appreciated.
[545] We didn't even know each other.
[546] And so I was grateful for that.
[547] It added a lot, I think, to the narrative that I was trying to share with people of real talk about how Republicans who knew better thought about this.
[548] You did the right thing in the end, which I will be eternally grateful for.
[549] I do wonder, our main disagreement, though, that was never really hashed out.
[550] We never came to an agreement.
[551] I guess not every disagreement is supposed to come to an agreement eventually.
[552] So our existing disagreement, even after all of our time together for the book, even after a couple post game podcasts where we reflected on it, was, what do you do if Donald Trump is in there?
[553] Do good people go in and work for him?
[554] I came down on the side that, with the exception of a few national security spots, I don't think so.
[555] You came down on the side, yes, I think that people should.
[556] How do you feel about that now if we're looking at Donald Trump 2 .0?
[557] Good people need to go into national security.
[558] I do fundamentally believe that.
[559] I think of people like Robert O 'Brien, I think, who are competent, steady hands, what this country is capable of and what we do on the world stage and what's done by nameless, faceless bureaucrats behind the scenes to keep us safe, but also to maintain the peaceful world order is not something we can dismiss.
[560] Listen, this is the thing I really wrestle with.
[561] Like, I want to root for the American presidency, even if Donald Trump wins.
[562] I would rather there be a person I respect and trust and think we'll put the Constitution over their personal ambition in any level of a role.
[563] But what I keep thinking about when I think of this question is this schedule F. It's part of the, it's an executive order that he had that basically will remake all civil servants into fire at will political appointees.
[564] So think a federal government staffed by political appointees loyal to Don.
[565] Trump.
[566] That frightens me. That means you get rid of pandemic preparedness.
[567] You get rid of the national security apparatus and the traditional where you replace it with people.
[568] Are friends like Elizabeth Newman and Olivia Troy.
[569] This looks kind of happening to them at the end.
[570] Like it wasn't via schedule effort.
[571] It was via pressure campaigns.
[572] Yeah.
[573] I mean, I think of anything from like hurricanes and natural disasters, people who've spent their lives knowing how to respond to those things, there's this fear I have of not just the loyalists and the sycophants, but also just incompetence, people who don't have the subject matter expertise to do those positions.
[574] I guess I just don't believe that there'd be some massive boycott of like all good people in America would refuse to go in and therefore we would bring the presidency to a screeching halt.
[575] I think that's kind of where I disagree, but I'm closer to where you are in that I would never advise someone to go in.
[576] If a friend called and I was like, hey, because I got one of these one time, I got a friend that called back in 2016.
[577] They're like, hey, I got a call from, I guess I don't want to them.
[578] I got a call from a secretary in a national security space, and they want me to come be the spokesperson for this national security thing.
[579] You know, I said to them, I don't, why?
[580] Like, why?
[581] I mean, sure, if you're advising on national security, that's one thing, but like, why spin for the bad stuff you don't know is going to come?
[582] Well, and that's important from a call.
[583] Like, by the way, to be clear, I would never go back in under any circumstances nor would I advise someone I care about to.
[584] I think the spokespeople role, that's, that's especially hard to justify because that's where you're forced into the positions of are you just going to go out and defend this?
[585] One thing that I ran into, not even that if I wasn't saying something that was wrong, I had information withheld from me and then went out and briefed the public without all information.
[586] What comes to mind is I never knew Trump tested positive for COVID before the debate.
[587] I was told he tested negative.
[588] So I went out and briefed the press corps.
[589] You're lying by being part of something that is lying and withholding information from you.
[590] And that's untenable.
[591] Technical positions, I don't know.
[592] know, I do think there's, there's a value in having good people go in.
[593] Yeah.
[594] Last thing, I know those last thing, but you spark something.
[595] Esper, like what, do we think Esper's going to be for Biden?
[596] Do we think Esper is a convention role, potentially, person?
[597] I don't need to reveal any private combos, but, like, I mean, he's spoken out pretty clearly.
[598] I keep up with him, yeah.
[599] I saw him very recently.
[600] If I had to guess, I don't want to speak for him, I don't think he'll do anything super publicly.
[601] I think he sees it similar to how myself and Liz and others do, talk about the threat posed by Trump.
[602] For him, it's sort of the place I think General Mark Millie is as well, where they don't want to something like they're politicizing the military by being too deliberate.
[603] I do wish.
[604] I wish the John Kelly's and others maybe were coming out more.
[605] But I think he'll continue to say what he has about.
[606] There's just another downside of fact that people don't realize about the terrible Biden debate is like all of this CYA now.
[607] I didn't want to say it.
[608] Thank you for saying it.
[609] To me, it's less that Esper's not going to do it because of that.
[610] And more it's like, Biden isn't up for like calling these people and saying, hey, Mark Esper, please come to you go to my convention.
[611] It might be a different thought if that was happening.
[612] I don't think it's happening.
[613] And I should mention that the Biden campaign had reached out to me. They've started reaching out to some Republicans.
[614] They're doing the work, but I think that the performance changes it in some folks' minds.
[615] I also think there's a lot of kind of holding and seeing what happens.
[616] Yeah, no. I didn't mean that to be talking on the campaign.
[617] I know they're trying.
[618] What I'm saying is like the candidate isn't up for it.
[619] Again, is he up for being president right now?
[620] Yeah.
[621] But like, is he doing what he would have done in 2008 campaign, working the phones.
[622] But, hey, Mark, how you doing, buddy?
[623] I saw that crystal conversation that you did.
[624] And like, we need to, hey, Jack, we need to get you out there.
[625] And like, that stuff matters.
[626] That stuff works.
[627] That's politics.
[628] That's doing politics.
[629] And he's like not doing politics anymore.
[630] By the way, I mean, it wasn't lost on me. I was featured in a Biden campaign ad with Mark Esper with General Millie that aired the night of the debate.
[631] And I was like, what have appreciated?
[632] heads up, but powerful, and those are my public words that you can put out.
[633] But then to have that out there, which it does, it offers, it puts a target on you, and then to give that performance, I'm like, rise to the occasion, litigate the case, talk about your forward -looking vision.
[634] We got none of it.
[635] And don't blame the moderators.
[636] It's not their job to fact -check Donald Trump.
[637] It's your job.
[638] I was a debater.
[639] You do it on the stage there.
[640] You don't drop points.
[641] You challenge your competitor.
[642] All right.
[643] Alyssa Farrah.
[644] This is so good.
[645] Come back and do it again soon.
[646] we've got, if I had to pick on Lester Holt, I do have to do pick on myself.
[647] That was a stupid question, Lester Holt.
[648] We played a clip of Mark Robinson, who's a total lunatic yesterday, talking about how people need killing.
[649] And we cut down the clip.
[650] He's very inelequent man, but he's trying to talk about foreign affairs.
[651] And so I don't want to imply anything about somebody.
[652] So we'll put the whole YouTube, if you want to watch Mark Robinson.
[653] It doesn't still make them look great, but it makes clear that he's not calling for domestic killing over political.
[654] opponents and at this moment it's important to be absolutely clear about all that alisa come back soon thanks so much we'll be back tomorrow with more rnc convention coverage you can check us out on youtube we'll see you all there peace yeah too democratic republic republic bucket we chicken nugget we dip in the sauce like mopping bucket blue collar scholars who take your dollar and wipe my ass with it you're living for the lot i don't never hit it i made a critic i made that shit a draw she said she thought hip -hop with only guns and alcohol i said oh hell no But yet it's that too You can't just scream ahead Because you don't read a book or two A default in a microscope Saw all the dirty organisms Living in your closet Without stopping what I pause it To put that bitch in slow emotion Got the potion And the antidote and a quote For collision, the decision If you want to live, I want to exist The game changes every day So obsolete is the fits and marches Speeches only reaches Those who already know about it This is how we go about it The Bullock podcast is produced by Katie Cooper With Audio Engineering and Editing By Jason Brown