#87 – Richard Dawkins: Evolution, Intelligence, Simulation, and Memes

[0] The following is a conversation with Richard Dawkins, an evolutionary biologist and author of The Selfish Gene, The Blind Watchmaker, The God Delusion, The Magic of Reality, and the greatest show of Earth and his latest all -growing God.

[1] He is the originator and popularizer of a lot of fascinating ideas in evolutionary biology and science in general, including, funny enough, the introduction of the word meme in his 1976 book, The Selfish Gene, which, in the context of a gene -centered view of evolution, is an exceptionally powerful idea.

[2] He's outspoken, bold, and often fearless in the defense of science and reason, and in this way, is one of the most influential thinkers of our time.

[3] This conversation was recorded before the outbreak of the pandemic.

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[21] And now, here's my conversation with Richard Dock.

[22] Do you think there's intelligent life out there in the universe?

[23] Well, if we accept that there's intelligent life here, and we accept that the number of planets in the universe is gigantic, I mean, 10 to 22 stars has been estimated, it seems to me highly likely that there is not only life in the universe elsewhere, but also intelligent life.

[24] If you deny that, then you're committed to the view that the things that happened on this planet are staggeringly improbable.

[25] I mean, ludicrously, off the charts, improbable.

[26] And I don't think it's that improbable.

[27] Certainly the origin of life itself.

[28] They're really two steps, the origin of life, which is probably fairly improbable, and then the subsequent evolution to intelligent life, which is also fairly improbable.

[29] So the juxtaposition of those two, you could say, is pretty improbable, but not 10 to the 22 improbable.

[30] It's an interesting question, maybe you're coming on to it, how we would recognize intelligence from outer space if we encountered it.

[31] The most likely way we would come across them would be by radio.

[32] It's highly unlikely they'd ever visit us.

[33] But it's not that unlikely that we would pick up radio signals.

[34] And then we would have to have some means of deciding that it was intelligent.

[35] People involved in the SETI program discuss how they would do it.

[36] And things like prime numbers would be an obvious thing too.

[37] An obvious way for them to broadcast to say, we are intelligent, we are here.

[38] I suspect it probably would be obvious, actually.

[39] Well, it's interesting prime numbers, so the mathematical patterns, it's an open question whether mathematics is the same for us as it would be for aliens.

[40] I suppose we could assume that ultimately, if we're governed by the same laws of physics, then we should be governed by the same laws of mathematics.

[41] I think so.

[42] I suspect that they will have Pythagoras theorem, et cetera.

[43] I don't think that their mathematics will be that different.

[44] Do you think evolution would also be a force on the alien planets as well?

[45] I stuck my neck out and said that if ever that we do discover life elsewhere, it will be Darwinian life, in the sense that it will work by some kind of natural selection, the non -random survival of randomly generated codes.

[46] It doesn't mean that the genetic, it would have to have some kind of genetics, but it doesn't have to be DNA genetics.

[47] Probably wouldn't be actually.

[48] But I think it would have to be Darwin.

[49] Yes.

[50] So some kind of selection process?

[51] Yes.

[52] In the general sense, Ruby Darwinian.

[53] So let me ask kind of an artificial intelligence engineering question.

[54] So you've been an outspoken critic of, I guess, what could be called intelligent design, which is an attempt to describe the creation of a human mind, a body, by some religious folks that religious folks used to describe.

[55] So broadly speaking, evolution is, as far as I know, again, you can correct me. me is the only scientific theory we have for the development of intelligent life.

[56] Like, there's no alternative theory as far as I understand.

[57] None has ever been suggested, and I suspect it never will be.

[58] Well, of course, whenever somebody says that, 100 years later...

[59] I know.

[60] It's a risk.

[61] It's a risk.

[62] But what a bet?

[63] I mean, I'm pretty confident.

[64] But it would look, sorry, yes.

[65] It would probably look very similar, but it's almost like Einstein's general relativity versus Newtonian physics.

[66] It'll be maybe an alteration of the theory or something like that, but it won't be fundamentally different.

[67] But okay, so now for the past 70 years, even before the AI community has been trying to engineer intelligence, in a sense to do what intelligent design says, you know, was done here on Earth.

[68] What's your intuition?

[69] Do you think it's possible to build intelligence, to build computers that are intelligent, or do we need to do something like the evolutionary process?

[70] Like there's no shortcuts here.

[71] That's an interesting question.

[72] I'm committed to the belief that is ultimately possible because I think there's nothing non -physical in our brains.

[73] I think our brains work by the laws of physics.

[74] And so it must in principle be possible to replicate that.

[75] practice, though, it might be very difficult.

[76] And as you suggest, it might, it may be the only way to do it is by something like an evolutionary process.

[77] I'd be surprised.

[78] I suspect that it will come, but it's certainly been slower incoming than some of the early pioneers thought.

[79] I thought it would be, yeah.

[80] But in your sense, is the evolutionary process efficient?

[81] So you can see it as exceptionally wasteful in one perspective, but at the same time, maybe that is the only path to...

[82] It's a paradox, isn't it?

[83] I mean, on the one side, it is, deplorably wasteful.

[84] It's fundamentally based on waste.

[85] On the other hand, it does produce magnificent results.

[86] The design of a soaring bird, an albatross, a vulture, an eagle, is superb.

[87] An engineer would be proud to have done it.

[88] On the other hand, an engineer would not be proud to have done some of the other things that evolution has served up, some of the sort of botched jobs that you can easily understand because of their historical origins, but they don't look well designed.

[89] Do you have examples of bad design?

[90] My favorite example is the current laryngeal nerve.

[91] I've used this many times.

[92] This is a nerve.

[93] It's one of the cranial nerves, which goes from the brain, and the end organ that it supplies is the voice box, the larynx.

[94] But it doesn't go straight to the larynx.

[95] It goes right down into the chest, and then loops around an artery in the chest, and then comes straight back up again to the larynx.

[96] And I've assisted in the dissection of a giraffe's neck, which happened to have died in a zoo.

[97] And we watched the, we saw the recurrent laryngeal nerve going whizzing straight past the larynx, within an inch of the larynx, down into the chest and then back up again, which is a detour of many feet, very, very inefficient.

[98] The reason is historical.

[99] The ancestors are fish ancestors.

[100] the ancestors of all mammals and fish, the most direct pathway of the equivalent of that nerve.

[101] There wasn't a larynx in those days, but it innovated one of the gills.

[102] The most direct pathway was behind that artery.

[103] And then when the tetrapods, when the land vertebrae started evolving and then the neck started to stretch, the marginal cost of changing the embryological design to jump that nerve over the artery, was too great, or rather, was each step of the way was a very small cost, but the marginal, but the cost of actually jumping it over would have been very large.

[104] As the neck lengthened, it was a negligible change to just increase the length, the length of the detour a tiny bit, a tiny bit, a tiny bit, each millimeter at a time didn't make any difference.

[105] And so, but finally, when you get to a giraffe, it's a huge detour and no doubt is very inefficient.

[106] Now, that's bad design.

[107] Any engineer would reject that.

[108] piece of design, it's ridiculous.

[109] And there are quite a number of examples, as you'd expect.

[110] It's not surprising that we find examples of that sort.

[111] In a way, what's surprising is there aren't more of them.

[112] In a way, what's surprising is that the design of living things is so good.

[113] So natural selection manages to achieve excellent results, partly by tinkering, partly by coming along and cleaning up initial mistakes and, as it were, making the best of a bad job.

[114] Yeah, it's really interesting.

[115] I mean, it is surprising and beautiful, and it's a mystery from an engineering perspective that so many things are well designed.

[116] I suppose the thing we're forgetting is how many generations have to die for that.

[117] That's the inefficiency of it.

[118] Yes, that's the horrible wastefulness of it.

[119] So, yeah, we marvel at the final product, but yeah, the process is painful.

[120] Elon Musk describes human beings as potentially the, what he calls the biological bootloader for artificial intelligence or artificial general intelligence is used as the term.

[121] It's kind of like superintelligence.

[122] Do you see superhuman level intelligence as potentially the next step in the evolutionary process?

[123] Yes, I think that if superhuman intelligence is to be found, it will be artificial.

[124] I don't have any hope that we ourselves, our brains will go on.

[125] go on getting larger in ordinary biological evolution.

[126] I think that's probably come to an end.

[127] It is the dominant trend, or one of the dominant trends in our fossil history, for the last two or three million years.

[128] Brain size, yes.

[129] So it's been swelling rather dramatically over the last two or three million years.

[130] That is unlikely to continue.

[131] The only way that happens is because natural selection favors those individuals with with the biggest brains and that's not happening anymore right so in general in humans the selection pressures are not i mean are they active in any form well in order for them to be active it would be necessary that the most intelligent let's call it an intelligence not that intelligence is simply correlated with brain size but let's let's talk about intelligence in order for that to evolve it's necessary that the most intelligent beings have the most individuals have the most children.

[132] And so intelligence may buy you money, it may buy you worldly success, it may buy you a nice house and a nice car and things like that if a successful career.

[133] It may buy you the admiration of your fellow people, but it doesn't increase the number of offspring that you have.

[134] It doesn't increase your genetic legacy to the next generation.

[135] On the other hand, artificial intelligence, I mean, computers and technology generally is evolving by a non -genetic means, by leaps and bounds, of course.

[136] And so what do you think, I don't know if you're familiar, there's a company called Neurrelink, but there's a general effort of brain computer interfaces, which is to try to build a connection between the computer and the brain, to send signals both directions.

[137] And the long -term dream there is to do exactly that, which is expand, I guess, expand the size of the brain, expand the capabilities of the brain.

[138] Do you see this as interesting?

[139] Do you see this as a promising possible technology, or is the interface you'd seen the computer in the brain?

[140] Like the brain is this wet, messy thing that's just impossible to interface with.

[141] Well, of course, it's interesting.

[142] Whether it's promising, I'm really not qualified to say.

[143] what I do find puzzling is that the brain being as small as it is compared to a computer and the individual components being as slow as they are compared to our electronic components.

[144] It is astonishing what it can do.

[145] I mean, imagine building a computer that fits into the size of a human skull and with the equivalent of transistors or integrated circuits which work as slowly, as neurons do it's something mysterious about that something something must be going on that we don't understand so I have I've just talked to Roger Penrose I'm not sure you're familiar with this work and he also describes this kind of mystery in the mind in the brain that as he sees a materialist so there's no sort of mystical thing going on but there's so much about the material of the brain that we don't understand, that might be quantum mechanical and nature and so on.

[146] So there the idea is about consciousness.

[147] Have you ever thought about, do you ever think about ideas of consciousness or a little bit more about the mystery of intelligence and consciousness that seems to pop up just like you're saying from our brain?

[148] I agree with Roger Penrose that there is a mystery there.

[149] I mean, he's one of the world's greatest physicists.

[150] I can't possibly argue with with his but nobody knows anything about consciousness and in fact you know if we talk about religion and so on some the mystery of consciousness is so on inspiring and we know so little about it that the leap to sort of religious or mystical explanations is too easy to make i i think that it's just an act of cowardice to leap to religious explanations and roger doesn't do that of course um but i i accept that there may be something that we don't understand about it.

[151] So correct me if I'm wrong, but in your book, Selfish Gene, the gene -centered view of evolution allows us to think of the physical organisms as just the medium through which the software of our genetics and the ideas sort of propagate.

[152] So maybe can we start just with the basics?

[153] What in this context does the word meme mean?

[154] It would mean the cultural equivalent of a gene, cultural equivalent in the sense of that which plays the same role as the gene in the transmission of culture and the transmission of ideas in the broadest sense.

[155] And it's only a useful word if there's something Darwinian going on.

[156] Obviously culture is transmitted, but is there anything Darwinian going on?

[157] And if there is, that means there has to be something like a gene, which becomes more numerous or less than.

[158] numerous in the population.

[159] So it can replicate?

[160] It can replicate?

[161] Well, it clearly does replicate.

[162] There's no question about that.

[163] The question is, does it replicate in a sort of differential way in a Darwinian fashion?

[164] Could you say that certain ideas propagate because they're successful in the meme pool?

[165] In a sort of trivial sense, you can.

[166] Would you wish to say, though, that in the same way as a animal body is modified, adapted, to serve as a machine for propagating genes?

[167] Is it also a machine for propagating memes?

[168] Could you actually say that something about the way a human is is modified, adapted for the function of beam propagation?

[169] That's such a fascinating possibility, if that's true.

[170] It's not just about the genes which seems somehow more comprehensible as these things of biology.

[171] The idea that culture or maybe ideas, you can really broadly define it, operates under these mechanisms.

[172] Even morphology, even anatomy, does evolve by memetic means.

[173] I mean, things like hairstyles, styles of makeup, circumcision.

[174] These things are actual changes in the body form, which are non -genetic and which get passed on from generation to generation.

[175] or sideways like a virus in a quasi -genetic way.

[176] But the moment you start drifting away from the physical, it becomes interesting because the space of ideas, ideologies, political systems.

[177] Of course, yes.

[178] So what's your sense is, are memes or metaphor more?

[179] Or are they really, is there something fundamental, almost physical presence of memes.

[180] Well, I think they're a bit more than a metaphor.

[181] And I think that, I mentioned that physical bodily characteristics, which are a bit trivial in a way, but when things like the propagation of religious ideas, both longitudinally down generations and transversely, as in a sort of epidemiology of ideas, when a charismatic preacher converts people, that that resembles viral transmission whereas the longitudinal transmission from grandparent to parent to child, etc., is more like conventional genetic transmission.

[182] That's such a beautiful, especially in the modern day idea.

[183] Do you think about this implication in social networks where the propagation of ideas, the viral propagation of ideas, and hence the new use of the word, meme to describe the...

[184] The internet, of course, provides extremely rapid method of travel mission.

[185] Before, when I first coined the word, the internet didn't exist.

[186] And so I was thinking then in terms of books, newspapers, broader radio, television, that kind of thing.

[187] Now, an idea can just leap around the world in all directions instantly.

[188] And so the internet provides a step change.

[189] in the facility of propagation of memes.

[190] How does that make you feel?

[191] Isn't it fascinating that sort of ideas?

[192] It's like you have Galapagos Islands or something, is the 70s, and the internet allowed all these species to just like globalize.

[193] And in a matter of seconds, you can spread a message to millions of people, and these ideas, these memes can breed, can evolve, can mutate, And there's a selection and there's like different, I guess, groups that are all.

[194] Like there's a dynamics that's fascinating here.

[195] Do you think, basically, do you think your work in this direction while fundamentally was focused on life on earth?

[196] Do you think it should continue, like to be taken further?

[197] I mean, I do think it would probably be a good idea to think in a Darwinian way about this sort of thing.

[198] We conventionally think of the transmission of ideas in evolutionary context.

[199] as being limited to, in our ancestors, people living in villages, living in small bands where everybody knew each other and ideas could propagate within the village and they might hop to a neighboring village occasionally and maybe even to a neighboring continent eventually.

[200] And that was a slow process.

[201] Nowadays, villages are international.

[202] I mean, you have people, it's been called echo chambers.

[203] where people are in a sort of internet village, where the other members of the village may be geographically distributed all over the world, but they just happen to be interested in the same things, use the same terminology, the same jargon, have the same enthusiasm.

[204] So people like the Flat Earth Society, they don't all live in one place, they find each other, and they talk the same language to each other, they talk the same nonsense to each other.

[205] And they, but so this is a kind of, distributed version of the primitive idea of people living in villages and propagating their ideas in a local way.

[206] Is there Darwinous parallel here?

[207] So is there evolutionary purpose of villages or is that just a...

[208] Oh, I wouldn't use a word like evolutionary purpose in that case, but villages or villages will be something that just emerged.

[209] That's the way people of way the flat earth society, societies of ideas emerge in the same kind of way in this digital space?

[210] Yes, yes.

[211] Is there something interesting to say about the, I guess from a perspective of Darwin, could we fully interpret the dynamics of social interaction in these social networks?

[212] Or is there, or some much more complicated thing need to be developed?

[213] Like, what's your sense?

[214] Well, a Darwinian selection idea would involve investigating which ideas spread and which don't.

[215] So, I mean, some ideas don't have the ability to spread.

[216] I mean, the flat earthism is, there are a few people believe in it, but it's not going to spread because it's obvious nonsense.

[217] But other ideas, even if they are wrong, can spread because they are attractive in some sense.

[218] So the spreading and the selection, in the Darwinian context is it just has to be attractive in some sense.

[219] Like we don't have to define, like it doesn't have to be attractive in the way that animals attract each other.

[220] It could be attractive in some other way.

[221] Yes, it's, all that matters is all that it's needed is it should spread.

[222] And it doesn't have to be true to spread.

[223] In truth, is one criterion which might help an idea to spread.

[224] But there are other criteria which might help it to spread.

[225] As you say, attraction in animals.

[226] is not necessarily valuable for survival.

[227] The celebrated in the famous peacock's tail doesn't help the peacock to survive.

[228] It helps it to pass on its genes.

[229] Similarly, an idea which is actually rubbish, but which people don't know is rubbish and think is very attractive will spread in the same way as a peacock's gene spread.

[230] It's a small side step.

[231] I remember reading somewhere, I think recently, that in some species of birds, sort of the idea that beauty may have its own purpose and the idea that some birds I'm being inelquent here but there's some aspects of their feathers and so on that serve no evolutionary purpose whatsoever.

[232] There's somebody making an argument that there are some things about beauty that animals do that may be its own purpose.

[233] Does that ring a bell for you?

[234] Does it sound ridiculous?

[235] I think it's a rather distorted bell.

[236] Darwin, when he coined the phrase sexual selection, didn't feel the need to suggest that what was attractive to females, usually is males attracting females, that what females found attractive had to be useful.

[237] He said it didn't have to be useful.

[238] It was enough that females found it attractive.

[239] And so it could be completely useless, probably was completely useless, in the conventional sense, but was not at all useless in the sense of passing on drawn down and didn't call them genes, but instead of reproducing.

[240] Others, starting with Wallace, the co -discoverer of natural selection, didn't like that idea, and they wanted sexually selected characteristics like peacock's tails to be in some sense useful.

[241] It's a bit of a stretch to think of a peacock's tail as being useful, but in a sense of survival, but others have run with that idea.

[242] and have brought it up to date.

[243] And so there's a kind of, there are two schools of thought on sexual selection which are still active and about equally supported now, those who follow Darwin in thinking that it's just enough to say it's attractive and those who follow Wallace and say that it has to be in some sense useful.

[244] Do you fall into one category or the other?

[245] No, I'm open -minded.

[246] I think they both could be correct in different cases.

[247] I mean, they've both been made sophisticated in a mathematical sense, more so than when Darwin and Wallace first started talking about it.

[248] I'm Russian, I romanticized things, so I prefer the former, where the beauty in itself is a powerful attraction is a powerful force and evolution.

[249] On religion, do you think there will ever be a time in our future where almost nobody believes in God?

[250] or God is not a part of the moral fabric of our society?

[251] Yes, I do.

[252] I think it may happen after a very long time.

[253] I think it may take a long time for that to happen.

[254] So do you think ultimately for everybody on earth, religion, other forms of doctrines, ideas could do better job than what religion does?

[255] Yes.

[256] I mean, following truth for a reason.

[257] Well, truth is a fun.

[258] funny, funny word and reason, too.

[259] There's, yeah, it's a difficult idea now with truth on the internet, right, and fake news and so on.

[260] I suppose when you say reason, you mean the very basic sort of inarguable conclusions of science versus which political system is better.

[261] Yes, yes.

[262] I mean truth about the real world, which is ascertainable.

[263] by, not just by the more rigorous methods of science, but by just ordinary sensory observation.

[264] So do you think there will ever be a time when we move past it?

[265] Like, I guess another way to ask it, are we hopelessly, fundamentally tied to religion in the way our society functions?

[266] Well, clearly all individuals are not hopelessly tied to it, because many individuals don't believe, you could mean something like society needs religion in order to function properly, something like that.

[267] And some people have suggested that.

[268] What's your intuition on that?

[269] Well, I've read books on it, and they're persuasive.

[270] I don't think they're that persuasive, though.

[271] I mean, some people suggested that society needs a sort of figurehead, which can be a non -existent figurehead, in order to function properly.

[272] I think there's something rather patronizing about the idea that, well, you and I are intelligent enough not to believe in God, but the plebs needed sort of thing.

[273] I mean, I think that's patronizing, and I'd like to think that that was not the right way to proceed.

[274] But at the individual level, do you think there's some value of spirituality?

[275] Sort of, if I think, sort of as a scientist, the amount of things we actually know about our universe is a tiny, tiny, tiny percentage of what we could possibly know.

[276] So just from everything, even the certainty we have about the laws of physics, it seems to be that there's yet a huge amount to discover.

[277] And therefore, we're sitting where 99 .99 % of things are just still shrouded in mystery.

[278] Do you think there's a role in a kind of spiritual view of that, sort of a humbled spiritual?

[279] I think it's right to be humble.

[280] I think it's right to admit that there's a lot we don't know, a lot that we don't understand, a lot that we still need to work on.

[281] We're working on it.

[282] What I don't think is that it helps to invoke supernatural explanations.

[283] If our current scientific explanations aren't adequate to do the job, then we need better ones.

[284] We need to work more.

[285] And of course, the history of science shows just that, that as science goes on, problems get solved one after another, and the science advances in science.

[286] gets better.

[287] But to invoke a non -scientific, non -physical explanation is simply to lie down in a cowardly way and say, we can't solve it, so we're going to invoke magic.

[288] Don't let's do that.

[289] Let's say we need better science.

[290] We need more science.

[291] It may be that the science will never do it.

[292] It may be that we will never actually understand everything.

[293] And that's okay, but let's keep working on it.

[294] a challenging question there is do you think science can lead us astray in terms of the humbleness so there's some aspect of science maybe it's the aspect of scientist and not science but of sort of a mix of ego and confidence that can lead us astray in terms of discovering the you know some of the big open questions about yes about the universe I think that's right I mean there are there are arrogant people in any walk of life and scientists are no exception to that and so there are arrogant scientists who think we've sold everything and of course we haven't so humility is a proper stance for a scientist i mean it's a proper working stance because it encourages further work um but in a way to resort to a supernatural explanation is a kind of arrogance because it's saying well we don't understand it scientifically therefore the uh non -scientific religious supernatural explanation must be the right one.

[295] That's arrogant.

[296] What is what is humble is to say we don't know and we need to work further on it.

[297] So maybe if I could psychoanalyze you for a second, you have at times been just slightly frustrated with people who have a supernatural, you know, have a supernatural.

[298] Has that changed over the years?

[299] Have you become, like how do people that kind of have, seek supernatural explanations, how do you see those people as human beings, as, is like, do you see them as dishonest?

[300] Do you see them as, um, sort of, uh, ignorant?

[301] Do you see them as, I don't know.

[302] Is it like, what, I mean, how do you think of, certainly not, not, not dishonest.

[303] And, and, and I mean, obviously, many of them are perfectly nice people.

[304] So I don't, I don't sort of despise them in that sense.

[305] Um, I think it's often, a misunderstanding that people will jump from the admission that we don't understand something.

[306] They will jump straight to what they think of in an alternative explanation, which is the supernatural one, which is not an alternative.

[307] It's a non -explanation.

[308] Instead of jumping to the conclusion that science needs more work, that we need to actually do some better science.

[309] So I don't have, I mean, personal antipathy towards such people.

[310] I just think they're misguided.

[311] So what about this really interesting space that I have trouble with?

[312] So religion I have a better grasp on, but there's large communities, like you said, Flat Earth community that I've recently, because I've made a few jokes about it, I saw that there's, I've noticed that there's people that to take.

[313] it quite seriously.

[314] So there's this bigger world of conspiracy theorists, which is a kind of, I mean, there's elements of it that are religious as well, but I think they're also scientific.

[315] So the basic credo of a conspiracy theorist is to question everything, which is also the credo of a good scientist, I would say.

[316] So what do you make of this?

[317] Yes.

[318] I mean, I think it's probably too easy to say that by labeling something a conspiracy, you therefore dismiss it.

[319] I mean, occasionally conspiracies are right.

[320] And so we shouldn't dismiss conspiracy theories out of hand.

[321] We should examine them on their own merits.

[322] Flat earthism is obvious nonsense.

[323] We don't have to examine that much further.

[324] but there may be other conspiracy theories which are actually right so i've you know grew up in the so i i just you know the space race was very influential for me on both sides of the coin you know there's a conspiracy theory that we never went to the moon right and it's uh it's like i can understand it and it's very difficult to rigorously scientifically show one way or the other it's just you have to use some of the human intuition about who would have to lie, who would have to work together.

[325] And it's clear that very unlikely good, behind that is my general intuition that most people in this world are good.

[326] You know, in order to really put together some conspiracy theories, there has to be a large number of people working together and essentially being dishonest.

[327] Yes, which is improbable.

[328] The sheer number who would have to be in on this conspiracy and the sheer detail, the tension to detail they'd have had to have had, and so on.

[329] I'd also worry about the motive.

[330] And why would anyone want to suggest that it didn't happen?

[331] What's the, why is it so hard to believe?

[332] I mean, the physics of it, the mathematics of it, the idea of computing orbits and trajectories and things, it all works mathematically.

[333] Why wouldn't you believe it?

[334] It's a psychology question, because there's something really pleasant about pointing out that the emperor has no clothes when everybody, like, you know, thinking outside the box and coming up with the true answer where everybody else is diluted.

[335] There's something, I mean, I have that for science, right?

[336] You want to prove the entire scientific community wrong.

[337] That's the whole...

[338] No, that's right.

[339] And of course, historically, lone geniuses have come out right sometimes.

[340] Yes.

[341] But often people who think they're a lone genius, much more often turn out not to.

[342] So you have to judge each case on its merits.

[343] The mere fact that you're a maverick, the mere fact that you're going against the current tide doesn't make you right.

[344] You've got to show your right by looking at the evidence.

[345] So because you've focused so much on religion and disassembled a lot of ideas there, and I was wondering if you have ideas about conspiracy theory groups because it's such a prevalent, even reaching into presidential politics and so on, it seems like it's a very large community that believe different kinds of conspiracy theories.

[346] Is there some connection there to your thinking on religion?

[347] It is curious.

[348] It's an obviously difficult thing.

[349] I don't understand why people believe things that are clearly nonsense like, well, flat earth and also the conspiracy about not landing on the moon or that the United States engineer 9 -11, that kind of thing.

[350] So it's not clearly nonsense, it's extremely unlikely.

[351] Okay, it's extremely unlikely.

[352] Religion is a bit different because it's passed down from generation to generation.

[353] So many of the people who are religious got it from their parents, who got it from their parents, who got it from their parents.

[354] And childhood indoctrination is a very powerful force.

[355] But these things like the 9 -11 conspiracy theory, the Kennedy assassination conspiracy theory, the Man on the Moon conspiracy theory, these are not childhood indoctrination.

[356] These are presumably dreamed up by somebody who then tells somebody else, who then wants to believe it.

[357] And I don't know why people are so eager to fall in line with just some person that they happen to read or meet who spins some yarn.

[358] I can kind of understand why they believe what their parents and teachers told them when they were very tiny and not capable of critical thinking for themselves.

[359] So I sort of get why the great religions of the world, like Catholicism and Islam, go on persisting.

[360] It's because of childhood indoctrination.

[361] But that's not true of flat earthism.

[362] And sure enough, flat earthism is a very minority cult.

[363] Way larger than I ever realized.

[364] Well, yes, I know.

[365] So that's a really clean idea.

[366] and you've articulated that in your new book and I'll grow in God and in God delusion is the early indoctrination.

[367] That's really interesting.

[368] You can get away with a lot of out there ideas in terms of religious texts if the age which you convey those ideas at first is a young age.

[369] So indoctrination is sort of an essential element of propagation of religion.

[370] So let me ask on the morality side, in the books that I mentioned, God delusioned, I'll growing God.

[371] You describe that human beings don't need religion to be moral.

[372] So from an engineering perspective, we want to engineer morality into AI systems.

[373] So in general, where do you think morals come from in humans?

[374] A very complicated and interesting question.

[375] It's clear to me that the moral standards, the moral values, of our civilization changes as the decades go by, certainly as the centuries go by, even as the decades go by.

[376] And we in the 21st century are quite clearly labeled 21st century people in terms of our moral values.

[377] There's a spread.

[378] I mean, some of us are a little bit more ruthless, some of us, more conservative, some of us more liberal and so on.

[379] But we all subscribe to pretty much the same views when you compare us with, say, 18th century, 17th century people, even 19th century, 20th century people.

[380] So we're much less racist, we're much less sexist and so on than we used to be.

[381] Some people are still racist and some are still sexist, but the spread has shifted.

[382] The Gaussian distribution has moved and moves steadily as the centuries go by.

[383] And that is the most powerful influence I can see on our moral values.

[384] And that doesn't have anything to do with religion.

[385] I mean, the morals of the Old Testament are bronze age models.

[386] They're deplorable, and they are to be understood in terms of the people, in the desert who made them up at the time.

[387] And so human sacrifice, an eye for an eye, a tooth for a tooth, petty, revenge, killing people for breaking the Sabbath, all that kind of thing, inconceivable now.

[388] So at some point religious texts may have in part reflected that Gaussian distribution at that time.

[389] I'm sure they did.

[390] I'm sure they always reflect that, yes.

[391] And then now, but the sort of almost like the meme, as you describe it, of.

[392] ideas moves much faster than religious texts do, the new religion.

[393] Yes, so basing your morals on religious texts, which were written millennia ago, is not a great way to proceed.

[394] I think that's pretty clear.

[395] So not only should we not get our morals from such text, but we don't.

[396] We quite clearly don't.

[397] If we did, then we'd be discriminating against women, and we'd be racist, we'd be, killing homosexuals and so on.

[398] So we don't and we shouldn't.

[399] Now, of course, it's possible to use your 21st century standards of morality, and you can look at the Bible, and you can cherry pick particular verses, which conform to our modern morality, and you'll find that Jesus says some pretty nice things, which is great.

[400] But you're using your 21st century morality to decide which verses to pick, which verses to reject.

[401] And so why not cut out the middleman of the Bible and go straight to the 21st century morality, which is where that comes from?

[402] It's a much more complicated question.

[403] Why is it that morality, moral values change as the centuries go by?

[404] They undoubtedly do.

[405] And it's a very interesting question to ask why.

[406] It's another example of cultural evolution, just as technology progresses, so moral values progress for probably very different reasons.

[407] But it's interesting if the direction in which that progress is happening has some evolutionary value or if it's merely a drift that can go into any direction.

[408] I'm not sure it's any direction, and I'm not sure it's evolutionarily valuable.

[409] What it is is progressive in the sense that each step is a step in the same direction as the previous step.

[410] So it becomes more gentle, more decent, by modern standards, more liberal, less violent.

[411] See, but more decent, I think you're using terms and interpreting everything in the context of the 21st century.

[412] Because Genghis Khan would probably say that this is not more decent because we're now, you know, there's a lot of weak members of society that we're not murder.

[413] Yes.

[414] And I was careful to say by the standards of the 21st century, by our standards, If we, with hindsight, look back at history, what we see is a trend in the direction towards us, towards our present.

[415] Right.

[416] Our present value system.

[417] So for us, we see progress, but it's an open question whether that won't, you know, I don't see necessarily why we can never return to Genghis Contimes.

[418] Well, we could.

[419] I suspect we won't.

[420] But if you look at the history of moral values over the centuries, it is in a progressive.

[421] I use the word progressive, not in a value judgment sense, in the sense of a transitive sense.

[422] Each step is the same direction as the previous step.

[423] So things like we don't derive entertainment from torturing cats.

[424] We don't derive entertainment from like the Romans did in the Colosseum from that stage.

[425] Or rather we suppress the desire to get, I mean, to have play.

[426] It's probably in us somewhere.

[427] So there's a bunch of parts of our brain, one that probably, you know, a limbic system that wants certain pleasures.

[428] And that's, I don't, I mean, I wouldn't have said that.

[429] But you're at liberty to think that you're like.

[430] Well, no, there's a, there's a Dan Carlin of hardcore history.

[431] There's a really nice explanation of how we've enjoyed watching the torture of people, the fighting of people, just the torture, the suffering of people throughout history as entertainment.

[432] until quite recently.

[433] And now everything we do with sports, we're kind of channeling that feeling into something else.

[434] So, I mean, there is some dark aspects of human nature there are underneath everything.

[435] And I do hope this, like, higher level software we've built will keep us at bay.

[436] Yes.

[437] I'm also Jewish and have history with the Soviet Union and the Holocaust.

[438] And I clearly remember that, some of the darker aspects of human nature creeped up there.

[439] They do.

[440] There have been steps backwards, admittedly, and the Holocaust is obvious one.

[441] But if you take a broad view of history, it's in the same direction.

[442] So Pamela McCordick in Machines Who Think has written that AI began with an ancient wish to forge the gods.

[443] Do you see, it's a poetic description, I suppose, but do you see a connection between our civilizations historic desire to create gods, to create religions, and our modern desire to create technology, an intelligent technology.

[444] I suppose there's a link between an ancient desire to explain away mystery and science, but artificial intelligence creating gods, creating new gods.

[445] I forget, I read somewhere somewhat facetious, paper which said that we have a new god is called Google and we pray to it and we worship it and we ask its advice like an oracle and so on.

[446] That's fun.

[447] You don't see that, you see that as a fun statement, a facetious statement.

[448] You don't see that as a kind of truth of us creating things that are more powerful than ourselves and natural sort of.

[449] It has a kind of poetic resonance to it, which I get.

[450] But I wouldn't, I wouldn't.

[451] I wouldn't, I wouldn't, I wouldn't, I wouldn't.

[452] I wouldn't have bothered to make the point myself, put it that way.

[453] All right.

[454] So you don't think AI will become our new religion, a new gods?

[455] Like Google?

[456] Well, yes.

[457] I mean, I can see that the future of intelligent machines or indeed intelligent aliens from outer space might yield beings that we would regard as gods in the sense that they are so superior to us that we might as well worship them.

[458] That's highly plausible, I think.

[459] But I see a very fundamental distinction between a God who is simply defined as something very, very powerful and intelligent on the one hand, and a God who doesn't need explaining by a progressive step -by -step process like evolution or like engineering design.

[460] So suppose we did meet an alien from outer space who was marvelously, magnificently more intelligent than us and we would sort of worship it for that reason.

[461] Nevertheless, it would not be a God in the very important sense that it did not just happen to be there like God is supposed to.

[462] It must have come about by a gradual step -by -step, incremental progressive process, presumably like Darwinian evolution, is that there's all the difference in the world between those two.

[463] Intelligence, design comes into the universe late as a product of a progressive evolutionary process or progressive engineering design process.

[464] So most of the work is done through this slow -moving progress.

[465] Exactly.

[466] progress exactly yeah the yeah it's but there's still this desire to get answers to the wide question that if if we're if the world is a simulation if we're living in a simulation that there's a programmer like creature that we can ask questions of okay well let's let's pursue the idea that we're living in a simulation which is not not totally ridiculous by the way um there we go um then you still need to explain the programmer, the programmer had to come into existence by some, even if we're in a simulation, the programmer must have evolved.

[467] Or if he's in a sort of, or she, if she's in a meta simulation, then the meta -meta -programmer must have evolved by a gradual process.

[468] You can't escape that.

[469] Fundamentally, you've got to come back to a gradual incremental process of explanation to start with.

[470] there's no shortcuts in this world but maybe to linger on that point about the simulation do you think it's an interesting basically talk to board the heck out of everybody asking this question but whether you live in a simulation do you think first do you think we live in a simulation second do you think it's an interesting thought experiment it's certainly an interesting thought experiment I first met it in a science fiction novel by Daniel Galloy called Counterfeit World, in which it's all about, I mean, our heroes are running a gigantic computer which simulates the world, and something goes wrong.

[471] And so one of them has to go down into the simulated world in order to fix it.

[472] And then the denouement of the thing, the climax to the novel, is that they discover that they themselves are in another simulation at a higher level.

[473] So I was intrigued by this, and I love others of Daniel Galloway's science fiction novels.

[474] Then it was revived seriously by Nick Bostrom.

[475] Bostrom talking to him in an hour.

[476] Okay.

[477] And he goes further, not just treat it as a science fiction speculation, he actually thinks it's positively likely.

[478] I mean, they think it's very likely, actually.

[479] Well, he makes like a probabilistic argument, which you can use to come up with very interesting conclusions about the nature of this universe.

[480] I mean, he thinks that we're in a simulation done by, so to speak, our descendants of the future.

[481] But it's still a product of evolution.

[482] It's still ultimately going to be a product of evolution, even though the super -intelligent people of the future have created our world.

[483] And you and I are just a simulation, and this table is a simulation and so on.

[484] I don't actually, in my heart of hearts, believe it, but I like his argument.

[485] Well, so the interesting thing is that I agree with you, but the interesting thing to me, if I always say, if we're living in a simulation, that in that simulation to make it work, you still have to do everything gradually, just like you said.

[486] That even though it's programmed, I don't think there can be miracles.

[487] Well, no, I mean, the programmer, the upper ones, have to have evolved gradually.

[488] However, the simulation they create could be instantaneous.

[489] I mean, they could be switched on and we come into the world with fabricated memories.

[490] True, but what I'm trying to convey, so you're saying the broader statement, but I'm saying from an engineering perspective, both the programmer has to be slowly evolved and the simulation because it's like, from an engineering perspective.

[491] Oh, yeah.

[492] It takes a long time to write a program.

[493] No, like just I don't think you can create the universe.

[494] in a snap.

[495] I think you have to grow it.

[496] Okay.

[497] Well, that's a good point.

[498] That's an arguable point.

[499] By the way, I have thought about using the Nick Bostrom idea to solve the riddle of how you were talking.

[500] We were talking earlier about why the human brain can achieve so much.

[501] I thought of this when my then 100 -year -old mother was marveling at what I could do with it with us.

[502] smartphone.

[503] And I could, you know, call, look up anything in the encyclopedia.

[504] I could play her music that she liked and so on.

[505] She said, it's all in that, in that tiny little phone.

[506] No, it's out there.

[507] It's in the cloud.

[508] And maybe what most of what we do is in a cloud.

[509] So maybe if we're, if we are a simulation, then all the power that we think is in our skull, it actually may be like the power that we think is in the iPhone.

[510] But is that actually out there.

[511] It's an interface to something else.

[512] I mean, that's what, including Roger Penrose with panpsychism, that consciousness is somehow a fundamental part of physics, that it doesn't have to actually all reside inside the brain.

[513] But Roger thinks it does reside in the skull, whereas I'm suggesting that it doesn't, that there's a cloud.

[514] That'd be a fascinating notion.

[515] On a small tangent, are you familiar with the work of Donald Hoffman, I guess, maybe not saying his name correctly, but just forget the name, the idea that there's a difference in reality and perception.

[516] So like we biological organisms perceive the world in order for the natural selection process to be able to survive and so on, but that doesn't mean that our perception actually reflects the fundamental reality, the physical reality underneath?

[517] Well, I do think that although it reflects the fundamental reality, I do believe there is a fundamental reality, I do think that our perception is constructive in the sense that we construct in our minds a model of what we're seeing.

[518] And so this is really the view of people who work on visual illusions like Richard Gregory who point out the things like a next cube, which flip from a two -dimensional picture of a cube on sheet of paper.

[519] We see it as a three -dimensional cube, and it flips from one orientation to another at regular intervals.

[520] What's going on is that the brain is constructing a cube, but the sense data are compatible with two alternative cubes.

[521] And so rather than stick with one of them, it alternates between them.

[522] I think that's just a model for what we do all the time when we see a table, when we see a person, when we see anything.

[523] We're using the sense data to construct or make use of a perhaps previously constructed model.

[524] I noticed this when I meet somebody who actually is, say, a friend of mine, but until I kind of realize that it is him, he looks different.

[525] And then I finally clock that it's him, his features switch like a necker cube into the familiar form.

[526] As it were, I've taken his face out of the filing cabinet inside and grafted it onto or used the sense data to invoke it.

[527] Yeah, we do some kind of miraculous compression on this whole thing to be able to filter most of the sense data.

[528] It makes sense of it.

[529] That's just a magical thing that we do.

[530] So you've written several many amazing books but let me ask what books technical or fiction or philosophical had a big impact on your own life what what books would you recommend people consider reading in their own intellectual journey Darwin of course and the original I've actually ashamed to say I've never read Darwin he's astonishingly prescient because considering he was writing in the middle of the 19th century.

[531] Michael Gieselin said he's working 100 years ahead of his time.

[532] Everything except genetics is amazingly right and amazingly far ahead of his time.

[533] And of course, you need to read the updatings that have happened since his time as well.

[534] I mean, he would be astonished by, well, let alone what's known Crick, of course, but he would be.

[535] be astonished by Mendelian genetics as well.

[536] Yeah, you're fascinating to see what he would think about DNA.

[537] I mean, yes, it would.

[538] Because in many ways, it clears up what appeared in his time to be a riddle.

[539] The digital nature of genetics clears up what was a problem, what was a big problem.

[540] Gosh, there's so much that I could think of.

[541] I can't really.

[542] Is there something outside sort of more.

[543] fiction is there when you think young was there books that just kind of outside of kind of the realm of science yes they just kind of sparked your yes well actually um i i have i suppose i could say that i've learned some some science from science fiction um i may i meant i mentioned daniel galloy and that's one example but another of his novels called dark universe which is not terribly well known but it's a very very nice science fiction story.

[544] It's about a world of perpetual darkness.

[545] And we're not told at the beginning of the book why these people are in darkness.

[546] They stumble around in some kind of underground world of caverns and passages using echolocation like bats and whales to get around.

[547] And they've adapted, presumably by Darwinian means, to survive in perpetual total darkness.

[548] But what's interesting is that their mythology, their religion, has echoes of Christianity, but it's based on light.

[549] And so there's been a fall from a paradise world that once existed where light reigns supreme.

[550] And because of the sin of mankind, light banished them.

[551] So they no longer are in light's presence.

[552] But light survives in the form of mythology and in the form of sayings like they're great light almighty oh for light's sake don't do that and i and i hear what you mean rather than i see what you what you mean so the some of the same religious elements are present in this other totally kind of absurd different form yes and so it's a wonderful i wouldn't call it sat up because it's too good nature for that i mean a wonderful parable about christianity and the doctrine the theological doctrine of the fall um so i find that that that kind of science fiction immensely stimulating.

[553] Fred Hoyle's The Black Cloud.

[554] Oh, by the way, anything by Arthur C. Clark, I find very, very wonderful too.

[555] Fred Hollis the Black Cloud, his first science fiction novel where he, well, I learned a lot of science from that.

[556] It has, it suffers from an obnoxious hero, unfortunately, but apart from that, you learn a lot of science from it.

[557] Another of his novels, Apha Andromeda, which, by the way, the theme of that is taken up by Carl Sagan's science fiction novel, another wonderful writer, Carl Sagan contact, where the idea is, again, we will not be visited from outer space by physical bodies.

[558] We will be visited, possibly.

[559] We might be visited by radio.

[560] But the radio signals could manipulate us and actually have a concrete influence on the world if they make us or persuade us to build a computer which runs their software so that they can then transmit their software by radio and then the computer takes over the world and this is the same theme in both Hoyle's book and Sagan's book I presume I don't know whether Sagan knew about Hohle's book probably did and but it's a clever idea that we will never be invaded by physical bodies the war of the worlds of HG Wells will never happen but we could be invaded by radio signals code coded information which is sort of like DNA and we are we are I call them we are survival machines of our DNA so it has great resonance for me because I think of us, I think of bodies, physical bodies, biological bodies, as being manipulated by coded information in DNA, which has come down through generations.

[561] And in the space of memes, it doesn't have to be physical.

[562] It can be transmitted through the space of information.

[563] That's a fascinating possibility that from outer space we can be infiltrated by other memes by other ideas and thereby controlled in that way.

[564] Let me ask the last, the silliest or maybe the most important question.

[565] What is the meaning of life?

[566] What gives your life fulfillment, purpose, happiness, meaning?

[567] From a scientific point of view, the meaning of life is the propagation of DNA, but that's not what I feel.

[568] That's not the meaning of my life.

[569] So the meaning of my life is something which is probably different from yours and different from other people's, We each make our own meaning.

[570] So we set up goals.

[571] We want to achieve.

[572] We want to write a book.

[573] We want to do whatever it is.

[574] We do write a quartet.

[575] We want to win a football match.

[576] And these are short -term goals, well, maybe even quite long -term goals, which are set up by our brains, which have goal -seeking machinery built into them.

[577] But what we feel, we don't feel, motivated by the desire to pass on our DNA mostly.

[578] We have other goals, which can be very moving, very important.

[579] They could even be called spiritual in some cases.

[580] We want to understand the riddle of the universe.

[581] We want to understand consciousness.

[582] We want to understand how the brain works.

[583] These are all noble goals.

[584] Some of them can be noble goals anyway.

[585] and they are a far cry from the fundamental biological goal, which is the propagation of DNA.

[586] But the machinery that enables us to set up these higher -level goals is originally programmed into us by natural selection of DNA.

[587] The propagation of DNA, but what do you make of this unfortunate fact that we are mortal?

[588] Do you ponder your mortality?

[589] Does it make you sad?

[590] I ponder it It makes me sad that I shall have to leave And not see what's going to happen next If there's something frightening about mortality Apart from sort of missing as I've said Something more deeply, darkly frightening It's the idea of eternity But eternity is only frightening if you're there Eternity before we were born Billions of years before we were born, and we were effectively dead before we were born.

[591] As I think it was Mark Twain said, I was dead for billions of years before I was born and never suffered the smallest inconvenience.

[592] That's how it's going to be after we leave.

[593] So I think of it as really, eternity is a frightening prospect, and so the best way to spend it is under a general anesthetic, which is what it'll be.

[594] Beautifully put, Richard, there's a huge honor to meet you to talk to you.

[595] Thank you so much for your time.

[596] Thank you very much.

[597] Thanks for listening to this conversation with Richard Dawkins, and thank you to our presenting sponsor, Cash App.

[598] Please consider supporting the podcast by downloading Cash App and using code Lex Podcast.

[599] If you enjoy this podcast, subscribe on YouTube, review with 5 stars on Apple Podcast, support on Patreon, or simply connect with me on Twitter at Lex Friedman.

[600] And now, let me leave you with some words of wisdom from Richard Dawkins.

[601] We are going to die.

[602] And that makes us the lucky ones.

[603] Most people are never going to die because they are never going to be born.

[604] The potential people who could have been here in my place, but who will in fact never see the light of day outnumber the sand grains of Arabia.

[605] Certainly, those unborn ghosts include greater poets than Keats, scientists greater than Newton.

[606] We know this because the set of possible people allowed by our DNA so massively exceeds the set of actual people.

[607] In the teeth of these stupefying odds, it is you and I in our ordinariness that are here.

[608] We privileged few who won the lottery of birth against all odds.

[609] How dare we whine at our inevitable return to that prior state from which the vast majority have never stirred?

[610] Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.