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#99 – Karl Friston: Neuroscience and the Free Energy Principle

#99 – Karl Friston: Neuroscience and the Free Energy Principle

Lex Fridman Podcast XX

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[0] The following is a conversation with Carl Fristin, one of the greatest neuroscientists in history, cited over 245 ,000 times known for many influential ideas in brain imaging, neuroscience, and theoretical neurobiology, including especially the fascinating idea of the free energy principle for action and perception.

[1] Carl's mix of humor, brilliance, and kindness to me are inspiring and captivating.

[2] This was a huge honor and a pleasure.

[3] This is the Artificial Intelligence podcast.

[4] If you enjoy it, subscribe on YouTube, review it with five stars on Apple Podcast, support on Patreon, or simply connect with me on Twitter, Alex Friedman, spelled F -R -I -D -M -A -N.

[5] As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now and never any ads in the middle that can break the flow of the conversation.

[6] I hope that works for you and doesn't hurt the listening experience.

[7] This show is presented by Cash App, the number one finance app in the App Store.

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[14] And now, here's my conversation with Carl Fristin.

[15] How much of the human brain do we understand from the low level of the level of urinal communication, to the functional level, to the highest level, maybe the psychiatric disorder level.

[16] Well, we're certainly in a better position than we were last century, how far we've got to go, I think is almost an unanswerable question.

[17] So you'd have to set the parameters, you know, what constitutes understanding, what level of understanding do you want?

[18] I think we've made enormous progress in terms of broad brush principles, whether that affords a detailed cartography of the functional anatomy of the brain and what it does and right down to the microcircuitary in the neurons.

[19] That's probably out of reach at the present time.

[20] So the cartography, so mapping the brain, do you think mapping of the brain, the detailed, perfect imaging of it, does that get a...

[21] closer to understanding of the mind, of the brain.

[22] So how far does it get us if we have that perfect cartography of the brain?

[23] I think there are lower bounds on that.

[24] It's a really interesting question.

[25] And it would determine this sort of scientific career you'd pursue if you believe that knowing every dendritic connection, every sort of microscopic synaptic structure right down to the molecular level, was going to give you the right kind of information to understand the computational anatomy, then you'd choose to be a microscopist and you would study little cubic millimeters of brain for the rest of your life.

[26] If, on the other hand, you were interested in holistic functions and a sort of functional anatomy of the sort that a neuropsychologist would understand, you'd study brain lesions and strokes, you know, just looking at the whole person.

[27] so again it comes back to at what level do you want understanding I think there are principled reasons not to go too far if you commit to a view of the brain as a machine that's performing a form of inference and representing things there are that understanding that level of understanding is necessarily cast in terms of probability densities and ensemble densities, distributions.

[28] And what that tells you is that you don't really want to look at the atoms to understand the thermodynamics of probabilistic descriptions for how the brain works.

[29] So I personally wouldn't look at the molecules or indeed the single neurons in the same way if I wanted to understand the thermodynamics of some non -equilibrium, steady state of a gas or an active material, I wouldn't spend my life looking at the individual molecules that constitute their ensemble.

[30] I'd look at their collective behavior.

[31] On the other hand, if you go too coarse grain, you're going to miss some basic canonical principles of connectivity and architectures.

[32] I'm thinking here it's a bit colloquial, but there's current excitement about high -field magnetic.

[33] resonance imaging at 7 Tesla.

[34] Why?

[35] Well, it gives us for the first time the opportunity to look at the brain in action at the level of a few millimeters that distinguish between different layers of the cortex that may be very important in terms of evincing generic principles of chronical microcircuitary that are replicated throughout the brain that may tell us something fundamental about message passing in the brain and these density dynamics of or neuronal or somal population dynamics that underwrite our brain function.

[36] So somewhere between a millimeter and a meter.

[37] Lingeringering for a bit on the big questions, if you allow me, what to you is the most beautiful or surprising characteristic of the human brain?

[38] I think it's hierarchical and recursive aspect, its recurrent aspect.

[39] Of the structure or of the actual representation of power of the brain?

[40] Well, I think one speaks to the other.

[41] I was actually answering in a dull -minded way, from the point of view of purely its anatomy and its structural aspects.

[42] I mean, there are many marvellous organs in the body.

[43] Let's take your liver, for example.

[44] Without it, you wouldn't be around for very long.

[45] And it does some beautiful and delicate bichemistry and homeostasis.

[46] And you're evolved with a finesse that would easily parallel.

[47] the brain, but it doesn't have a beautiful anatomy.

[48] It has a simple anatomy, which is attractive in a minimalist sense, but it doesn't have that crafted structure of sparse connectivity and that recurrence and that specialization that the brain has.

[49] So you said a lot of interesting terms here.

[50] So the recurrence, the sparsity, but you also started by saying hierarchical.

[51] So I've never thought of our brain as hierarchical.

[52] sort of I always thought it's just like a giant mess interconnected mess where it's very difficult to figure anything out but in what sense do you see the brain is hierarchical well I see it's not a magic soup of course is what I used to think when I was before I studied menstrual and the like so a lot of those terms imply each other So hierarchies, if you just think about the nature of a hierarchy, how would you actually build one?

[53] And what you would have to do is basically carefully remove the right connections that destroy the completely connected soaps that you might have in mind.

[54] So a hierarchy is in and of itself defined by a sparse and particular connectivity structure.

[55] and I'm not committing to any particular form of hierarchy but your sense is there is some oh absolutely yeah in virtue of the fact that there is a sparsity of connectivity not necessarily of a qualitative sort but certainly for quantitative sort so it is demonstrably so that they've far further apart two parts of the brain are the less likely that they are to be wired you know to possess axonal processes, neuronal processes that directly communicate one message or messages from one part of that brain to the other part of the brain.

[56] So we know there's a sparse connectivity and furthermore on the basis of anatomical connectivity and tracer studies we know that that sparsity underwrites a hierarchical and very structured sort of connectivity that might be best understood like a little bit like an onion.

[57] You know, there is a concentric sometimes referred to as centripetal by people like Marcel Mesulam, hierarchical organisation to the brain.

[58] So you can think of the brain as in a rough sense like an onion and all the sensory information and all the affront outgoing messages.

[59] that supply commands to your muscles or to your secretory organs come from the surface.

[60] So there's a massive exchange interface with the world out there on the surface.

[61] And then underneath there's a little layer that sits and looks at the exchange on the surface, and then underneath that there's a layer right the way down to the very centre, through the deepest part of the onion.

[62] That's what I mean by a hierarchical organisation.

[63] There's a discernible structure defined by the sparsity of connections that lends the architecture, a hierarchical structure that tells one a lot about the kinds of representations and messages.

[64] So coming back to your early question, is this about the representational capacity or is it about the anatomy?

[65] Well, one underwrites the other.

[66] You know, if one simply thinks of the brain as a message passing machine, a process that is in the service of doing something, then the circuitry and the connectivity that shape that message passing also dictate its function.

[67] So you've done a lot of amazing work in a lot of directions.

[68] So let's look at one aspect of that of looking into the brain and trying to study this onion structure.

[69] what can we learn about the brain by imaging it, which is one way to sort of look at the anatomy of it, broadly speaking.

[70] What are the methods of imaging, but even bigger, what can we learn about it?

[71] Right.

[72] So, well, most imaging, human neuroimaging, that you might see in science journals, that speaks to the way the brain works, measures brain activity over time.

[73] So, you know, that's the first thing to say that we're effectively looking at fluctuations in neuronal responses, usually in response to some sensory input or some instruction, some task.

[74] Not necessarily, there's a lot of interest in just looking at the brain in terms of resting state, endogenous or intrinsic activity.

[75] But crucially, at every point, looking at these fluctuating, either induced or intrinsic in neural activity and understanding them at two levels.

[76] So normally people would recourse to two principles of brain organization that are complementary, one functional specialisation or segregation.

[77] So what does that mean?

[78] It simply means that there are certain parts of the brain that may be specialised for certain kinds of processing.

[79] For example, visual motion.

[80] ability to recognise or to perceive movement in the visual world.

[81] And furthermore, that specialised processing may be spatially or anatomically segregated, leading to functional segregation, which means that if I were to compare your brain activity during a period of viewing a static image, and then compare that to the responses, of fluctuations in the brain when you were exposed to a moving image, say a flying bird, and we'd expect to see restricted, segregated differences in activity, and those are basically the hotspots that you see in the statistical parametric maps that test for the significance of the responses that are circumscribed.

[82] So now basically we're talking about some people have perhaps unkindly called a neoconial, cartography.

[83] This is a phrenology augmented by modern day neuroimaging basically finding blobs or bumps on the brain that do this or do that and trying to understand the cartography of that functional specialization.

[84] So how much is there such such a beautiful sort of ideal to strive for we humans, scientists would like to hope that there's a beautiful structure to this, where, like you said, there are segregated regions that are responsible for the different function.

[85] How much hope is there to find such regions in terms of looking at the progress of studying the brain?

[86] Oh, I think enormous progress has been made in the past, you know, 20 or 30 years.

[87] So this is beyond incremental.

[88] At the advent of brain imaging, the very notion of functional segregation was just a hypothesis, based upon a century, if not more, of careful neuropsychology looking at people who had lost via insult or traumatic brain injury, particular parts of the brain, and then saying, well, they can't do this or they can't do that.

[89] For example, losing the visual cortex and not being able to see, or losing particular parts of the visual cortex or regions known as V5 or the middle temporal region, M .T. And noticing that they selectively could not see moving things.

[90] And so that created the hypothesis that perhaps movement processing, visual movement processing, was located in this functionally segregated area.

[91] And you could then go and put invasive electrodes in animal models and say, yes, indeed.

[92] We can excite activity here.

[93] We can form receptive fields that are sensitive to or defined in terms of visual motion.

[94] But at no point could you exclude the possibility that everywhere else in the brain was also very interested in visual motion.

[95] By the way, I apologize to interrupt, but a tiny little tangent, you said animal models, just out of curiosity from your perspective, how different is the human brain versus the other animals in terms of our ability to study?

[96] the brain.

[97] Well, clearly, the far further away you go from a human brain, the greater differences, but not as remarkable as you might think.

[98] So people will choose their level of approximation to the human brain, depending upon the kinds of questions that they want to answer.

[99] So if you're talking about sort of canonical principles of microcircuitary, it might be perfectly okay to look at a mouse.

[100] Indeed, you could even look at flies, worms.

[101] on the other hand, you wanted to look at the finer details of organization of visual cortex and V1, V2.

[102] These are designated sort of patches of cortex that may do different things indeed do.

[103] You'd probably want to use a primate that looked a little bit more like a human because there are lots of ethical issues in terms of, you know, the use of non -human primates to, you know, transfer questions about human anatomy.

[104] But I think most of the most of the people assume that most of the important principles are conserved in a continuous way, you know, from, right from, well, yes, worms right the way through to you and me. So now returning to, so that was the early sort of ideas of studying the functional regions of the brain, by if there's some damage to it to try to infer that there's that part of the brain might be somewhat responsible for this type of function.

[105] So what does that lead us?

[106] What are the next steps beyond that?

[107] Right.

[108] Well, just actually just reverse a bit.

[109] Come back to your sort of notion that the brain is a magic soup.

[110] But that was actually a very prominent idea at one point.

[111] Notions such as Lashley's law of mass action inherited from the observation that for certain animals, if you just took out spoonfuls of the brain, it didn't matter where, you took these spoonfuls out.

[112] They always showed the same kinds of deficits.

[113] So, you know, it was very difficult to infer functional specialisation pure on the basis of lesion deficit studies.

[114] But once we had the opportunity to look at the brain lighting up and it's literally it's sort of excitement, neuronal excitement when looking at this versus that, one was able to say, yes, indeed, these functionally specialised responses are very restricted and they, They're here or they're over there.

[115] If I do this, then this part of the brain lights up.

[116] And that became doable in the early 90s.

[117] In fact, shortly before with the advent of positon emission tomography.

[118] And then functional magnetic resonance imaging came along in the early 90s.

[119] And since that time, there has been an explosion of discovery, refinement, confirmation.

[120] You know, there are people who believe that it's all in the anatomy.

[121] If you understand the anatomy, then you understand the function at some level.

[122] And many, many hypotheses were predicated on a deep understanding of the anatomy and the connectivity.

[123] But they were all confirmed and taken much further with neuroimaging.

[124] So that's what I meant by we've made an enormous amount of progress in this century, indeed, and in relation to the previous century, by looking at these functionally selective responses.

[125] But that wasn't the whole story.

[126] So there was this sort of neoprenology, but finding bumps and hops and spots in the brain that did this or that.

[127] The bigger question was, of course, the functional integration, how all of these regionally specific responses were orchestrated, how they were distributed, how did they relate to distributed processing and indeed representations in the brain.

[128] So then you turn to the more challenging issue of the integration and the connectivity.

[129] And then we come back to this beautiful, sparse, recurrent, hierarchical connectivity that seems characteristic of the brain and probably not many other organs.

[130] But nevertheless, we come back to this challenge of trying to figure out how everything is integrated.

[131] But what's your feeling?

[132] What's the general consensus?

[133] Have we moved away from the magic soup view of the brain?

[134] Yes.

[135] So there is a deep structure to it.

[136] And then maybe a further question.

[137] You said some people believe that the structure is most of it, that you can really get at the core of the function by just deeply understanding the structure.

[138] Where do you sit on that?

[139] I think it's got some mileage to it, yes.

[140] Yeah.

[141] So it's a worthy pursuit of going, of studying, through imaging and all the different methods to actually study the structure.

[142] Sorry, I'm just noting you were accusing me of using lots of long words and then you introduced one there, which is deep, which is interesting.

[143] Because deep is the sort of millennial equivalent of hierarchical.

[144] So if you put deep in front of anything, you're not only, you're very millennial.

[145] very trending, but you're also implying a hierarchical architecture.

[146] So it is a depth, which is, for me, the beautiful thing.

[147] That's right.

[148] The word deep kind of, yeah, exactly.

[149] It implies hierarchy.

[150] I didn't even think about that.

[151] That indeed, the implicit meaning of the word deep is a hierarchy.

[152] Yep.

[153] Yeah.

[154] So deep inside the onion is the center of your soul.

[155] Beautifully put.

[156] Maybe briefly, if you can paint a picture of, the kind of methods of neuroimaging, maybe the history, which you were a part of, you know, from statistical parametric mapping.

[157] I mean, just what's out there that's interesting for people maybe outside the field to understand of what are the actual methodologies of looking inside the human brain?

[158] Right.

[159] Well, you can answer that question from two perspectives.

[160] Basically, it's the modality.

[161] You know, what kind of signal are you measuring?

[162] And they can range from, and let's limit ourselves to, sort of imaging -based non -invasive techniques.

[163] So you've essentially got brain scanners, and brain scanners can either measure the structural attributes, the amount of water, the amount of fat, or the amount of iron in different parts of the brain.

[164] You can make lots of inferences about the structure of the organ of the sort that you might abduce from an x -ray, but a very nuanced x -ray that is looking at this kind of property, or that kind of property.

[165] So looking at the anatomy, non -invasively, would be the first sort of neuroimaging that people might want to employ.

[166] Then you move on to the kinds of measurements that reflect dynamic function and the most prevalent of those fall into two camps.

[167] You've got these metabolic, sometimes hemodynamic, blood -related signals.

[168] So these metabolic and or hemodynamic signals are basically proxies for elevative.

[169] activity and message passing and, you know, neuronal dynamics in particular parts of the brain.

[170] Characteristically, though, the time constants of these hemidynamic or metabolic responses to neural activity are much longer than the neural activity itself.

[171] And this is referring, forgive me for the dumb questions, but this would be referring to blood, like the flow of blood?

[172] Absolutely.

[173] So there's a ton of, it seems like there's a lot of, it seems like there's a ton of blood vessels in the brain.

[174] So, but what's the interaction between the flow of blood and the function of the neurons?

[175] Is there an interplay there?

[176] Yep, yep.

[177] And that interplay accounts for several careers of world -renowned scientists.

[178] Yes, absolutely.

[179] So this is known as neurovascular coupling, is exactly what you said.

[180] It's how does the neural activity, the neuronal infrastructure, the actual message passing that we think, underlies our capacity to perceive and act.

[181] How is that coupled to the vascular responses that supply the energy for that neural processing?

[182] So there's a delicate web of large vessels, arteries and veins, that gets progressively finer and finer in detail until it perfuses at a microscopic level the machinery where little neurons lie.

[183] So coming back to this sort of onion perspective, We were talking before using the onion as a metaphor for a deep hierarchical structure, but also I think it's just anatomical, anatomically quite a useful metaphor.

[184] All the action, all the heavy lifting in terms of neural computation is done on the surface of the brain.

[185] And then the interior of the brain is constituted by fatty wires, essentially, axonal processes that are enshrouded by myelin sheaths.

[186] and these give the, when you dissect them, they look fatty and white, and so it's called white matter, as opposed to the actual neuro pill, which does the computation constituted largely by neurons, and that's known as grey matter.

[187] So the grey matter is a surface or a skin that sits on top of this big ball.

[188] Now we are talking magic soup, but a big ball of connections like spaghetti, very carefully structured with sparse connectivity that preserve this deep hierarchical structure.

[189] but all the action takes place on the surface, on the cortex of the onion.

[190] And that means that you have to supply the right amount of blood flow, the right amount of nutrient, which is rapidly absorbed and used by neural cells, that don't have the same capacity that your leg muscles would have to basically spend their energy budget and then claim it back later.

[191] So one peculiar thing about cerebral metabolism, brain metabolism, is it really needs to be driven in the moment, which means you basically have to turn on the taps.

[192] So if there's lots of neural activity in one part of the brain, a little patch of a few millimeters, even less possibly, you really do have to water that piece of the garden now and quickly.

[193] And by quickly, I mean within a couple of seconds.

[194] So that contains a lot of information, hence the imaging could tell you a story of what's happening.

[195] Absolutely.

[196] But it is slightly compromised in terms of the resolution.

[197] So the deployment of these little microvessels that water the garden to enable the activity to the neural activity to play out, the spatial resolution is in order of a few millimeters.

[198] And crucially, the temporal resolution is the order of a few seconds.

[199] So you can't get right down and dirty into the actual spatial and temporal scale of neuronal activity in and of itself.

[200] To do that, you'd have to turn to the other big imaging modality, which is the recording of electromagnetic signals as they're generated in real time.

[201] So here, the temporal bandwidth, if you like, or the low limit on the temporal resolution is incredibly small.

[202] You're talking about, you know, naloseconds, millis seconds, and then you can get into the phasic fast responses that is, in and of itself, the neural activity and start to see the succession or cascade of hierarchical, recurrent message passing evoked by particular stimulus.

[203] But the problem is you're looking at electromagnetic signals that have passed through an enormous amount of magic soup or spaghetti of connectivity and through the scalp and the skull, and it's become spatially very diffuse.

[204] So it's very difficult to know where you are.

[205] So you've got this sort of catch -22.

[206] You can either use an imaging modality, it tells you within millimeters which part of the brain has activated, but you don't know when, or you've got these electromagnetic EEG -M -E -G setups that tell you to within a few milliseconds.

[207] when something has responded, but you're not aware.

[208] So you've got these two complementary measures, either indirect via the blood flow or direct via the electromagnetic signals caused by neural activity.

[209] These are the two big imaging devices.

[210] And then the second level of responding to your question, what are the, you know, from the outside, what are the big ways of using this technology?

[211] So once you've chosen the kind of mirror imaging that you want to use to answer your set questions, and sometimes it would have to be both, then you've got a whole raft of analyses, time series analyses usually, that you can bring to bear in order to answer your questions or address your hypothesis about those data.

[212] And interestingly, they've both fall into the same two camps we're talking about before.

[213] you know, this dialectic between specialization and integration, differentiation and integration.

[214] So it's the cartography, the Blubology analyses.

[215] I apologize.

[216] I probably shouldn't interrupt some ways, but just heard a fun word.

[217] The blah, the...

[218] Blubology.

[219] Blubology.

[220] It's a neologism, which means the study of blobs.

[221] So nothing more.

[222] Are you being witty and humorous, or is there an actual...

[223] Does the word blobology ever appear in a textbook somewhere?

[224] It would appear in a popular book.

[225] It would not appear in a worthy specialist journal.

[226] Yeah, I've got it.

[227] It's the fond word for the study of literally little blobs on brain maps showing activations.

[228] It's like the kind of thing that you'd see in the newspapers on ABC or BBC reporting the latest finding from brain imaging.

[229] Interestingly, though, the maths involved in that sort of.

[230] stream of analysis does actually call upon the mathematics of blobs.

[231] So seriously, they're actually called Euler characteristics and, you know, they have a lot of fancy names in mathematics.

[232] We'll talk about your ideas in free energy principle.

[233] I mean, there's echoes of blobs there when you consider sort of entities, mathematically speaking.

[234] Yes, absolutely.

[235] Yeah, yeah.

[236] Well, circumstrived, well -defined, you entities of, well, from the free energy point of view, entities of anything, but from the point of view of the analysis, the cartography of the brain, these are the entities that constitute the evidence for this functional segregation.

[237] You have segregated this function in this blob, and it is not outside of the blob.

[238] and that's basically if you were a mapmaker of America and you did not know its structure the first thing you were doing constituting or creating a map would be to identify the cities for example or the mountains or the rivers all of these uniquely spatially localisable features possibly topological features have to be placed somewhere because that requires a mathematics to identify what does a city look like on a satellite image or what does a river look like or what does a mountain look like?

[239] What data features would evidence that particular thing that you wanted to put on the map?

[240] And they normally are characterised in terms of literally these blobs or these sort of, the way looking at this is a certain statistical measure of the degree of activation crosses a threshold.

[241] And in crossing that threshold, in the spatially restricted part of the brain, it creates a blob.

[242] And that's basically what cystical parametric mapping does.

[243] It's basically mathematically finessed blobology.

[244] Okay, so you kind of describe these two methodologies for one is temporally noisy, one is spatially noisy, and you kind of have to play and figure out what can be useful.

[245] It'd be great if you can sort of comment.

[246] I got a chance recently to spend a day at a company called Neurilink that uses brain computer interfaces and their dream is to well there's a bunch of sort of dreams but one of them is to understand the brain by sort of you know getting in there past the so -called sort of factory wall getting in there and be able to listen communicate both directions what are your thoughts about the future of this kind of technology of brain computer interfaces to be able to now have a window or direct contact within the brain to be able to measure some of the signals, to be able to send signals to understand some of the functionality of the brain.

[247] Ambivalent.

[248] My sense is ambivalent.

[249] So it's a mixture of good and bad, and I acknowledge that freely.

[250] So the good bits, if you just look at the legacy of that kind of reciprocal but invasive your brain stimulation.

[251] I didn't paint a complete picture when I was talking about so the ways we understand the brain prior to neuroimaging.

[252] It wasn't just lesion deficit studies.

[253] Some of the early work, in fact, literally a hundred years from where we're sitting at the institution of neurology, was done by stimulating the brain of, say, dogs and looking at how they responded either with their muscles or with their salivation.

[254] And impuging what that part of the brain must be doing.

[255] If I stimulate it, and I vote this kind of response, then that tells me quite a lot about the functional specialisation.

[256] So there's a long history of brain stimulation, which continues to enjoy a lot of attention nowadays.

[257] Positive attention?

[258] Oh, yes, absolutely.

[259] You know, deep brain stimulation for Parkinson's disease is now a standard treatment, and also a wonderful vehicle to try and understand the neuronal dynamics underlie movement disorders like Parkinson's disease, even interest in magnetic stimulation, stimulating with magnetic fields, and will it work in people who are depressed, for example?

[260] Quite a crude level of understanding what you're doing, but there is historical evidence that these kinds of brute -thought interventions do change things.

[261] It's a little bit like banging the TV and the valves of.

[262] working properly but it still it works so there is a long history brain computer interfacing of BCI I think is a beautiful example of that it's sort of carved out its own niche and its own aspirations and there have been enormous advances within limits advances in terms of our ability to understand how the brain the embodied brain engages with the world I'm thinking here of sensory substitution augmenting our sensory capacities by giving ourselves extra ways of sensing and sampling the world ranging from sort of trying to replace lost visual signals through to giving people completely new signals So the one of the most engaging examples of this is equipping people with a sense of magnetic fields.

[263] So you can actually give them magnetic sensors that enable them to feel, should we say tactile pressure around their tummy, where they are in relation to the magnetic field of the Earth.

[264] That's incredible.

[265] And after a few weeks, they take it for granted.

[266] They integrate it, they imbibe, they assimilate.

[267] this new sensory information into the way that they literally feel their world, but now equipped with this sense of magnetic direction.

[268] So that tells you something about the brain's plastic potential to remodel and its plastic capacity to suddenly try to explain the sensory data at hand by augmenting the sensory sphere and the kinds of things that you can read.

[269] measure.

[270] Clearly, that's purely for entertainment and understanding the nature and the power of our brains.

[271] I would imagine that most BCI is pitched at solving clinical and human problems such as locked -in syndrome, such as paraplegia, or replacing lost sensory capacities like blindness and deafness.

[272] So then we come to the more the negative part of my ambivalence.

[273] The other side of it.

[274] So I don't want to be deflationary because much of my deflationary comments is probably large out of ignorance than anything else.

[275] But generally speaking, the bandwidth and the bit rates that you get from brain computer interfaces as we currently know them we're talking about bits per second so that would be like me only being able to communicate with any world or with you using very very very slow Morse code and it is not in the even within an order of magnitude near what we actually need for an inactive realisation of what people aspire to when they think about sort of curing people with paraplegia or replacing sight, despite heroic efforts.

[276] So one has to ask, is there a lower bound on the kinds of recurrent information exchange between a brain and some augmented or artificial interface.

[277] And then we come back to, interestingly, what I was talking about before, which is if you're talking about function in terms of inference, and I presume we'll get to that later on in terms of the free energy principle.

[278] And at the moment, there may be fundamental reasons to assume that is the case.

[279] We're talking about ensemble activity.

[280] We're talking about basically, for example, let's paint the challenge facing brain computer interfacing in terms of controlling another system that is highly and deeply structured, very relevant to our lives, very nonlinear, that rests upon the kind of non -equilibrium, steady states and dynamics that the brain does, the weather.

[281] right so good example yeah imagine you had some um very aggressive satellites that could produce signals that could perturb some little um parts of the um of the weather system and then what you're asking now is can i meaningfully get into the weather and change it meaningfully and make the weather respond in a way that i want it to you're talking about chaos control on a scale which is almost unimaginable.

[282] So there may be fundamental reasons why BCI, as you might read about it in a science fiction novel, aspirational BCI may never actually work in the sense that to really be integrated and be part of the system is a requirement that requires you to have evolved with that system.

[283] that you have to be part of a very delicately structured, deeply structured, dynamic ensemble activity that is not like rewiring a broken computer or plugging in a peripheral interface adapter.

[284] It is much more like getting into the weather patterns or, come back to your magic soup, getting into the active matter and meaningfully relate that to the outside world.

[285] So I think there are enormous challenges there.

[286] So I think the example of the weather is a brilliant one, and I think you paint a really interesting picture, and it wasn't as negative as I thought.

[287] It's essentially saying that it might be incredibly challenging, including the low bound of the bandwidth and so on.

[288] I kind of, just to full disclosure, I come from the machine learning world.

[289] So my natural thought is the heart.

[290] part as part is the engineering challenge of controlling the weather, of getting those satellites up and running and so on.

[291] And once they are, then the rest is fundamentally the same approaches that allow you to be, to win in the game of go will allow you to potentially play in this soup, in this chaos.

[292] So I have, I have a hope that sort of machine learning methods will will help us play in this soup.

[293] But perhaps you're right that it is a biology in the brain is just an incredible, an incredible system that may be almost impossible to get in.

[294] But for me, what seems impossible is the incredible mess of blood vessels that you also described.

[295] Without, you know, we also value the brain.

[296] you can't make any mistakes you can't damage things so to me that engineering challenge seems nearly impossible one of the things i was really impressed by at neuralink is uh just just talking to brilliant neurosurgeons and the roboticists that uh it made me realize that even though it seems impossible if anyone can do it it's some of these world -class engineers that are trying to take it on so um so i think the conclusion of our discussion here is, of this part is basically that the problem is really hard, but hopefully not impossible.

[297] Absolutely.

[298] So if it's okay, let's start with the basics.

[299] So you've also formulated a fascinating principle, the free energy principle.

[300] Can we maybe start at the basics and what is the free energy principle?

[301] Well, in fact, the free energy principle inherits a lot from the building of these data analytic approaches to these very high dimensional time series you get from the brain.

[302] So I think it's interesting to acknowledge that.

[303] And in particular, the analysis tools that try to address the other side, which is the functional integration, so the connectivity analyses.

[304] On the one hand, but I should also acknowledge it inherits an awful lot from machine learning as well.

[305] So the free energy principle is just a formal statement that the existential imperatives for any system that manages to survive in a changing world can be cast as an inference problem.

[306] in the sense that you can interpret the probability of existing as the evidence that you exist.

[307] And if you can write down that problem of existence as a statistical problem, then you can use all the maths that has been developed for inference to understand and characterize the ensemble dynamics that must be in play in the service of that inference.

[308] So technically what that means is you can always, was interpret anything that exists in virtue of being separate from the environment in which it exists as trying to minimize variational free energy.

[309] And if you're from the machine learning community, you will know that as a negative evidence lower bound or a negative elbow, which is the same as saying you're trying to maximize or it will look as if all your dynamics are trying to maximize the complement of that, which is the marginal likelihood or the evidence for your own existence.

[310] So that's basically the free energy principle.

[311] But to even take a sort of a small step backwards, you said the existential imperative.

[312] There's a lot of beautiful poetic words here, but to put it crudely, it's a fascinating idea of of trying to describe, if you're looking at a blob, how do you know this thing is alive?

[313] What does it mean to be alive?

[314] What does it mean to exist?

[315] And so you can look at the brain, you can look at parts of the brain, or this is just a general principle that applies to almost any system.

[316] That's just a fascinating sort of philosophically at every level question and the methodology to try to answer that question.

[317] What does it mean to be alive?

[318] Yes.

[319] So that's a huge endeavor, and it's nice that there's at least some, from some perspective, a clean answer.

[320] So maybe can you talk about that optimization view of it?

[321] So what's trying to be minimized and maximize, a system that's alive, what is it trying to minimize?

[322] Right.

[323] You've made a big move there.

[324] Apologize.

[325] No, no, it's good to make big moves.

[326] but you've assumed that things, the thing exists in a state that could be living or non -living.

[327] So I may ask you, well, what licences you to say that something exists?

[328] That's why I use the word existential.

[329] It's beyond living.

[330] It's just existence.

[331] So if you drill down onto the definition of things that exist, then they have certain properties.

[332] if you borrow the maths from non -equilibrium steady -state physics that enable you to interpret their existence in terms of this optimization procedure.

[333] So it's good you introduce the word optimization.

[334] So what the free energy principle in its sort of most ambitious, but also most deflationary and simply, says, is that if something exists, then it must, by the mathematics of non -equilibrium steady state, exhibit properties that make it look as if it is optimizing a particular quantity, and it turns out that particular quantity happens to be exactly the same as the evidence lower bound in machine learning or Bayesian model evidence in Bayesian statistics or and then I can list a whole other list of ways of understanding this this key quantity which is a bound on on surprise all self -information if you know information theory there are a whole there are a number of different perspectives on this quantity it's just basically the log probability of being in a particular state.

[335] I'm telling this story as an honest, an attempt to answer your question, and I'm answering it as if I was pretending to be a physicist who was trying to understand the fundamentals of non -equilibrium steady state, and I shouldn't really be doing that because the last time I was taught physics, I was in my 20s.

[336] What kind of systems, when you think about the free energy principle, what kind of systems are you imagining as a sort of more specific kind of case study?

[337] I'm imagining a range of systems, but at its simplest, a single -celled organism that can be identified from its echinace or its environment.

[338] So, at its simplest, that's basically what I always imagined in my head.

[339] And you may ask, well, is there any, how on earth can you even elaborate questions about the existence of a single drop of oil, for example?

[340] But there are deep questions there.

[341] Why doesn't the oil, why doesn't the thing, the interface between the drop of oil that contains an interior, and the thing that is not the drop of oil, which is the solvent in which it is immersed, how does that interface persist over time?

[342] Why doesn't the oil just dissolve into solvent?

[343] So what special properties of the exchange between the surface of the oil drop and the external states in which it's immersed, if you're a physicist, say it would be the heat bath?

[344] You know, you've got a physical system, an ensemble again.

[345] We're talking about density dynamics, ensemble dynamics, an ensemble of atoms or molecules immersed in the heat path.

[346] But the question is, how did the heat bath get there, and why is it not dissolve?

[347] How is it?

[348] How is it maintaining itself?

[349] Exactly.

[350] What actions is it?

[351] I mean, it's such a fascinating idea of a drop of oil, and I guess it would solve water.

[352] It wouldn't dissolve in water.

[353] So what?

[354] Precisely.

[355] So why not?

[356] So why not?

[357] Why not?

[358] And how do you mathematically describe?

[359] I mean, it's such a beautiful idea and also the idea of like where does the thing, where does the drop of oil end?

[360] Yeah.

[361] And where does it begin?

[362] Right.

[363] So, I mean, you're asking deep questions deep in a non -millennial sense here.

[364] No, hierarchical sense.

[365] But what you can do is, so this is a deflationary part of it.

[366] Can I just qualify my answer by saying, that normally when I'm asked this question, I answer from the point of view of a psychologist.

[367] We talk about predictive processing and predicted coding and the brain as an influence machine.

[368] But you haven't asked me from that perspective.

[369] I'm answering from the point of view of a physicist.

[370] So the question is not so much why, but if it exists, what properties must it display?

[371] So that's the deflationary part of the free energy principle.

[372] The free energy principle does not supply an answer as to why.

[373] it's saying, if something exists, then it must display these properties.

[374] That's the sort of the thing that's on offer.

[375] And it so happens that these properties it must display are actually intriguing and have this inferential gloss, this sort of self -evidencing gloss that inherits on the fact that the very preservation of the boundary between the oil drop and the not oil, oil drop requires an optimisation of a particular function or a functional that defines the presence of the existence of this oil drop, which is why I started with existential imperatives.

[376] It is a necessary condition for existence that this must occur because the boundary basically defines the thing that's existing.

[377] So it is that self -assembly aspect.

[378] It's that you were hinting at.

[379] In biology, sometimes known as autopoises in computational chemistry with self -assembly.

[380] It's the, what does it look like?

[381] How would you describe things that configure themselves out of nothing?

[382] Where they clearly demarcate themselves from the states or the soup in which they are immersed.

[383] So from the point of view of computational chemistry, for example, you would just understand that as a configuration of a macro molecule to minimize its free energy, it's thermodynamic free energy.

[384] It's exactly the same principle that we've been talking about, that thermodynamic free energy is just the negative elbow.

[385] It's the same mathematical construct.

[386] So the very emergence of existence, of structure or form that can be distinguished from the environment or the thing that is not the thing necessitates the, you know, the existence of an objective function, that it looks as if it is minimizing.

[387] It's finding a free energy minima.

[388] And so, just to clarify, I'm trying to wrap my head around.

[389] So the free energy principle says that if something exists, these are the properties that should display.

[390] Yes.

[391] So what that means is we can't just look, we can't just go into a soup and there's no mechanism.

[392] a free energy principle doesn't give us a mechanism to find the things that exist.

[393] Is that what's implying is being applied that you can kind of use it to reason to think about, like, study a particular system and say, does this exhibit these qualities?

[394] That's an excellent question.

[395] But to answer that, I have to return to your previous question about what's the difference between living and non -living things.

[396] Yes, well, exactly, actually, sorry, so yeah, that maybe we can go there.

[397] You kind of drew a line, and forgive me for the stupid questions, but you kind of drew a line between living and existing.

[398] Yeah.

[399] Is there an interesting sort of...

[400] Distinction?

[401] Yeah, I think there is.

[402] So, you know, things do exist, grains of sand, rocks on the moon, trees, you.

[403] So all of these things can be separated from the environment in which they are immersed and therefore they must at some level be optimizing their free energy.

[404] Taking this sort of model evidence interpretation of this quantity, that basically means they're self -evidencing.

[405] Another nice little twist of phrase here is that you are your own existence proof, you know, statistically speaking, which I don't think I said that.

[406] Somebody did, but I love that phrase.

[407] You are your own existence proof.

[408] Yeah.

[409] So it's so existential, isn't it?

[410] I want to have to think about that for a few days.

[411] That's a beautiful line.

[412] So the step through to answer your question about, you know, what's it good for?

[413] we'll go along the following lines.

[414] First of all, you have to define what it means to exist, which now, as you've rightly pointed out, you have to define what probabilistic properties must the states of something possess so it knows where it finishes.

[415] And then you write that down in terms of statistical independences, again, sparsity.

[416] Again, it's not what's connected or what's correlated or what depends upon what it's what's not correlated and what doesn't depend upon something.

[417] Again, it comes down to the deep structures, not in this instance hierarchy, but the structures that emerge from removing connectivity and dependency, and in this instance, basically being able to identify the surface of the oil drop from the water in which it is immersed.

[418] And when you do that, you start to realize, well, there are actually four kinds of states in any given universe that contains anything.

[419] The things that are internal to the surface, the things that are external to the surface, and the surface in and of itself, which is why I use a metaphor, a little single -celled organism that has an interior and exterior, and then the surface of the cell.

[420] And that's mathematically a Markov blanket.

[421] Just to pause, I'm in awe of this concept, that there's the stuff outside the surface, stuff inside the surface, and the surface itself.

[422] the Markov Blanket, it's just the most beautiful kind of notion about trying to explore what it means to exist mathematically.

[423] I apologize, it's just a beautiful idea.

[424] It came out of California, so that's...

[425] I changed my mind.

[426] I take it all back.

[427] So, so anyway, so what, you were just talking about the surface about the Markov Blankly.

[428] Yeah, so this surface or this blanket, these blanket states that are the, you know, the...

[429] Because they are now defined in relation to these independences and what different states internal or blanket or external states can, which ones can influence each other and which cannot influence each other, you can now apply standard results that you would find in non -equilibrium physics or steady state or thermodynamics or hydrodynamics.

[430] usually out of equilibrium solutions and apply them to this partition.

[431] And what it looks like is if all the normal gradient flows that you would associate with any non -equilibrium system apply in such a way that part of the Markov Blanket and the internal states seem to be hill climbing or doing a gradient descent on the same quantity.

[432] and that means that you can now describe the very existence of this oil drop.

[433] You can write down the existence of this oil drop in terms of flows, dynamics, equations of motion where the blanket states, or part of them, we call them active states, and the internal states now seem to be and must be trying to look as if they're minimizing the same function, which is a long probability of occupying these states.

[434] The interesting thing is that what would they be called if you were trying to describe these things?

[435] So what we're talking about are internal states, external states, and blanket states.

[436] Now let's carve the blanket states into two sensory states and active states.

[437] operationally it has to be the case that in order for this carving up into different sets of states to exist the active states the Markov blanket cannot be influenced by the external states and we already know that the internal states can't be influenced by the external states because the blanket separates them so what does that mean well it means the active states the internal states are now jointly not influenced by external states they only have autonomous dynamics so now you've got a picture of an oil drop that has autonomy, it has autonomous states, it has autonomous states in the sense that there must be some parts of the surface of the oil drop that are not influenced by the external states and all the interior.

[438] And together those two states endow, even a little oil drop, with autonomous states that look as if they are optimizing their variational free energy or their negative elbow their model evidence and that would be an interesting intellectual exercise and you could say you could even go into the realms of panpsychism that everything that exists is implicitly making inferences on self -evidencing now we make the next move but what about living things I mean so let me ask you what's the difference between an oil drop and a little tadpole or a little lava or a plankton.

[439] The picture was just painted of an oil drop.

[440] Just immediately, in a matter of minutes, took me into the world of panpsychism, where you just convinced me, made me feel like an oil drop is a living, certainly an autonomous system, but almost the living system.

[441] So it has a sensor capabilities and acting capabilities, and maintain something.

[442] So what is the difference in that and something that we traditionally think of as a living system?

[443] That it could die or it can't, I mean, yeah, mortality.

[444] I'm not exactly sure.

[445] I'm not sure what the right answer there is because it can move, like movement seems like an essential element to being able to act in the environment, but the oil drop is doing that.

[446] So I don't know.

[447] Is it?

[448] The oil drop will be moved, but does it in and of itself move autonomously?

[449] Well, the surface is performing actions that maintain its structure.

[450] You're being too clever.

[451] I had in mind a passive little oil drop that is sitting there at the bottom on the top of a glass of water.

[452] Sure, I guess.

[453] What I'm trying to say is you're absolutely right.

[454] You've nailed it.

[455] It's movement.

[456] So where does that movement come from?

[457] If it comes from the inside, then you've got, I think, something that's living.

[458] What do you mean from the inside?

[459] What I mean is that the internal states that can influence the active states, where the active states can influence, but they're not influenced by the external states, can cause movement.

[460] So there are two types of oil drops, if you like.

[461] There are oil drops where the internal states are so random that they average themselves away and the thing cannot balance on average when you do the averaging move.

[462] So a nice example of that would be the sun.

[463] The sun certainly has internal states and there's lots of intrinsic autonomous activity going on but because it's not coordinated because it doesn't have the deep in the millennial sense, a hierarchical structure that the brain does, there is no overall mode or pattern or organisation that expresses itself on the surface that allows it to actually swim.

[464] It can certainly have a very active surface, but en masse at the scale of the actual surface of the sun, the average position of that surface cannot in itself move because the internal dynamics are more like a hot gas.

[465] They are literally like a hot gas, whereas your internal dynamics are much more structured and deeply structured.

[466] And now you can express on your markoff and your active states with your muscles and your secretory organs, your autonomic nervous system and its effectors, you can actually move.

[467] And that's all you can do.

[468] And that's something which, you know, if you haven't thought of it like this before, I think it's nice to just realize there is no other way that you can change the universe other than simply moving.

[469] Whether that movement is articulating my, with my voice box, or walking around, or squeezing juices, out of my secreting your organs.

[470] There's only one way you can change the universe.

[471] It's moving.

[472] And the fact that you do so non -randomely makes you alive.

[473] Yeah.

[474] So it's that non -randomness.

[475] So that's what and that would be manifested.

[476] We realize in terms of essentially swimming, essentially moving, changing one shape, a morphogenesis that is dynamic and possibly adaptive.

[477] so that that's what I was trying to get out between the difference from the oil drop and the little tadpole.

[478] The tab pole is moving around.

[479] Its active states are actually changing the external states and there's now a cycle, an action perception cycle, if you like, a recurrent dynamic that's going on that depends upon this deeply structured autonomous behavior that rests upon internal dynamics, that are not only modeling the data impressed upon their surface or the blanket states, but they are actively resampling those data by moving.

[480] They're moving towards, say, chemical gradients and chemo -taxis.

[481] So they've gone beyond just being good little models of the kind of world they live in.

[482] For example, an oil droplet could, in a pan -psychic sense, be construed as a little being that has now perfectly inferred it's a passive non -living oil drop living in a bowl of water.

[483] No problem.

[484] But to now equip that oil drop with the ability to go out and test that hypothesis about different states of beings.

[485] So you can actually push its surface over there, over there, and tests for chemical gradients.

[486] or then you start to move to much more life -like form.

[487] This is all fun, theoretically interesting, but it actually is quite important in terms of reflecting what I have seen since the turn of the millennium, which is this move towards an inactive and embodied understanding of intelligence.

[488] And you say you're from machine learning.

[489] So what that means, this sort of the central importance of movement, I think has yet to really hit machine learning.

[490] It certainly has now diffused itself throughout robotics and perhaps you could say certain problems in active vision where you actually have to move the camera to sample this and that.

[491] But machine learning of the data mining deep learning sort simply hasn't contented with this issue.

[492] What it's done, instead of dealing with the movement problem and the active sampling of data, data, it's just said, we don't need to worry about it.

[493] We can see all the data because we've got big data.

[494] So we can ignore movement.

[495] So that for me is, you know, an important omission in current machine learning.

[496] The current machine learning is much more like the oil drop.

[497] Yes.

[498] But an oil drop that enjoys exposure to nearly all the data that they will ever need to be exposed to, as opposed to the temple swimming out to find the right data, for example, it likes food.

[499] That's a good hypothesis.

[500] Let's test it out.

[501] Let's go and ingest food, for example, and see what that, you know, is that evidence that I'm the kind of thing that likes this kind of food.

[502] So the next natural question, and forgive this question, but if we think of sort of even artificial intelligence systems, we just painted a beautiful picture of existence and life.

[503] So do you describe, do you find within this framework a possibility of defining consciousness or exploring the idea of consciousness?

[504] you know, self -awareness and expanded to consciousness, like, yeah, how can we, how can we start to think about consciousness within this framework?

[505] Is it possible?

[506] Yeah, I think it's possible to think about it, whether you'll get it.

[507] Get it anywhere.

[508] It's another question.

[509] And again, I'm not sure that I'm licensed to answer that question.

[510] I think you'd have to speak to a qualified philosopher to get a definitive answer that.

[511] But certainly there's a lot of interest in using not just these ideas but related ideas from information theory to try and tie down the maths and the calculus and the geometry of consciousness either in terms of sort of a minimal consciousness and even less than a minimal selfhood and what I'm talking about is the ability effectively to plan, to have agency.

[512] So you could argue that a virus does have a form of agency in virtue of the way that it selectively finds hosts and cells to live in and moves around.

[513] But you wouldn't endow it with the capacity to think about planning and moving in a purposeful way where it countenances the future.

[514] Whereas you might an ant.

[515] You might think an ant's not quite as unconscious as a virus.

[516] It certainly seems to have a purpose.

[517] It talks to its friends on route during its foraging.

[518] It has a different kind of autonomy, which is biotic, but beyond a virus.

[519] So there's something about, so there's some line that has to do with the complexity of planning.

[520] Yes.

[521] That may contain an answer.

[522] I mean, it would be beautiful if we can find a line beyond which you can say a being is conscious.

[523] Yes, it will be.

[524] These are wonderful lines that we've drawn with existence, life, and consciousness.

[525] Yes.

[526] It will be very nice.

[527] One little wrinkle there, and this is something I've only learned in the past few months, is the philosophical notion of vagueness.

[528] So you're saying it would be wonderful to draw a line.

[529] I had always assumed that that line at some point would be drawn until about four months ago and the philosopher taught me about vagueness.

[530] So I don't know if you've come across this, but it's a technical concept and I think most revealingly illustrated with at what point does a pile of sand become a pile?

[531] Is it one grain, two grains, three grains or four grains?

[532] so at what point would you draw the line between being a pile of sand and a collection of grains of sand in the same way is it right to ask where would I draw the line between conscious and unconscious and it might be a vague concept having said that I agree with you entirely systems that have the ability to plan so just technically what that means is your inferential self -evidencing, by which I simply mean the dynamics, literally the thermodynamics and gradient flows that underwrite the preservation of your oil droplet -like form are described as a, can be described as an optimization of log -Basian model evidence, your elbow.

[533] That self -evidencing must be evidence for a model of what's causing the sensory impressions on the sensory part of your surface or your Markov -Blanket.

[534] If that model is capable of planning, it must include a model of the future consequences of your active states or your action.

[535] Just planning.

[536] So we're now in the game of planning as inference.

[537] Now notice what we've made, though, we've made quite a big move away from big data and machine learning because, again, it's the consequences of moving.

[538] It's a consequence of selecting those data or those data or looking over there.

[539] And that tells you immediately that even to be a contender for a conscious artifact or a, is it strong AI or generalized?

[540] Then you've got to have movement in the game.

[541] And furthermore, you've got to have a generative model of the sort you might find in, say, a variational auto encoder that is thinking about the future conditioned upon different courses of action.

[542] Now that brings a number of things to the table, which now you start to think, well, those who've got all the right ingredients to talk about consciousness.

[543] I've now got to select among a number of different courses of action into the future as part of planning.

[544] I've now got free will.

[545] The act of selecting this course of action or that policy or that policy or that action suddenly makes me into an inference machine, a self -evidencing, um, artifacts.

[546] that now looks as if it's selecting amongst different alternative ways forward as I actively swim here or swim there or look over here, look over there.

[547] So I think you've now got to a situation, if there is planning in the mix, you're now getting much closer to that line, if that line were ever to exist.

[548] I don't think it gets you quite as far as self -aware, though.

[549] I think you – and then you have to, I think, grapple with the question.

[550] how would formally write down a calculus or a maths of self -awareness?

[551] I don't think it's impossible to do, but I think there would be pressure on you to actually commit to a formal definition of what you mean by self -awareness.

[552] I think most people that I know would probably say that a goldfish, a pet fish, was not self -aware.

[553] they would probably argue about their favorite cat but would be quite happy to say that their mum was self -aware so I mean but that might very well connect to some level of complexity with planning it seems like self -awareness is essential for complex planning yeah do you want to take that further because I think you're absolutely right again the line is unclear but it seems like integrating yourself into the world into your planning is essential for constructing complex plans.

[554] Yes.

[555] So mathematically describing that in the same elegant way as you have with a free energy principle might be difficult.

[556] Well, yes and no. I don't think that, well, perhaps we should just, can we just go back?

[557] But that's a very important answer you gave.

[558] And I think if I just unpacked it, you'd see the truisms that you've just exposed for us.

[559] But let me, sorry, I'm mindful that I didn't answer your question before.

[560] Well, you know, what's the free energy principle good for?

[561] Is it just a pretty theoretical exercise to explain non -equilibrium steady states?

[562] Yes, it is.

[563] It does nothing more for you than that.

[564] It can be regarded, it's going to sound very arrogant, but, you know, it is of the sort of theory of natural selection or a hypothesis of natural selection.

[565] Beautiful, undeniably true.

[566] but tells you absolutely nothing about, you know, why you have legs and eyes and, you know, it tells you nothing about the actual phenotype, and it wouldn't allow you to build something.

[567] So the free energy principle by itself is as vacuous as most tautological theories.

[568] And by tautological, of course, I'm talking to the theory of natural, the survival of the fittest.

[569] What's the fittest of the survival?

[570] Why do the cycles?

[571] The fitter, it just go around in circles.

[572] And in a sense, the free energy principle has that same, you know, deflationary tautology under the hood.

[573] It's, you know, it's a characteristic of things that exist, why they exist, because they minimize their free energy.

[574] Why they minimize their free energy?

[575] Because they exist.

[576] And you just keep on going round and round and round.

[577] But the practical thing, which you don't get from natural selection, but you could say has now, manifest in things like differential evolution or genetic algorithms and MCMC, for example, in machine learning.

[578] The practical thing you can get is if it looks as if things that exist are trying to have density dynamics that look as if they're optimizing a variation of free energy, and a variation of free energy has to be a functional of a generative model, a probabilistic description of causes and consequences, causes out there, consequences in the sensorium.

[579] on the sensory parts of the Markov Plancki, then it should, in theory, possible to write down the generative model, work out the gradients, and then cause it to autonomously self -evidence.

[580] So you should be able to write down oil droplets.

[581] You should be able to create artefacts where you have supplied the objective function that supplies the gradients that supplies the self -organising dynamics to non -equilibrium, steady state.

[582] So there is actually a practical application, the free energy principle.

[583] when you can write down your required evidence in terms of, well, when you can write down the generative model that is the thing that has the evidence.

[584] The probability of these sensory data or this data, given that model, is effectively the thing that the elbow or the Variational Free Energy bounds or approximates.

[585] That means that you can actually write down the model and the kind of thing that you want to engineer the kind of AGI or artificial general intelligence that you want to manifest probabilistically and then you engineer, it's not of hard work, but you would engineer a robot and a computer to perform a gradient descent on that objective function.

[586] So it does have a practical implication.

[587] Now why am I wittering on about that?

[588] It did seem relevant to, yes.

[589] So what kinds of So the answer to, would it be easy or it would it be hard?

[590] Well, mathematically, it's easy.

[591] I've just told you all you need to do is write down your perfect artifact, probabilistically, in the form of a probabilistic generative model, a probability distribution over the causes and consequences of the world in which this thing is immersed.

[592] And then you just engineer a computer and a robot to form a gradient descent on that objective function.

[593] No problem.

[594] But of course, the big problem is writing down the generative model.

[595] So that's where the heavy lifting comes in.

[596] So it's the form and the structure of that generative model, which basically defines the artifact that you will create or, indeed, the kind of artifact that has self -awareness.

[597] So that's where all the hard work comes.

[598] Very much like natural selection doesn't tell you in the slightest why you have eyes.

[599] So you have to drill down on the actual phenotype, the actual generative model.

[600] So, with that in mind, what did you tell me that tells me immediately the kinds of generative models I would have to write down in order to have self -awareness?

[601] What you said to me was, I have to have a model that is effectively fit for purpose for this kind of world in which I operate.

[602] And if I now make the observation that this kind of world is effectively largely populated by other things like me, i .e. you, then it makes enormous sense that if I can develop a hypothesis that we are similar kinds of creatures, in fact, the same kind of creature, but I am me and you are you, then it becomes, again, mandated to have a sense of self.

[603] So if I live in a world that is constituted by things like me, basically a social world, a community, then it becomes necessary now for me to infer that it's me talking and not you talking.

[604] I wouldn't need that if it was on Mars by myself, or if I was in the jungle as a feral child.

[605] If there was nothing like me around, there would be no need to have an inference that a hypothesis, oh yes, it is me that is experiencing or causing these sounds, and it is not you.

[606] It's only when there's ambiguity in play induced by the fact that there are others in that world.

[607] So I think that the special thing about self -aware artifacts is that they have learned to, or they have acquired, or at least are equipped with, possibly by evolution, generative models that allow for the fact there are lots of copies of things like them around.

[608] And therefore they have to work out, it's you and not me. That's brilliant.

[609] I've never thought of that.

[610] I never thought of that that the purpose of the really usefulness of consciousness or self -awareness in the context of planning existing in the world is so you can operate with other things like you and like you could, it doesn't have to necessarily be human, it could be other kind of similar creatures and some...

[611] Absolutely, well, we view a lot of our attributes into our pets don't we?

[612] Or we try to make our robots humanoid and I think there's a deep reason for that that it's just much easier to read the world if you can make the simplifying assumption that basically you're me and it's just your turn to talk.

[613] And I mean, when we talk about planning, when you talk specifically about planning, the highest, if you're like, manifestation or realization of that planning is what we're doing now.

[614] I mean, the human condition doesn't get any higher than this, talking about the philosophy of existence and the conversation.

[615] But in that conversation, there is a, you know, a beautiful art of turn -taking and mutual inference, theory of mind, I have to know when you want to listen, I have to know when you want to interrupt, I have to make sure that you're online, I have to have a model in my head, of your model in your head.

[616] That's the highest, the most sophisticated form of generative model, where the generative model actually has a generative model of somebody else's generity model.

[617] And I think that and what we are doing now evinces the kinds of generative models, that would support self -awareness because without that, we'd both be talking over each other or we'd be singing together in a choir, you know, that's not a brilliant analogy if what I'm trying to say, but, you know, we wouldn't have this discourse.

[618] Yeah, the dance of it, yeah, that's right.

[619] As I interrupt, I mean, that's beautifully put.

[620] I'll re -listen to this conversation many times.

[621] There's so much poetry in this.

[622] and mathematics.

[623] Let me ask the silliest or perhaps the biggest question as a last kind of question.

[624] We've talked about living in existence and the objective function under which these objects would operate.

[625] What do you think is the objective function of our existence?

[626] What's the meaning of life?

[627] What do you think is for you, perhaps, the purpose, the source of fulfillment, the source of meaning for your existence, as one blob in this soup.

[628] I'm tempted to answer that again as a physicist.

[629] Free energy, I expect consequent upon my behavior.

[630] So technically, we can get a really interesting conversation about what that comprises in terms of searching for information, resolving uncertainty about the kind of thing that I am.

[631] But I suspect that you want a slightly more personal and fun answer.

[632] But which can be consistent with that.

[633] And I think it's reassuringly simple and harps back to what you were taught as a child, that you have certain beliefs about the kind of creature and the kind of person you are.

[634] And all that self -evidencing means, all that minimizing very, free energy in an inactive and embodied way means is fulfilling the beliefs about what kind of thing you are.

[635] And of course, we're all given those scripts, those narratives at the very early age, usually in the former bedtime stories or fairy stories that I'm a princess and I'm going to meet a beast who's going to transform and it's going to be a prince.

[636] So the narratives are all around you from your parents to the friends, to the society, these stories, and then your objective function is to fulfill.

[637] Exactly.

[638] That narrative that has been encultured by your immediate family, but as you say also the sort of the culture in which you grew up, and you create for yourself.

[639] I mean, again, because of this active inference, this inactive aspect of self -evidencing, you know, not only am I modeling my environment, my echinish, my external states out there, but I'm actively changing them, the time.

[640] And Extillates are doing the same back.

[641] We're doing it together.

[642] So there's a synchrony that means that I'm creating my own culture over different timescales.

[643] So the question now is, for me, being very selfish, what scripts were I given?

[644] It basically was a mixture between Einstein and Shark Holmes.

[645] So I smoke as heavily as possible, try to avoid too much into personal contact, yeah enjoy the fantasy that you're a popular scientist who's going to make a difference in a slightly quirky way so that's what's where I grew up on my father was an engineer and loved science and he loved you know sort of things like Sir Arthur Edenton's space time and gravitation which was the first understandable version of general relativity and he So all the fairy stories I was told as I was growing up were all about these characters.

[646] I'm keeping the Hobbit out of this because that was quite fit my narrative.

[647] There's a journey of exploration, I suppose, of sorts.

[648] So yeah, I've just grown up to being what I imagine a mild -mannered Sherlock Holmes slash Albert Einstein would do in my shoes.

[649] And you did it elegantly and beautifully, Carl, is a huge.

[650] John on talking today.

[651] It was fun.

[652] Thank you so much for your time.

[653] Oh, thank you.

[654] Appreciate.

[655] Thank you for listening to this conversation with Carl Friston, and thank you to our presenting sponsor, Cash App.

[656] Please consider supporting the podcast by downloading Cash App and using code Lex Podcast.

[657] If you enjoy this podcast, subscribe on YouTube, review it with five stars and Apple Podcast, support on Patreon, or simply connect with me on Twitter at Lex Friedman.

[658] And now, let me leave you with some words from Carl Fristin.

[659] Your arm moves because you predict it will, and your motor system seeks to minimize prediction error.

[660] Thank you for listening, and hope to see you next time.