In the weeks leading up to the amazing Iowa caucus on Monday, there was a lot of conflicting information, a lot of conflicting predictions over what would happen, and the one polling analysis that I stayed fixed on in the weeks leading up to Iowa belonged to the one and only Rich Baris, of the People’s Pundit. And I’m glad I did, because Rich, once again, proved himself to be the best of the best in election forecasting!

If you don’t know, Rich freaking nailed it! He predicted the margin of victory, he predicted the dominance, he predicted the intertwining dynamics between DeSantis and Haley. And he nailed it at the same time so many others on social media absolutely blew it! Their predictive analysis was so far off it was embarrassing!

Listen in this episode, as Rich and I discuss what really happened in Iowa.

Highlights:

“It totally hit me watching these results that these old guard people are like the dinosaurs who don’t know the asteroid is on its way to Earth and there’s nothing they can do to stop it. And whether they like it or not is irrelevant, the age of the dinosaur is over. Like man, the age of MAGA is inevitable and coming.” - Rich Baris
“For all of the talk about the Dallas suburbs and the Harris County suburbs, and this and that, Trump is doing better there!” - Rich Baris

Timestamps:

[00:39] Rich Baris’ on-point predictions for Iowa

[05:08] The key takeaways from the Iowa Caucus

[10:32] Is Nikki Haley basically DOA in the rustbelt states?

[15:30] The importance of the urban vote for Republicans

[23:19] What’s going on in New Hampshire

[31:29] Another reason why the Iowa Caucus is insightful

[32:36] What ultimately sunk Ron DeSantis

Resources:

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Ep. 2284 You Won’t BELIEVE What REALLY HAPPENED in Iowa! with Rich Baris