Lex Fridman Podcast XX
[0] The following is a conversation with Jason Kalakanis, who's an entrepreneur, investor, author of Angel How to Invest in Technology Startups, and, as many people may know, he's a fun, brilliant, long -time podcast host of This Week in Startups, and co -host of the All -In podcast with Chimath Palahabatia, David Sacks, and David Friedberg, who all happen to be poker buddies and self -proclaimed besties.
[1] The result is always a great listen due to both the love and the heated disagreements.
[2] Quick mention of our sponsors, Brave Browser, Linode Linux virtual machines, 4Sigmatic Mushroom Coffee, and Rev Speech Detect Service.
[3] Click the sponsor links to get a discount and to support this podcast.
[4] As a side note, let me say that I've been learning a lot about real world finance in the past few months.
[5] To give you a bit of context on the side, I've studied trading, from an algorithmic trading perspective as a machine learning and a game theory problem off and on for a few years in undergrad and grad school.
[6] I found the distributed, complex system aspect of finance and economics in general fascinating.
[7] But now I find even more fascinating the human side of the whole thing, ideas of greed, power, freedom, and truth.
[8] Wall Street, Betts, Robin Hood, and the whole beautiful mess around this topic allows us to have great conversation about human nature and the systems that underlie the rise and fall of civilizations.
[9] If you enjoy this thing, subscribe on YouTube, review it on Apple Podcasts, follow on Spotify, support on Patreon, or connect with me on Twitter at Lex Friedman.
[10] As usual, I'll do a few minutes of ads now and no ads in the middle.
[11] I try to make these interesting, but I give you timestamps.
[12] So if you skip, please still check out the sponsors by clicking the links in the description.
[13] It's the best way to support the spot.
[14] This show is sponsored by Brave, a fast privacy preserving browser that feels like Google Chrome, but without ads with various kinds of tracking that ads can do.
[15] You should listen to my conversation with Brett and Ike, where we talk about Brave quite a bit.
[16] Anyway, I love using Brave more than any other browser, including Chrome.
[17] If you like, you can import bookmarks and extensions from Chrome as I did.
[18] The Brave browser is free, available on all platforms.
[19] It's actively used by over 20 million people.
[20] Speed -wise, it just feels more responsive and snappier than other browsers, so I can tell there's a lot of great engineering behind it.
[21] It has a lot of privacy -related features that Chrome doesn't have, like it includes options such as private window with tour for those seeking advanced privacy and safety.
[22] Get it at brave .com slash flex, and it might become your favorite browser too.
[23] That's brave .com slash Lex.
[24] This episode is sponsored by Linode, Linux Virtual Machines.
[25] It's an awesome compute infrastructure that lets you develop, deploy, and scale the applications you build faster and easier.
[26] This is both for small personal projects and huge systems.
[27] I personally recommend you read their Why Choose Linode over AWS article to see why you might want to go with them.
[28] At least for me, it was a clarifying set of comparisons.
[29] Lower cost is a big reason, but more important to me is just the simplicity, and also a part of the great experience is just the high quality of customer service with real humans 24 -7, 365 days a year, and just a breath of fresh air for me. Linode has data centers around the world with the same simple and consistent pricing regardless of location.
[30] If it runs on Linux and runs on Linode, I'll like that line.
[31] Linode .com slash Lex and click on Create Free Account button to get started with $100 in free credit.
[32] That's linode .com slash Lex.
[33] These guys are awesome.
[34] Try them out.
[35] This show is also sponsored by 4Sigmatic, the maker of delicious mushroom coffee and plant -based protein.
[36] I enjoy both.
[37] The coffee has lion's main mushroom for productivity and chaga mushroom for immune system support.
[38] The plant -based protein.
[39] has immune support as well, and tastes delicious.
[40] By the way, the coffee doesn't taste like mushroom.
[41] It's actually really flavorful.
[42] I don't know what's the better word to use.
[43] I'm terrible with adjectives that describe coffee, wine, beer, and whiskey.
[44] I'm definitely not a coffee snob.
[45] I just know it tastes good, and coffee is pretty much deeply ingrained in my psyche at this point.
[46] There is no escape, ladies and gentlemen.
[47] of all the addictions you can have coffee is one of the good ones they give you up to 50 % off and money bag guarantee and now on top of that we've worked out an exclusive additional 10 % off all sale products if you go to foursigmatic .com slash lex this i think is a valentine's day slash week sale i guess as it ends on february 23rd so hurry up go to foursing This show is also sponsored by Rev and Rev .a .ai, which is by many metrics the best speech -to -text AI engine in the world.
[48] Rev in general is a company that does captioning and transcription of audio by humans and by AI.
[49] I've been using their service for a couple of years and I'm planning to use Rev to add more captions and transcripts to some of the previous and future episodes of this podcast.
[50] I'm sorry I've been really lazy on that.
[51] There's more transcripts.
[52] There's a lot more transcripts coming.
[53] I apologize for the delays.
[54] Okay, they've processed over 16 billion minutes of audio and video to date.
[55] Rev .a .i is the API part of Rev. That allows you to use speech to text programmatically as a service.
[56] You can check out how well Rev's AI performs in a seven -day free trial at rev .a .ai slash Lex.
[57] That's an awesome URL.
[58] That's rev .a .ai slash Lex to tap into the world's most accurate speech AI.
[59] And now here's my conversation with Jason Kalakanis.
[60] I have a million things to talk to you about, but we do happen to be living through what I would think of as a historic event in terms of its impact, in terms of like almost philosophically thinking about the role of people and how they can fight power with this whole Wall Street bets and GameStop situation.
[61] I was wondering, you've covered in your amazing All -In podcast, you guys have been having fascinating battles over this whole situation.
[62] I was wondering if you could tell maybe from your perspective as it's unrolling the saga of Wall Street bets and GameStop.
[63] What are some interesting insights that you have about this whole set of events.
[64] In full disclosure, I was an angel investor in Robin Hood before they launched.
[65] And when I met the founder of Vlad and his partner, you know, they pitched me at a bar, not too far from where we are right now in Palo Alto called Antonio's Nut House.
[66] And my friend Addeo, it's a really good story, my friend Adio had asked me to speak at his Founders Institute, which is kind of like an accelerator for people who were thinking about starting a company.
[67] Yes.
[68] And so I gave a talk and that he said, hey, let's go to Antonio's Nut House and we'll meet Elon for a drink.
[69] And so Elon met us for a drink there.
[70] And it's the divest of dive bars.
[71] Like, you'll take a beer.
[72] I love the image of all of this.
[73] You hang out with Elon and it's a crappy bar.
[74] Yeah.
[75] I mean, it is the worst bar in the peninsula.
[76] Like just garbage on the floor and like cheap beer and warm beer.
[77] And like you'll pick up your pine glass and be lipstick on it.
[78] It's just brutal.
[79] Classy.
[80] Not your lipstick.
[81] You understand.
[82] Somebody else's lipstick.
[83] Yes.
[84] And so we're sitting there and Vlad walks up with his partner and he says, you're Jason Calacanis.
[85] And I said, tell me about your startup.
[86] He said, how do you know I have a startup?
[87] I said, you recognize me. And I mean, that's the only way.
[88] And he goes, is that Elon Musk?
[89] And I said, yes, Elon.
[90] Come, say hi.
[91] And he came over and said, tell me what you do.
[92] He said, well, I'm a quant.
[93] And I said, what's that?
[94] And he said, quantitative analysis.
[95] And I was like, oh, yeah, yeah, I know about that.
[96] That's like, you guys make algorithms and then try to beat the market, right?
[97] He's like, yeah, I was like, so you're going to pitch me on a startup and you're going to sell your algorithm to other people.
[98] And if it was so good, why wouldn't you just use it yourself and print money?
[99] He's like, yeah, yeah, no, no, that's not our business.
[100] Our business is we're going to create an app to get millennials to trade stocks.
[101] And he said, hmm, you do realize there's no retail investors anymore.
[102] like the dot -com crash plus the 2008 financial crisis eliminated any individual's belief in participating in the stock market.
[103] And he said, that's the opportunity.
[104] I said, okay, I like it.
[105] Tell me more.
[106] He said, well, we're going to get these millennials to trade.
[107] I said, the same ones who live in their mom's basements and take Uber and Lyft and are on their parents have no money, got screwed and, you know, went 250K into debt for school and now can't get a job.
[108] Those people?
[109] And he's like, yeah.
[110] I'm like, okay, they have no interest.
[111] in their future, but they're going to trade stocks.
[112] He said, yeah, that's the opportunity.
[113] I was like, how are you going to make money?
[114] And he said, well, that's the best part.
[115] It's going to be free.
[116] And I said, so your idea is to get a group of people who have no interest in saving for their future to trade and your business model is free.
[117] And he said, yes, I said, I'm in.
[118] Because in almost all cases, the crazy outlandish ideas that nobody believes in are the ones that have the greatest returns.
[119] I mean, Uber, I introduced to about 25 investors and three of us said yes.
[120] So, a full 12 % of the community who saw that deal decided to do it.
[121] So your sense about this idea being good had to do with the fact that this guy was just crazy and ambitious and bold thinking, or was it that there's something here in allowing a much larger magnitude of people to be able to be investors?
[122] Yeah, the way to do really well as an angel investor or just in technology or in life is to not say what could go wrong, but to say what could go right.
[123] And then to just imagine for a moment, if it does work, what would the world look like?
[124] And so when Elon was investing in Tesla and some other guys were running it and he was trying to save the company, you know, it wasn't, is this going to work?
[125] It was almost positively not going to work.
[126] It was, and he knew that.
[127] But if it does work, what does the world look like?
[128] And so that's really what you're looking for is not the chances of success, but if it does, does succeed, what would that look like?
[129] And you, that's what the world needs more people doing.
[130] And so when you looked at Robin Hood, it was like, well, if he does succeed, what would the world look like?
[131] And now we've seen what it looks like.
[132] You have a generation who are so financially sophisticated that they know how to do puts and calls and shorts and research at a level that dominated the hedge fund industry.
[133] So let's pause for a second.
[134] These traders sitting there on a subreddit, in a Discord server, are able to do analysis and research and then act in unison to say, we're going to beat, in the Robin Hood sense, you know, this group of sophisticated insiders who have more access and more access to capital, but we will figure out how to solve this problem.
[135] And, you know, things, most things don't work.
[136] It's like the Wikipedia.
[137] Like, there's no way the Wikipedia would ever work.
[138] Except it did.
[139] Right.
[140] Like, you're, You're like, how is this ever going to work?
[141] You're not paying anybody, but it's both the largest corpus of an encyclopedia ever.
[142] So I think Robin Hood actually succeeded.
[143] And then what we saw was this system and a lot of the systems in our society, whether it's the political system, the Constitution of the United States, education, higher education, which you're involved in.
[144] And then even the financial system, we have not stress tested and stress tested it.
[145] And we don't actually know all the edge cases and how it works.
[146] So Trump was able to just really put this crazy stress test.
[147] Like, is the democracy going to hold?
[148] Are we going to break this 200 -some -year -old experiment?
[149] And then we looked at the financial markets.
[150] And it turns out there were more people shorting the stock than stocks and shares were available.
[151] I don't know how that's possible.
[152] And then I'm trying to uncover, where can I see a list of people who've shorted the stock?
[153] And it's like, you can't.
[154] But we can tell you sort of how many every two weeks or maybe twice a week we can create a report.
[155] Maybe we know.
[156] I was surprised that nobody knows the list of people who were shorter and you guys are trying to figure that out.
[157] Yeah, there's no transparency on a lot of these systems.
[158] And if you call to try to short a stock, like it's almost like they'll tell you on the phone, like, let me see.
[159] I think I might know a guy who has shares to loan out.
[160] So it's like, am I calling to like try to find like a 73 Mustang Grande and, you know, gold?
[161] You know, you're going to call around.
[162] It's like, shouldn't this be like on a ledger somewhere and be completely transparent?
[163] So now we're seeing those things.
[164] And I think the investigations will make it super clear.
[165] But of course, in a vacuum, without information, there are so many investors in these startups that conflicts can start to appear.
[166] And then, you know how it is with people in conspiracy there is.
[167] The mind starts to wander, right?
[168] And so in some cases, there is actually a conspiracy.
[169] And then in other cases, people's mind will fill in like, oh, my God, there's some grand conspiracy here.
[170] I can tell you, Robin Hood's only goal is to get more people to trade stocks and to democratize it even more.
[171] and they apparently were on the brink of, you know, seizing as an entity if they didn't get more money to cover all these trades.
[172] I mean, they were on the brink and they raised $3 .5 billion or something like that in a week.
[173] Yeah, so in some sense, Robin Hood enabled this very, like the magic of this distributed system of Wall Street bets, right?
[174] You said Wikipedia, which is another, which is probably one of my favorite websites and one of my favorite examples of like a distributed system.
[175] somehow coming together in a way, just like you said at that crappy bar, I would have guessed it would never work.
[176] But if it does work, it changes everything and it did.
[177] And Robin Hood in that same way probably enabled, or was one of the major enablers of Wall Street bets, of giving power, like empowering young kids to learn about how this whole messy financial system works and take on the big elite centralized players.
[178] Yes.
[179] And, you know, it's very easy.
[180] When these companies get big, one thing that's changed is the footprint of these startups and the velocity at which they grow.
[181] So something like Airbnb is another perfect example of something that should really not work in practice, but it does.
[182] Like, I'm going to rent my couch or my extra room to somebody like a serial killer or I'm going to stay in somebody's house, like a serial killer's house.
[183] And, you know, it's like it really sounds scary, but it actually works.
[184] And it, and, and.
[185] It has not destroyed the hotel business.
[186] It has added.
[187] So the best startups induce a market to exist.
[188] If you look at Uber or Airbnb, people replace their cars, and Uber was not competing ultimately with taxis.
[189] They were competing with car ownership, public transportation, walking, or just not going out.
[190] And then you look at Airbnb.
[191] A lot of people who stay in an Airbnb would not be taking a trip to Kyoto.
[192] if not for the fact that they could get a $75 beautiful room with great reviews in Kyoto for three weeks.
[193] It inspires people and it manifests a market because the product is so transcendent, right?
[194] And I think that's one of the things that Robin Hood did.
[195] You can't learn how to do this options, trading and puts and calls and all this sophistication stuff unless you actually do it.
[196] It's just too hard to learn, except in practice, just like poker.
[197] If you want to learn how to play poker or guitar or tennis or skiing, Like, you could talk about it.
[198] You can watch YouTube videos, but at a certain point, you got to get on the mountain.
[199] At a certain point, you got to put some chips in the pot.
[200] And it's going to be painful.
[201] Yeah.
[202] Like, poker's going to be painful.
[203] You're going to lose a lot of money.
[204] That's why you should play at the small tables first.
[205] And, you know, even in trading, like you look at people who are doing this crazy trading in GameStop, a company that's worth, you know, maybe a couple of billion dollars, but certainly not tens of billions of dollars.
[206] Of course, the people who are throwing their money in last are going to lose it.
[207] I think everybody knew that.
[208] And so it was a momentum play.
[209] You know, they're betting against the hedge funds.
[210] So I think it's good for people to learn and become financially illiterate and just always understand the concept of the risk of ruin.
[211] The good news is for a young person, the risk of ruin might be like they lose $5 ,000 or something and then they have to build their stack back up.
[212] But that's really the only thing I am concerned about is there are people who will play poker or blackjack or sports betting or whatever it is and lose control.
[213] Just like there might be people who try alcohol and lose control.
[214] But we can't build a system based upon limiting, you know, the average person's behavior based upon somebody who can't control, you know, their ability to drink, you know, two glasses of wine instead of 20.
[215] How does this whole thing end?
[216] Probably in tears.
[217] For who?
[218] Yeah.
[219] Who's crying?
[220] Is everybody crying?
[221] Who's crying when?
[222] So I think there were some of the hedge funds that were crying initially.
[223] That may be some of the Wall Street Betts people who bought last would be crying.
[224] And then eventually there's probably another set of hedge funds.
[225] funds or even the Wall Street Betts mob and that, you know, that army, some of them might have broke ranks and then short of the stock.
[226] Yeah.
[227] So nobody knows.
[228] So everybody has to be aware of what's happening in the game.
[229] So if Wall Street Betts said, hey, let's squeeze these hedge funds because they have too much short interest.
[230] Let's all buy the stock.
[231] Then some of them might have said, okay, you know, it's at $2 or $300.
[232] Maybe I'll join the short movement now that they've covered.
[233] And they could have shorted their been like double agents.
[234] So people have to understand, like this stuff is gnarly.
[235] and it's a free -for -all.
[236] I mean, it is a literal free -for -all.
[237] There's a kind of morality, like a big statement that Wall Street Betts made in terms of like the elites can't just push us around.
[238] They can't bully around.
[239] But at the same time, you know, they're also interested in making money, right?
[240] Yeah.
[241] What's your sense?
[242] You said that some of the people in the Wall Street bets might have broken off and shorted the stock.
[243] Sure.
[244] Are they more interested?
[245] There was an emergent, like, morality that emerged and said like we're not going to put up with the centralized elites but is that going to continue are they going to fight the power structures that are bad for society or are they going to now like I mean are they ultimately going to introduce more chaos that's going to damage the economy and damage the world or are they going to continue being the good guys and fighting the the evils that manipulate the market what's your sense you know it it really feels like the Dark Night series of films where, like, some people just want to see the world burn.
[246] Yeah.
[247] I think there is a contingent of people who just literally want to see chaos.
[248] Yeah.
[249] Like, you know that contingent on some of these, you know, forums who just want to create chaos, right?
[250] So there's certainly that chaos contingent, but I think overall what the arc will show is a group of people getting massively educated.
[251] You see it in crypto as well.
[252] There was like a three -year period where all of these failed entrepreneurs who I knew, who couldn't build companies were then coming back to me after their companies has failed or after they gave up or couldn't clear market raising money with the venture capital community and they were doing ICOs.
[253] And I was like, I met you before, right?
[254] And they're like, yeah, yeah, yeah.
[255] No, I'm doing an ICO now.
[256] I'm like, okay, where's your company at?
[257] And they're like, here's a white paper.
[258] And I was like, this white paper with spelling errors in it that says you're going to destroy Airbnb because everybody's apartment's going to be on an immutable ledger.
[259] Yeah.
[260] Like, wouldn't that be better in a regular database that was private and not public?
[261] Like, why does it need to be an immutable ledger?
[262] It can't change.
[263] I'm like, not changing the database as a feature?
[264] That does not seem like a good feature.
[265] And they couldn't explain it.
[266] They're like, well, just people are interested in ICOs.
[267] And there was that ICO mania.
[268] And what it showed was there was a global appetite for risk.
[269] People want to try new things.
[270] This is one of the great things about the human spirit.
[271] It is one of the great things about capitalism.
[272] And one of the things that concerns me most about where we're at, society is the sort of socialism, communism, you know, entrepreneurship is bad, technology is bad, and polarization of wealth and, you know, people getting rich is a bad thing.
[273] When I grew up, I'm 50 now.
[274] But when I was a Gen Xer growing up, we kind of maybe too much idolized Bill Gates and people who are doing interesting things in the world.
[275] And we thought capitalism was a force for good.
[276] I still believe capitalism is a force for good because when a group of people builds a product or service that changes the world and it gets globally distributed, whether it's Tesla or SpaceX or Google or Airbnb or Uber or Robin Hood, you know, everybody gets to benefit from that product or service having to compete.
[277] And if you look at the places where there's no competition like public education or less, you know, established, you know, colleges and something like that, less competition for accreditation degrees, like things tend to get a little weird, don't they?
[278] And people tend to be protected, and that's not good.
[279] You need competition.
[280] Does it mean that, you know, people shouldn't have global health care?
[281] It doesn't mean that, you know, we shouldn't have a safety net.
[282] But we need to keep capitalism vibrant, especially because China has now co -opted capitalism and created their own version of capitalism, which is communism with capitalism.
[283] It's like this weird operating system.
[284] Like, we still want to keep communism so we can take any of your gains at any time.
[285] Yes.
[286] But we'd like you to be entrepreneurial.
[287] Yeah.
[288] And then you have somebody like, you know, the founder of Alibaba, Jack Ma, who disappears for a couple of weeks.
[289] Who's that?
[290] No. Exactly.
[291] Who's Jack Ma?
[292] He kind of disappears for a couple of weeks.
[293] And then he comes back and he's really sorry about the things he said.
[294] And then he disappears again.
[295] And like, you know, we have to be very careful.
[296] If China wins capitalism, this is going to be an existential threat for humanity.
[297] Yeah.
[298] The Chinese are no joke.
[299] I mean, they are seriously focused, and they are picking the winners.
[300] It's a very weird system because it is, in fact, I don't know what you call it.
[301] Like, communism and capitalism is such overloaded terms, but they do encourage entrepreneurship, but they, and they do a good job of it.
[302] Oh, yes.
[303] But then they're like the surveillance thing and they're controlling things in a way.
[304] It's weird because it seems to work really well for them in the short term.
[305] Yes.
[306] It's definitely got short -term benefits.
[307] So the question is, like, how that gets distorted and then becomes worse and worse, which potentially might be.
[308] And I think on, you know, the entrepreneurial spirit, which you have a podcast all centered around the entrepreneurial spirit, is one of the magical things that makes this country great.
[309] I don't know if money is deeply tied into that.
[310] I do get bothered by people, you know, treating the word billionaires of if it's a bad word.
[311] Yeah.
[312] But in general, like all the hard things, all the difficult things we're going through in this country, it seems like the way out is going to be making the entrepreneur, the hero of society, of like letting that young kid with a big dream and the guts to take the big risk and build something totally new, giving them a chance and whatever that involves.
[313] I don't think it's about taxes.
[314] I don't think it's about, like, regulation, all that stuff.
[315] It's about us in just public discourse saying that kid, that guy, that girl, they're badasses.
[316] Like, encourage them to do it.
[317] We have to have people buy in to the fact that they have that opportunity.
[318] And I think one of the problems in society is there's a group of people who actually don't believe that they can succeed or they don't believe even more perniciously that other people can.
[319] And that's the group of people that I think are.
[320] highly vocal, but a small group of people, which are generally people of incredible privilege, rich parents, white, city dwellers, liberals, they kind of look and say, poor people cannot change it a lot.
[321] And they're battling in their minds to protect poor people.
[322] But they have this very weird patriarchal kind of approach to it, which is they think that they're not capable of changing their lot in life.
[323] And they're like, it's not possible.
[324] And then once in a while, I'll tweet something where I say, you know, it's really incredible that every piece of knowledge you could possibly want is now available for free on YouTube, and every course from MIT and Harvard and Stanford is available on edX or Coursera, and all that information is there freely available.
[325] And you can take the lectures.
[326] This is amazing.
[327] And then people will be like, yeah, but people don't have access to it.
[328] I'm like, they do.
[329] It's free.
[330] Here's the link.
[331] And they're like, yeah, but they don't have internet.
[332] And I'm like, here's the chart of internet penetration in America.
[333] And they're like, well, poor people don't have internet.
[334] And I'm like, really?
[335] Find me any downtrodden person without a smartphone with a high -speed connection.
[336] That capitalism provided for $12 a month or $15 a month.
[337] Like, it's very hard to find that.
[338] And we have it so well in this country.
[339] And there's so much opportunity.
[340] But people don't believe it.
[341] And that's actually one of the problems.
[342] See, the average American still watches four or five hours of television a day.
[343] And often I meet people and they're like, I need a technical co -founder.
[344] under.
[345] And I, you know, but all I need is a million dollars.
[346] And I'm like, okay, well, what is your skill?
[347] And they don't have a skill.
[348] And I'm like, well, are you a designer?
[349] No. Are you a product manager?
[350] No. Are you a developer?
[351] No. Are your sales executive?
[352] No. Okay, what are you?
[353] It's like, we'll have an idea.
[354] Well, as my friend Sam Harris, I think your friend as well says, like, everybody has like a million ideas an hour.
[355] Like, you don't really get credit for those.
[356] Even when you're asleep, your ideas, spewing ideas.
[357] Like zero credit for your ideas.
[358] It's all about execution.
[359] You have to believe that you yourself can be the core of that execution.
[360] You yourself can build the thing in every, no matter what your circumstances are.
[361] I mean, we could talk about like structural racism and all those kinds of things that push things down.
[362] But from the individual perspective, when you just like are coaching or giving advice to an individual, you can literally change the world.
[363] I mean, Wall Street Betts is an indication of that in the financial space that you yourself can have can change the world.
[364] That's why this country is amazing.
[365] Still the best country in the world, right?
[366] I mean, it still is amazing the opportunity provided to people, all this educational experiences online.
[367] And the ability, what I tell young people who are looking for advice, I say, you know, the skill you need to refine is the ability to learn new skills.
[368] Like, if you become good at learning a new skill, and Tim Ferriss, a friend of mine is really pioneered this, like, he can get to 60 or 70 percent of like the knowledge in a skill in some incredibly short period of time.
[369] Now, I'm not saying he's going to become a virtuoso drummer or a great basketball player, but Tim and I were on vacation together, like a group vacation in Italy, and there was a basketball court.
[370] And I said, let's go, let's go shoot some hoops.
[371] I'd never shoot shot before.
[372] And I was like, okay, come on, I'll teach you.
[373] And Tim is fabulously uncoordinated.
[374] People don't know this.
[375] Yes.
[376] Like, he tried to dribble a basketball and do a layup, and it looked like he had a blindfold on.
[377] I mean, you've never seen something less elegant than Tim Ferrary.
[378] doing a layup in basketball and then he watched me do it three or four times and i watched him study me and listen i've been playing basketball in brooklyn since i was a kid i got a couple moves and he was just taking notes and taking notes and taking notes and by the end of a couple of hours of doing this i could just watch him checking his form and figuring it out yeah that's every skill in the world now and what i tell people is like i'm like have you did you watch game of thrones and they're like yeah watch breaking bad like yeah i'm like okay that's about 400 hours.
[379] How about you don't watch the next two, and you put that 400 hours into learning how to be a graphic designer, a UX person, a developer, whatever it is, and learn how to add skills?
[380] That's what I did my whole life.
[381] I was a kid from Brooklyn, went to school at night, but I was very quick to get to maybe 50 % of the knowledge base of graphic design or being a writer or being a sales executive, whatever it was, a developer even.
[382] and I was just good enough to not have people be able to bullshit me like when I hired them.
[383] And that was a big unlock.
[384] When you know enough that people can't snow you, that's a really good one.
[385] And look at yourself.
[386] Like you figured out how to set up an entire podcast.
[387] People don't know this, but you don't have a team around you.
[388] I have a team of like five, six people working on my podcast.
[389] But you even knowing enough about to set this up, you would then be able to hire a team.
[390] Correct.
[391] And you'll be able to call them on their bullshit if they're not doing a good job.
[392] And that's really important.
[393] And I don't know that much about this.
[394] this whole thing, but I know enough to be able to then see who knows their stuff and not.
[395] You're absolutely right.
[396] And the process of learning how to learn is essential there because, like, I did martial arts, jiu -jitsu and so on.
[397] And it's so funny to watch.
[398] I did Tequoantho, yeah.
[399] Tequoan -O is awesome.
[400] It's funny that there's some people that do an activity for years, because to sort of elaborate on something you were saying about hours, it's not always the amount of hours, it's the quality.
[401] that you put in.
[402] Deliberate practice versus just doing some behavior.
[403] I mean, literally I've been playing chess and trying to get that going again after watching Queens Gambit and I got Chess .com.
[404] And I realized I was just playing and I'm not getting better.
[405] And then I was like, oh, wait, there's a little analysis feature here in chess .com.
[406] We will show you your blunders and mistakes.
[407] And I'm like, oh, I'm spending no time reviewing my losses in chess and I just want to play the next game.
[408] I should really review these losses and figure out what mistakes I made.
[409] And when I started doing that, I was like, oh, I'm getting better.
[410] Right?
[411] So some deliberate practice really works.
[412] And if you want to take it all the way, Magnus Carlson, shout out to the guy, has an app, but there's a few other coaching apps where you, like, focus on the end game.
[413] You focus on the end game, a particular, it's, you basically don't play the game at all.
[414] You're just focused on drilling the different aspects.
[415] The openings, the end games, yeah.
[416] And there's different kinds of puzzles.
[417] So you can really make it into a deliberate practice.
[418] Not to make this episode sponsored by Chess .com, but they literally have puzzles.
[419] Yeah.
[420] So I was like, oh, and it's $100 a year for this product.
[421] And I just thought to myself, this is capitalism.
[422] They don't need to charge you $100 an hour for a lesson.
[423] They can charge you $100, and they've created the ability for you to play chess 24 hours a day against opponents who are perfectly matched against you based on your rating, and they analyze every game, and they have puzzles, and they have tutorials, and they've got everything else.
[424] It's like, just think about how much value is being provided to society because of capitalism and because competition.
[425] If you want things to get better and you want to step up your game, just make it slightly competitive.
[426] It is one of these things in human existence that is so powerful.
[427] I don't know.
[428] Did you see the Michael Jordan documentary of The Last Dance?
[429] Like half of it.
[430] I'm still working through it.
[431] I mean, he's so competitive and petty.
[432] It's so inspiring that all he cares about is just winning to the level of which he literally, there's like this running meme.
[433] I took that personally.
[434] And I took that person.
[435] I don't know if you've seen the images of him sitting smoking a cigar, looking at like an iPad of a video clip.
[436] And it's like, I took that personally.
[437] And you can make a super cut of every time he took something personally, he literally takes everything personally to give himself that competitive motivation to win.
[438] That's capitalism.
[439] And when people are competing, man, look at what Elon did to the space of cars.
[440] Like every, they were literally laughing at him in the first 10 years.
[441] Electric cars, ha, ha, that company will go out of business.
[442] and now every single company is like, we're going fully electric by 2035, and he kicked their asses so brutally that they had no choice but then to step up their game.
[443] And that's what we want, right?
[444] And this virus and this pandemic, I think the great thing that will come out of this horrible experience that we've all had is psychologically death, learning, just so many bad things occurred, the economy, people losing their jobs.
[445] But we also got to see the human spirit with these MRI vaccines and just how if we took out some of the regulation and people were super motivated, we might actually be able to eliminate all pandemics from ever happening again.
[446] And before that, Bill Gates was banging his fist and Jeff Scholl was doing the movie Contagion.
[447] I mean, for two decades, people have been banging their fists.
[448] We have to be prepared for this.
[449] And everybody's like, yeah, whatever, Yolo.
[450] It's not going to happen.
[451] And now it's happened.
[452] And people are like, we need to be able to destroy every, you know, pandemic and virus before it happens.
[453] And listen, you know a lot more about science than I do.
[454] But these MRNA has been around for a while.
[455] We've just never gotten aggressive about doing it.
[456] And then you think about challenge trials.
[457] I don't know if you've been following this, but they're doing challenge trials now in the UK this month where they're introducing COVID into healthy young patients and then giving them the vaccine or, you know.
[458] And that is against all rules and regulations about, you know, do no harm.
[459] But then you think about it, we kind of celebrate people jumping out of planes.
[460] And we got that one guy, Alex Honnold, who's climbing up mountains without a rope.
[461] And they give them a North Star, you know, backpage ad and a, you know, an endorsement deal.
[462] Yeah.
[463] And we celebrate that.
[464] We celebrate people surfing with sharks.
[465] We celebrate people doing deep welding.
[466] We pay them extra to go 200.
[467] feet underground and weld stuff and people do dangerous stuff all day long astronauts yeah but we won't soldiers firefighters but we won't let people get paid to be do a challenge trial yeah we're weirdly risk of us in certain areas that are completely don't make any sense it doesn't mean and this is where the world needs to think we we could have said these thousand people young people who we know are in all likelihood not going to have a bad outcome but there's a possibility there's a possibility.
[468] But it's very low, and it's certainly lower than riding a motorcycle.
[469] It's lower than riding motorcycles.
[470] People riding motorcycles everywhere.
[471] We have ads for motorcycles.
[472] We could have just said to those thousand people, we'll give you a million dollars each to do this.
[473] Okay, there's your billion dollars.
[474] We're printing trillions of dollars of money to deal with this.
[475] If we had just done a thousand people for a million dollars each to do a challenge trial in March, April, May, when they had the MRI vaccines ready, we could have deployed the vaccines in the summer.
[476] We would have been done with this.
[477] It would have been over by now.
[478] So we get to challenge all of that thinking.
[479] I think that's what the great pause did.
[480] It's letting everybody challenge that thinking is, why do we have that rule?
[481] Okay, yeah, we don't want to have people, you know, like give up their organs for money.
[482] Like, we obviously understand, but there's a reasonable discussion about, well, maybe there's a level of risk in a global pandemic.
[483] I mean, we fought the Nazis, right?
[484] We defeated the Nazis.
[485] That took a lot of deaths to do that, but we had to kill that evil.
[486] This is another evil, which we must fight.
[487] And it's going to result in, it's already resulting in thousands of people dying a day, but we could have actually stopped it earlier if we just had a reasonable discussion.
[488] This is why podcasting, as I respect, what you do.
[489] This is why intelligent people are so drawn to podcasts, because you and I can expand on this and not cancel each other over this very suggestion.
[490] When I make this suggestion, are challenge trials reasonable or not.
[491] If I were to do that on Twitter, they'd be like, oh, Calacanis wants to give poor people coronavirus in order to save rich people.
[492] It's like, no, I didn't say that.
[493] But you and I could have a reasonable discussion about a challenge trial, something we should consider in a acute situation where millions of people are going to lose our lives.
[494] Right.
[495] So, you know, that's an example of capitalism and competition working really well.
[496] There's one of the, to me, sad thing to see about coronavirus is that, for example, testing.
[497] at scale should have, it seems obvious.
[498] I was a little clueless about it, because I thought there's no way you can have, like, antigen tests at hundreds of millions, like order hundreds of millions of them and make them cheap.
[499] But actually, I realized recently that there have been available since about, like, May. Yeah.
[500] You were able to.
[501] In Korea, in Finland, all over the place.
[502] And you could have done mass manufacture.
[503] So there, there's a little bit of a failure of capitalism to step up.
[504] Yeah.
[505] And I don't know if you agree with this, but it seems that the blame is to be placed at the regulators and the various institutions.
[506] Crony capitalism in all likelihood is what stopped it here in America.
[507] I mean, I had friends who had imported them from other countries, the testing kits, and you've probably been to parties where people had these kind of testing kits from other countries, and we're sitting here and they're just approving them now.
[508] Really?
[509] In February, month 11 of the pandemic in America, we're going to have.
[510] testing online.
[511] Really?
[512] I mean, even if these tests were 80 % you know, effective and they're 95 % effective, mass producing them.
[513] We should have sent them, you know, in every postal, anybody with the post office box should have, you know, with the mailing address, should have had 10 of them put in their mailing address just for free from the government.
[514] And then everybody would be testing and we would have contained it.
[515] We don't have test and trace here in the United States.
[516] Well, all the countries that are on the other side of COVID did it by having testing, tracing, and closing their borders and masks.
[517] That's the combination that works.
[518] The problem with the coronavirus is while there's a lot of institutions did not behave their best, it's also the case that there's a lot of uncertainty.
[519] So I tend to give a little bit of a pass to everybody involved for the uncertainty.
[520] We were all...
[521] I give them that until June.
[522] I wonder how history will remember this.
[523] period.
[524] I'd love to ask you, because you were an early investor in Robin Hood's, and you're in a very nice place of being a huge supporter of the sort of Wall Street Betts kind of distributed power of the people.
[525] And at the same time, because of you being an investor, like intellectually giving a chance to Robin Hood in this kind of chaotic time of conversations to think about, like, well, what did they do right?
[526] What did they do wrong?
[527] Yeah.
[528] So you have a kind of a balanced view on the whole thing, which is really nice.
[529] We've talked about what Robin Hood did right, I think.
[530] Can you sort of steal man, Chiamatha's arguments of what Robin Hood did wrong in the last few days?
[531] Yeah, I mean, communication is always the number one issue with these startups, right?
[532] and if you, you have to get ahead of any problem and you have to put all the bad news out immediately.
[533] And in the case of Robin Hood, it seems, based on what, you know, it's been in the papers and what Robin Hood said publicly, is that they had this kind of liquidity crisis, right, where they were being, because of these exchanges telling them, you have to put up this amount of money in collateral and them being pinned at number one in the app store.
[534] There were so many people trying to buy five shares of this stock, five shares of this meme stock, that it kind of broke their system, and then the people who clear the trades for them, they said, you got to put up a billion dollars, two billion dollars, three billion dollars.
[535] We can't do that overnight.
[536] And I think that they were in an uncomfortable situation of like going on TV and saying, we have a liquidity crisis.
[537] Like, that could be like a run on the bank.
[538] Everybody then logs in at the same time to Robin Hood and tries to sell every share of they own because they're afraid that the whole thing's going to collapse, right?
[539] So I think there was this kind of like Black Swan event.
[540] And they probably didn't communicate it all that well.
[541] At the center of that, this is, this is, this is really interesting.
[542] Maybe you can comment on the nature of communication.
[543] Vlad, the CEO, the guy you met at the bar, was at the, I think, at the center of the communication, right?
[544] So Elon is an example of a guy who also is at the center of the communication for his particular set of companies.
[545] And that, you know, on Twitter, seems to be a really powerful way to communicate.
[546] Yep.
[547] And there was something, this is me saying it.
[548] There was something about Vlad that sounded like he's hiding stuff.
[549] As opposed to Elon, it doesn't sound like he's hiding stuff.
[550] It could be the nature, the beat, the timing of the conversation.
[551] Same thing with Mark Zuckerberg.
[552] Mark Zuckerberg, for some reason, often sounds like he's hiding something.
[553] And then there's like Jack Dorsey is much less so.
[554] And I don't know what that is about the CEOs that makes you trust them and not.
[555] It might be the point in time, like in terms of escape.
[556] Dave velocity.
[557] You know, there might be non -disclosures in place that we're not aware of where they're not allowed to talk about certain relationships.
[558] I see.
[559] And that results, like in Vlad's case, and that results in you being like acting weird and nervous.
[560] Or nervous.
[561] Yeah, it could just be the person is nervous, you know.
[562] So it's really hard to be building one of these companies and you're at scale and, you know, oh my lord, the entire thing's coming apart and you're the most hated person And for that day, you know how the rage cycle works and the media is just so crazy when they get their hooks into something.
[563] I saw it happen with Uber.
[564] We saw it happen with Facebook.
[565] And even Tesla, you know, there were times when people did stupid things with autopilot and it's like, okay, somebody's watching a movie and sleeping in their car or leaving the driver's seat against all the rules of autopilot and somehow Tesla's responsible for that.
[566] It's like, we have people who stand on top of their motorcycles and drive down the road on a motorcycle.
[567] And we don't blame Yamaha.
[568] or Harley Davidson for some idiot standing on the seat of their motorcycle on a highway going 60 miles an hour.
[569] We just say, that person's an idiot.
[570] But when new technology comes out, we blame the technology, not the person operating it.
[571] And if you are going to operate, we basically vilify it and demonize, and I think that is part of it.
[572] Like when the person at, I remember Airbnb, we always thought, what if somebody trashes your apartment?
[573] And then sure enough, a bunch of meth heads rented this poor woman's apartment, she left all of her stuff in it.
[574] And then a bunch of meth heads had a drug party, destroyed her apartment, ripped up all her photos, and went crazy.
[575] And we knew that day would happen, but nobody remembers it now.
[576] But it was the number one story on every news channel because, wow, that's an exciting story.
[577] And I just thought to myself, I wonder if there are any parties in hotel rooms where the hotel room is being trashed and people are doing drugs and crazy things.
[578] It's like, yes, that's basically every hotel in Los Angeles right now is being destroyed by some rock band.
[579] That's throwing a TV out the window.
[580] Like, we expected in, you know, a hotel.
[581] We just didn't expect it in somebody's house with Airbnb.
[582] And then Airbnb created rules around, you can't rent an Airbnb for a party.
[583] And they learn.
[584] So I think there's a learning curve with these companies, and they do get to scale at a level that is unprecedented.
[585] It used to take decades for a company to become an international phenomenon.
[586] Now it happens in two, three, four years.
[587] I mean, look at Clubhouse.
[588] This thing went from being, you know, a private beta six months ago to being the number one app in Germany.
[589] and in Japan and here.
[590] Like, just like that, boom.
[591] And it's because there's an ecosystem that has never existed, the app store.
[592] Then there's payments online.
[593] And then everybody has a supercomputer in their pocket.
[594] When we, the thing people got wrong about entrepreneurship technology and business, you know, over the last couple decades, was just how big the market was and then how quickly you could, you know, achieve relevancy in these, markets.
[595] We thought the market was like the 60 million homes with broadband.
[596] And originally it was like maybe 10 or 20.
[597] Then it became 60 million.
[598] Then it was like, okay, well, how many hours are you at your desktop computer?
[599] Well, like probably at our computers for five hours a day, 10 hours a day at work, three hours a day on our own.
[600] And then I was like, yeah, nobody's on their desktop computer.
[601] Everybody's on their mobile phone.
[602] And, oh, and by the way, they have it with them.
[603] So the people with mobile phones are now using this high speed device with an app store with their credit card in it.
[604] In the early days of the internet, people were scared to put their credit card on the internet.
[605] That was considered a really dumb thing to do.
[606] If you put your credit card on the internet, you're going to lose all your money.
[607] They're going to hack you or whatever.
[608] And now, it's just amazing to me how quickly when a company hits, how quickly it can get to a million subscribers or 10 million or a billion users, right?
[609] And there's all these networks, like social networks that allow the spread of the viral spread of like a new startup, a new company, a new app to be announced, a meme.
[610] an idea a podcast right like i mean single thing it's just a single meme we change the world speaking of clubhouse i mean i just want to we're saying so many interesting things but there was a magical moment with vlad and nilon on clubhouse i was wild yes is there do you have thoughts about that interaction uh which felt like so many uh aspects of this whole situation feels like totally novel surreal like it's defining world is changing era it is like a billionaire, the richest human on earth is interviewing the person at the center of one of the most interesting mass scale, like power battles in finance ever, perhaps.
[611] And by the way, seven movies have been sold two weeks.
[612] Just think about how fast things are moving, Lex.
[613] This thing happens.
[614] Like people had the idea to short the stock six months ago.
[615] they start doing their research they build an army they execute the trade the system goes down Robin hood raises three and a half billion dollars in four days Elon is interviewing them on clubhouse on Sunday after the Wednesday it happened and now here we are it's 10 days later yeah doesn't it feel like it's been 10 months yeah it's been 10 days Lex it's been 10 days there's like a new president all these things and everyone forgot like what was an insurrection By the way, we also almost that revolution at the Capitol where a bunch of crazy people who have guns and body armor and then a bunch of them who are just yoloing in cosplay took over the Capitol.
[616] And the other more dramatic thing to me is that was one month ago.
[617] That was one month.
[618] And the president of the United States got banned from every major social network, which I think I'm still deeply troubled by is parlor being removed from AW.
[619] That changed the way, that changed a lot of things.
[620] As somebody who's an aspiring entrepreneur, that changed the way I see the world.
[621] That little, maybe I'm being overdramatic.
[622] No, you're not.
[623] I think you're paranoid for a reason.
[624] You're paranoid for a very good reason, which is as big as these companies can become, they are beholden to the mob.
[625] And if the mob says, hey, this person needs to be canceled, they're going to get canceled because you can't lose your entire audience.
[626] you can lose your whole customer base, and you can lose all your employees.
[627] I think what's interesting about your fear about Parlor and AWS taking off is we went from being like a social network, which is, you know, the software layer.
[628] And then we went to like the infrastructure layer, you know, and they'll even go after like Cloudflare, which is a CDN provider, right?
[629] They're just like a plumbing, you know, it's like sort of like the telephone.
[630] So we're basically holding everybody responsible on the whole chain of events here.
[631] And what that's going to do is, you know, I'm not a huge believer in crypto, but distributed computing, where nobody in decentralized and distributed computing platforms and open standards, podcasting's an open standard, the web is an open standard, FTP was an open standard, but Twitter and, you know, Facebook are closed.
[632] And what's going to happen is we will see a group of individuals create peer -to -peer networks for social media where nobody can control it.
[633] And the same for cloud computing, where, you know, there's a, there's a crypto project where everybody will, and I invested in a company that tried to do this and got sold and it didn't work out.
[634] But take your hard drive on your computer at home.
[635] You give, you know, a terabyte of your 10 terabyte drive over to the cloud.
[636] And then everybody else does their terabyte.
[637] And then all of a sudden you've got this virtual cloud and anybody can store stuff on it and it's all encrypted and then nobody can stop it.
[638] And that could be tweets.
[639] It could be videos.
[640] And so this idea that, you know, YouTube will be able to tell people, to kick people off because they're skeptics of, I don't know, the pandemic or the vaccine or they've, you know, they'll make things that are more censorship resistant.
[641] I think that'll be the reaction to all of this.
[642] What, this is my question for you, going back to that crappy bar and people pitching you, is, is there, do you, like with Clubhouse, do you see competitors, do you think it's possible that another, perhaps more decentralized or another kind of social media will emerge that will take on Twitter and Facebook, it might be able to replace them.
[643] If you look at the whole landscape with Clubhouse and everything else, do you think some other company might emerge?
[644] There'll be 10 versions of Clubhouse.
[645] We looked at social networking, we thought Friendster was it.
[646] Like, Friendster was so good.
[647] Nobody would be able to compete with that.
[648] It was growing so quickly.
[649] And then MySpace was a juggernaut, and they hit 100 million in revenue and 100 million users, I was like, well, that's game over.
[650] And then Facebook and LinkedIn and Snapchat and friend feed and countless others, you know.
[651] So there's usually 20 people who will win in a category.
[652] And 80 % of the category will be owned by the top two or three players.
[653] But will those players change, do you think?
[654] What's your sense of?
[655] Oh, yeah, for sure.
[656] I mean, if Facebook hadn't bought Instagram, it would be a company in decline right now.
[657] People would be shorting the stock, right?
[658] Facebook peaked and then was sort of heading down.
[659] And Instagram saved them and WhatsApp saved them.
[660] So, you know, that's another kind of weird moment in history that they were able to accumulate that much power and consolidate that much power.
[661] Instagram should have never sold to them.
[662] That should have gone public.
[663] They had just raised money from Sequoia and they had raised $50 million at a $500 million valuation and they didn't need to sell.
[664] And that was a big mistake to sell.
[665] They should have kept going and they should have took on Facebook.
[666] And if Instagram was a standalone company right now, it would be worth $500 million?
[667] $500 billion.
[668] Do you think Facebook might buy Clubhouse has been?
[669] They'll probably copy it.
[670] I mean, Zuckerberg has no moral compass or ethics or anything.
[671] I mean, he's a marauder.
[672] I mean, he basically copied Snapchat seven times.
[673] Yeah.
[674] Like he did poke and he just kept trying and trying and trying and part of the reason why the WhatsApp founders and the Instagram founders left is they found Zuckerberg so distasteful in terms of his ability to copy.
[675] What do you think makes a great leader in that sense?
[676] Because, okay, so when I look at Zuckerberg, it's a great executor.
[677] Is he a great executor?
[678] I don't think he's a great leader.
[679] I was bullish on.
[680] I was excited to buy Facebook in the very early days.
[681] I thought it was an exciting opportunity to connect people and stuff started going wrong in certain kinds of ways.
[682] And again, maybe it's our human nature, but I attribute a lot of that to the leadership.
[683] Absolutely.
[684] I mean, the guy started it because he was unable to ask girls if they were single and on a date.
[685] I mean, that could be a good motivator.
[686] That could be a good thing.
[687] Well, I mean, the motivation of 18, 19, 19 year old men is, yeah.
[688] pretty clear.
[689] He was just trying.
[690] He had no game.
[691] He had no game.
[692] And he needed to know who was single so he could, you know, at least have a shot at getting a date.
[693] It's a little creepy, yeah.
[694] You know, he, I think, was so obsessed with engagement and winning.
[695] And he's, he's kind of like one of those friends you have who's just really good at playing a video game, but maybe doesn't see the bigger picture in life.
[696] And I mean, there's a reason why everybody who worked for him hates him and doesn't talk to him anymore and then actively derides him.
[697] Like, so many, the people who sold WhatsApp to him, then backed other projects like Telegram and said horrible things about him on the way out.
[698] These are the people he made billionaires.
[699] And they really don't like him.
[700] So I think there is something that he does that does not breed loyalty.
[701] But he's very successful in his focus, which is growth is all that matters.
[702] He's a marauder.
[703] And taking friction out of products and processes is the playbook of Silicon Valley for the last decade or two.
[704] So whatever the friction is...
[705] That's poetry what you're saying right outside.
[706] You speak it so fast that I almost forget that you're dropping bombs.
[707] But so removing the, removing friction.
[708] And you're saying Facebook is exceptionally good.
[709] He was the best at it.
[710] I mean, at Uber, they were like, we're going to take out tipping.
[711] We're going to take out the need for you to take out your credit card and do payment.
[712] It's just going to be in your wallet.
[713] You got picked up.
[714] You leave.
[715] That's it.
[716] And I was like, we should have tipping.
[717] And they're like, it adds a step.
[718] And we're trying to have no steps.
[719] You put your address in.
[720] You click the button and you do nothing else.
[721] And so we've been obsessed here in Silicon Valley is how many clicks can we take out of the process?
[722] I guess Amazon is incredible at that as well.
[723] Absolutely.
[724] One click was the start of it.
[725] And then you look at Clubhouse as an example.
[726] You open Clubhouse and you see rooms.
[727] You click on it.
[728] You're listening.
[729] So in one click, you're listening.
[730] And then in one click, if you raise your hand or you get invited and you say, yes, you're speaking.
[731] So it's two clicks to speak, one click to listen.
[732] I mean, the only way they could make that app work even faster is if you opened it up and your microphone was turned on.
[733] And you, which is kind of scary, but that is the next evolution.
[734] And what happens when you go that fast is you get unintended consequences.
[735] And so this is why Facebook has had more fines than any company in the history of Silicon Valley.
[736] It's just giant fines for doing stuff like this.
[737] And one of them was, I don't know if you remember when they created groups or if you have a group for your podcast, but you know, you can just add people to a group without their permission.
[738] And there was this famous case when they first came out with it.
[739] somebody created a Nambla fake group, National Man, Love Boy Association, or whatever, like Pedophilia Association.
[740] And they added Zuckerberg, Mike Arrington, myself, and like 20 other famous people in Silicon Valley.
[741] And I was like, and then somebody takes a screenshot of it.
[742] And they're like, you're in Nambla?
[743] And I'm like, no. Facebook last year.
[744] And then Zuckerberg's response was, well, if your friends put you in that NAMLA group, you should get new friends.
[745] And it was like, you got put in there too.
[746] Yeah.
[747] And then the sad part about it was there was there were.
[748] a group of young men who were gay and who were in college, and there was a gay choir in their college, and the person who was coordinating their Facebook group added them.
[749] So Zuckerberg, it wasn't enough for Zuckerberg to make it so anybody could add anybody to any group because it will grow faster, let alone you have to confirm you want to be added to the group.
[750] What it also did was posted it on their walls to increase engagement.
[751] And what they inadvertently did was they outed a bunch of 18, 19 year olds in college to their families because they joined them.
[752] the gay men's choir at some college.
[753] And this is the kind of way, you know, this is where Silicon Valley needs to check itself and to do better, is you have to really think, well, there is my incentive to grow faster, and then there's what's right for society and for the individuals.
[754] You got to think it through.
[755] Think it through.
[756] It's sometimes very difficult.
[757] This is where vision is required to anticipate the unintended consequences.
[758] It seems like Mark Zuckerberg is not very good at that.
[759] You've talked to so many great leaders in this world, privately and publicly.
[760] What do you think makes a great leader of these tech companies?
[761] Do you have an example?
[762] Is Elon to you a great leader?
[763] He's also a controversial one, right?
[764] Yeah, I mean, he's a love and hate.
[765] Controversial in the sense that there is, and I know a lot of people who've worked with him for him, that there's also a love -hate relationship.
[766] The hate comes from the fact that they get pushed extremely hard.
[767] It's a very competitive environment, but it's a positive one because there's a vision that's underlying.
[768] It's similar to the Steve Jobs thing, and it has to do with the, back to our Michael Jordan discussion as well, that there seems to be the demons involved in tension and just anxiety, all those kinds of things.
[769] If you want to do great things, there will be some suffering.
[770] and, you know, there'll be some pain, and it's not easy if you want to change the world.
[771] And then some people have this expectation that it's going to be easy.
[772] And what you'll typically find for any great leader who's trying to do something super ambitious, like if you want to be like, if you're a rich guy and you start like a restaurant and you don't care about making money and people have made restaurants before, like, you can be high fives and everybody can love you or whatever.
[773] But if you want to change the world, you want to do something hard driving, there's going to be sacrifice involved.
[774] And so the problem is people are looking at something that is an Olympic caliber sport or a Navy SEALs -like effort.
[775] In other words, an effort that requires massive sacrifice.
[776] We would not look at somebody who wins a gold medal like Michael Phelps and say, oh my God, he had to get up at 4 a .m. every day and he had to swim and he had to do an ice bath.
[777] Oh my God, that poor guy, he suffered.
[778] He was tortured.
[779] People were super mean to him.
[780] They put him in an ice bath.
[781] It was like, no. He wanted to be.
[782] be the greatest swimmer of all time, and he knew what the sacrifice entailed.
[783] And that what happens in work, in business, is that people conflate like, oh, well, I went to work to make a living to pay my bills versus Michael Phelps approach to getting gold medals, or Michael Jordan, or pick the person, Elon, or Jeff Bezos.
[784] And when you look at the reviews of like a place like Amazon, there was this incredible story in the New York Times where people were, I don't know if you remember it, this is the worst place you could ever work, Amazon.
[785] And we talked to 200 people.
[786] And they all told us, they all described for us in the New York Times a culture of cutthroateness and brutality that has never before been seen.
[787] And then you see all these people who work for Bezos for 24 years from when they graduated with their MBAs until today.
[788] And they've never left the company.
[789] And they are ride or die forever.
[790] And what you're seeing there is, there is a mismatch of, you know, of people going to work in an extreme sport or an extreme endeavor who should not do that.
[791] There are people who should go out into the rice fields and pick rice.
[792] And then there's another group of people who are samurai and who wield a sword and who take on missions that are dangerous.
[793] But if you're a rice picker and that's what you do and you feel safe, just getting a couple grains of rice, put them in a basket, cleaning it, and then whatever, that's valid work.
[794] No big deal.
[795] I'm not deriding, and I'm sort of, but that is one group, and then there's people who are samurai.
[796] And you cannot conflate the two.
[797] You cannot compare the two.
[798] And that's what is happening right now in business.
[799] Whenever you see these stories about this person at this company is like a tyrant and they're so horrible and they yelled at somebody, like if you're in the field and you're taking the beach at Normandy and it's D -Day or you know, you've got to take the hill or you've got to whack Osama bin Laden and you're the Navy SEALs and like a rudder, a rudder, a rotor gets knocked off the back of the Black Hawk.
[800] Like, this is serious shit.
[801] Like, don't do it if you're not serious.
[802] Yeah.
[803] And if you're not serious about changing the world, why would you go work for Bezos?
[804] Why would you go work for Elon Musk?
[805] Don't do it.
[806] Don't go work there.
[807] This is, let me just sit back and enjoy the beauty of all of that.
[808] That's music to my ears, but I'm not sure what to do with it, because it's conflicting to a lot of the things I hear from, the way you're supposed to kind of act.
[809] And I think in order to do great things, you have to, I always admired people that lose their shit a little bit because they're so passionate.
[810] Yeah.
[811] And, like, you know, you know, I apologize and all those kinds of things.
[812] But, like, there's a tension, there's a drama to the creative process when, especially in the early startup, you know, you're not, this is not, like, the work -life balance idea doesn't even apply.
[813] Work -life balance.
[814] It's ridiculous.
[815] It's a ridiculous concept.
[816] Like the idea that there's like work -life balance in a startup is ridiculous.
[817] If you're looking for work -life balance, do not go to a startup or any kind of ambitious company.
[818] There is a series of places you can work in the world where you do not need to do anything more than what's put in front of you.
[819] And you just put the round peg in the round hole in the square peg in the square hole, and you go home.
[820] and you get your, like, you know, you get your little, you know, bits and grains of rice and you go heat them up and eat them.
[821] That's it.
[822] And then there's this other thing, which is the extreme pursuit of changing the world and sacrificing.
[823] And we have a generation of people or multi -generations of people who are soft.
[824] They're just soft.
[825] I mean, what is the big struggle we've had to deal with in America in our lifetimes, like 9 -11?
[826] And we didn't have the Vietnam War.
[827] And then we had this like weird Iraq wars and Middle East wars that were kind of like a small number of people went and we sent drones.
[828] Like, we have not had to sacrifice.
[829] Gen Xers, you know, maybe the tail end of boomers experienced the Vietnam War, regrettably.
[830] But, you know, we've had a couple of generations now, three, I guess, that just haven't had to suffer.
[831] Yeah.
[832] And so we're soft as Americans.
[833] We're soft.
[834] And then you look at people in China and we're like, oh, my God, these poor Chinese people are living in these tiny cramped apartments.
[835] Like, they were living in, like, essentially lean -to's in northern China.
[836] with no running water or like one spicket of ice cold water for the entire village.
[837] Like, they're thrilled to be joining the middle class, even if it's the bottom of the middle class, right?
[838] They've taken hundreds of millions of people in China and moved them into the middle class.
[839] And we're like, oh my God, these people are suffering.
[840] It's like, you know, they're up to $4 an hour, three or $4 an hour in the factories there.
[841] And they were just two decades ago at, you know, I don't know, it was probably 50 cents an hour, something crazy like that.
[842] And now they've improved the quality of life.
[843] there so much, just like America did 200 years ago or 100 years ago, they've improved it so much in China that now they're getting outpriced for factories from Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, India, and people are moving, and people in China are moving the factories out of China into other countries.
[844] Yeah.
[845] Because the Chinese are now outsourcing Vietnam and other countries.
[846] So this is the way of the world.
[847] You know, people move up and they get a better lot in life for their families.
[848] And just in America, we've gotten soft.
[849] And there's a generation How do people die in America now?
[850] Suicide, obesity, heart attacks, anxiety.
[851] I mean, we're suffering from things that if you told people 100 years ago that the number the top ways Americans would die would be overeating and suicide, they'd be like, what?
[852] You're literally killing yourself or eating yourself to death?
[853] That's what's happening in America.
[854] And when everybody, not everybody, en masse, there's a large number of people who have become softer and softer capitalism creates an environment where there is people that still step up amidst that with a big dream and challenge the conventions and that human spirit just arise above that as Elon's example of that.
[855] Jeff Bezos is an example.
[856] Countless, countless examples.
[857] And they push, you know, the limits of those of human beings that are willing to step up.
[858] And, you know, I think about sort of how to create a company that, that amidst, all of the softness still creates a revolution.
[859] It's not, it doesn't seem trivial.
[860] It seems like how do you build a culture that's once healthy, but also unhealthy in the way that an Olympic pursuit is.
[861] It's all top down.
[862] Everybody just, you asked earlier what leadership was and I never answered the question.
[863] I think, you know, what leaders do is they set the example.
[864] They set the bar.
[865] And if you look at someone like Elon, you know, we're personal friends for 20 years.
[866] And he is indefatigable.
[867] Like, I mean, the guy has a stamina that is just phenomenal.
[868] Like, he does not get tired.
[869] He works relentlessly.
[870] And he sets that standard for the rest of the team.
[871] And I think, you know, Bezos is very sharp and likes to debate stuff and is very, you know, and Jobs was just incredible at design and figuring out how to bridge that gap.
[872] So they just, leaders set the standard.
[873] They set the standard.
[874] And you know that your time is over as a little.
[875] leader when you can't set the standard.
[876] And that's when you have to pass the baton, right?
[877] And Bezos did that.
[878] And Bezos now is saying, you know what?
[879] I'm 57.
[880] I'm the richest guy on the planet, depending on the week.
[881] And I would like to do some other challenges.
[882] But I don't want to grind it out at Amazon for another 25 years.
[883] I want to do other things.
[884] And so he passed the baton.
[885] And that's the healthy thing to do in that regard.
[886] I do think there is a time period in which you can run that hot.
[887] and that at a certain point you have to then change, just like an athlete might go to be a coach, right?
[888] Or a commentator.
[889] And so, you know, being an entrepreneur is brutal.
[890] It's, you know, seven days a week, 12 hours a day.
[891] Anybody who says anything differently is kidding themselves.
[892] You're going to have to sacrifice.
[893] And this competition.
[894] And America has to fight.
[895] If America does not win capitalism, and China does, it is literally the end of the human species.
[896] It's over for humanity.
[897] Right now, everything has been going really well in terms of the number of people living in poverty is plummeting.
[898] Life spans have been rising.
[899] Science is booming.
[900] The economy is booming.
[901] All these things are incredible.
[902] The one thing that's kind of stagnant right now is the number of people living in democracy versus under authoritarian rule.
[903] It's flat.
[904] So when you look at all Steve Pinker's charts and he's really excited, there's one you're going to see that's flat.
[905] And I think we peaked with 53 or 54 % of people on the planet Earth being in a democracy and now it's going below 50.
[906] And it's because some of the democratic, you know, Western countries don't have the population growth of some of the communist and socialist countries and authoritarian countries.
[907] And we have to make sure that we win capitalism.
[908] We must win economically.
[909] That is the battlefield.
[910] The battlefield is science, technology, and money and economy, finance.
[911] That's the battlefield.
[912] China wins.
[913] authoritarian's win.
[914] And at any time, Xi Jinping can pull Jack Ma' into a room and say, it's time for you to be re -educated.
[915] Or they can put three or four million people, Uighurs, into prison camps, and say, you know what?
[916] This religious thing, that's counter to what is productive for us.
[917] Therefore, we're going to shave your heads and we're going to have you literally pick cotton in the fields.
[918] They have Uighurs with no sense of any kind of arc of history in the fields picking cottons as slaves in what can only be described by every humanitarian organization as a concentration camp.
[919] And every Jewish person I know takes great offense when somebody uses the Holocaust as a metaphor, except in the case of the Uyghurs right now.
[920] And every Jewish person I've talked to has said to me, that is a Holocaust.
[921] That is millions of people going to genocide because of their religious beliefs.
[922] And I'm an atheist, but if people want to believe a certain religion, fine.
[923] But China's approaches, we need to win capitalism so bad.
[924] We need to win on the global stage so bad.
[925] We can't have any of this religious stuff going on here.
[926] That is a distraction from winning and beating America.
[927] And then in America, the people who are going to make us win are the entrepreneurs and the scientists and the technology and our education system and finance.
[928] And we're vilifying those things.
[929] It's pretty dark.
[930] It's dark, but I still believe that the vilification is just in the space of Twitter and the space of ideas.
[931] And entrepreneurs win out in the end.
[932] They don't listen to take in that and they'll build, we'll get the rocks.
[933] Some of them do, actually, in their darkest moments, I can tell you that they turn off their Twitter accounts and they, I've had to sit down with a number of entrepreneurs and say, turn off Twitter, this is not healthy for you.
[934] This is not a healthy pursuit because don't read the comments.
[935] If you do, it's like a full contact sport.
[936] You should just take it as like professional wrestling or something.
[937] But stay focused on building companies and, you know, advancing the human species.
[938] through science and technology.
[939] I mean.
[940] As you're describing, you've hosted this week in startups for how many episodes?
[941] 11 years, almost 1 ,200 now.
[942] 1 ,200.
[943] Yeah.
[944] So you've talked to some of the great leaders in business and in general.
[945] Is there a common thing that you see or?
[946] Really messed up relationship with their parents.
[947] Like, just find me a great entrepreneur.
[948] I will show me the trauma.
[949] Their dad was like, you're not good enough.
[950] in the teenage years?
[951] Is that truly, is there something?
[952] There is definitely something to.
[953] Like hardship at some point in the life kind of thing?
[954] Yeah, I think so.
[955] I mean, and there's definitely something with immigrant parents that is a bit of a stereotype out here.
[956] But I've heard from many investors, like that's like they're, oh, were your parents immigrants and did they beat into you that you have to succeed and you feel the need to succeed because they suffer to get you to this country?
[957] Like, there is an archetype there that I hear, when I started investing, I heard from a lot of people is like, yeah, you want to find those immigrant founders who are coming out of Stanford because they had to fight to get there and their parents had to fight, right?
[958] So it's like two huge fights and there's so much at stake as opposed to somebody who's fifth generation and like had everything handed to them and they were legacy and got into schools for free.
[959] But I think in general, the ability to get people to join you on that journey is so critical.
[960] So you have to be charismatic and it doesn't mean like you're an extrovert.
[961] There are introverts who are super charismatic.
[962] And there are soft -spoken people.
[963] They don't have to be like super vivacious or rambunctious people.
[964] They could be just quiet assassins, but you need to be able to get people to come on the journey with you.
[965] You have to be that storyteller and you have to have that passion and then you have to transfer that enthusiasm to investors, the press, to customers, to all the stakeholders.
[966] And if you're enthusiastic about it and you're engaged, then it's easier for people to come on that journey.
[967] And that's why people really start to think about, well, what is the purpose of what I'm doing?
[968] And it sounds corny.
[969] And when I first heard that, I was like, it's kind of corny.
[970] But then I read this book by, I've got his name, Rick something.
[971] He wrote the purpose -driven church.
[972] And he had spoken out of its head or something, and everybody went crazy about it.
[973] And he's like, a church should have one purpose.
[974] One single thing they do.
[975] And like his church, which was like one of these megachurches in San Diego, just wanted to do education for this specific country.
[976] And that's all they did.
[977] And they benchmarked those.
[978] I think it's very important to have a purpose and a mission, not everything, but a specific purpose of some kind of joy that you want to put into the world, you want to solve some kind of big, hard problem, and then everybody knows why you're coming to work every day.
[979] And then for the founder, when you dread going to work that day and you don't feel like solving that problem anymore, that's the tell.
[980] And a lot of times I meet young founders.
[981] I'm like, why are you doing this?
[982] And I'm like, well, I was looking for an idea.
[983] And this is the one I came up with because I think I'll make a lot of money.
[984] And it's like, you're going to quit.
[985] You're going to get to month nine or ten of this, and you're going to run out of money or like your CTO is going to quit, then your CFO is going to quit, and you're going to lose your biggest customer.
[986] And you're just going to say, this is not worth it, you know?
[987] And if, you know, using, you know, Bezos or, you know, Elon's examples, they just needed to see this, the world change in very specific ways.
[988] And Steve Jobs, you know, they needed to see a change.
[989] And it doesn't matter if they made money.
[990] or they were losing or winning, they just went to work every day, and they had to change it.
[991] It's almost like they didn't have a choice.
[992] No choice.
[993] Elon makes it sound like his torture, his whole journey, but he can't help it.
[994] Having been a witness to it, you know, just as friends for that long, I have never seen an entrepreneur suffer more than him.
[995] And, you know, he's been public about that, like, you do not want to be me. He has suffered for those companies.
[996] He has suffered to get them where they are.
[997] It has not been easy.
[998] Can you psychoan analyze Elon in that aspect?
[999] Like, is it just he can't help, but he must see the change that he hopes for in the world?
[1000] He's just incredibly hard working, and he's very talented as well.
[1001] And I don't think people understand that.
[1002] He actually is a really brilliant engineer.
[1003] At the end of the day, he actually knows what he's doing, and he asked the right questions.
[1004] I mean, people were kind of aghast that he was asking Vlad such good questions, and they're like, oh, my God.
[1005] Elon's the best journalist on the planet.
[1006] And it was like, anybody who knows Elon knows he has great questions.
[1007] I mean, I used to have dinner in L .A. And my book agent also was Sam Harris's agent.
[1008] And Sam and I met through John Brockman.
[1009] And we became friends because we lived near each other and I was friends with Elon.
[1010] And then I used to invite them to both dinner in Brentwood because one lived in Bel Air, one lived in Santa Monica, and I lived in Brentwood.
[1011] And we would go to this place Popone, this Italian restaurant.
[1012] And every Tuesday, for years, we would just, the three of us, every other Tuesday or so, we'd have dinner.
[1013] And I'd sit there and Sam wanted to know about AI, and Elon's talking about artificial intelligence because he's on the board of deep mind.
[1014] Elon wanted to know about atheism and meditation and all this other stuff that, you know, Sam was an expert on.
[1015] I got to sit there and, like, just listen to these two guys talk.
[1016] And they have both piercing intelligences.
[1017] But Elon, he goes straight to the gut, like the questions that no engineer wants to.
[1018] to hear is like just the basic stuff that it's like why the hell are you doing it this way when the obvious solution is like much easier or this or that like why haven't you tried this you can figure things out i mean he's a problem solver i mean at the and that's another thing like i think the great entrepreneurs can look at a problem with very fresh eyes like almost consistently and the bezos described that as day one thinking right like just pretend this is day one every day.
[1019] And then other people use the term first principles.
[1020] But it basically means like when you see a problem, pause for a second and really think through what is the best possible solution here?
[1021] What are some alternative solutions and get from everybody.
[1022] Like, how do we solve this problem?
[1023] What people do sometimes, they get in a rut.
[1024] They just come to work and they just go through their email.
[1025] They do whatever they did the day before.
[1026] They don't think, why are we doing this?
[1027] And is there a better way to do it?
[1028] Now, you can get so obsessive about that that you can over -engineer stuff, and you can never actually ship a product.
[1029] So there have to be some pragmatism and some goals and some dates associated with that.
[1030] But it is a very cool thing to really think, like, I wonder if we actually made the batteries ourselves, what that would look like.
[1031] Or I wonder if we could get to two -day shipping, you know, or I wonder if we do same -day shipping.
[1032] Like, you need to have somebody who's willing to say, you know what, fuck it.
[1033] Let's set a crazy audacious goal, two -day shipping of any product anywhere in the United States.
[1034] And once you throw the gauntlet down like that, now everybody knows they're rowing in the right direction, two -day shipping, Amazon Prime.
[1035] And that's what people didn't realize about Amazon.
[1036] The business wasn't shipping of those products.
[1037] It was getting you to sign up for Amazon Prime.
[1038] They have hundreds of millions of people doing Amazon Prime for $10 a month.
[1039] I think globally it's probably cheaper.
[1040] But that was the driver of that business, was all of those people because they would, you're an Amazon Prime subscriber?
[1041] Do you know how much you pay?
[1042] No. Exactly.
[1043] It started at $50.
[1044] And I think they even had like $40, $50, $60 was like the testing in the early days.
[1045] And now it's, I think, $149, $12.
[1046] $13 a month.
[1047] If you pay for the year, I think it goes down to $10 a month, $120.
[1048] And you're like, wow.
[1049] And it's like, yeah, you're paying $13 a month for the privilege of shopping at Amazon.
[1050] Yeah.
[1051] But you would say it's the greatest thing in the world because anything I need, you know, if you forgot a microphone or a cable goes bad or a camera goes bad, you get it here, you know, within a day or less.
[1052] Absolutely.
[1053] Yeah.
[1054] It's pretty amazing.
[1055] You've already been dropping bombs incredible advice on startups in general, but let me maybe go straight in and ask, is there advice for somebody that wants to go big to build the big startup to help them succeed?
[1056] Yeah.
[1057] It's very similar to the advice I give to investors because now I teach Angel investing because there's so many people who want to invest.
[1058] And so I wrote a book on that, Angel, and that I do a course called Angel University that I teach six times a year.
[1059] And then I have a syndicate called the syndicate .com where I invest in companies.
[1060] There's 6 ,500 people who are members of that.
[1061] It's the largest syndicate in the world.
[1062] In fact, the first deal we ever did was Calm .com, the meditation app.
[1063] We put $370 ,000 into it when it was a $5 million product, a $5 million.
[1064] A $5 million company, so we bought 6 or 7 % of the company.
[1065] It's now worth $2 billion.
[1066] So you can do the math on that.
[1067] We still own 5%.
[1068] What year was it?
[1069] Six years ago.
[1070] So probably maybe 2015, yeah, maybe 2015, 2014.
[1071] And nobody else would invest in Com.
[1072] Yeah.
[1073] But Sam Harris was the reason I did because I had.
[1074] Sam, tell me about meditation, and he's explaining it to me. And I said, what about this?
[1075] Like, you have to have like a mantra?
[1076] How does it work?
[1077] Exactly.
[1078] I know positive.
[1079] Well, you know, you should just go to UCLA and talk to Diana Winston.
[1080] And like, there's this whole project there.
[1081] And I'm like, UCLA does meditation.
[1082] It's like, yeah, there's a mindful institute.
[1083] They're like teaching people to be, Tahitian meditation.
[1084] And they're doing PTSD and I'm doing brain scans and I was like, oh.
[1085] And then I talked to the UCLA people and they're like, it's real.
[1086] Yeah, like we taught Phil Jackson and Kobe Bryant and Shaquille and Neil did you know that's how they won their championships they meditated and I was like hmm if UCLA is doing it Sam says it's cool well fuck it I'll put money into that and that's the second biggest investment in my career after Uber and it will in all likelihood become the biggest I mean it's between Uber Robin Hood and calm and long story short when I'm teaching people to angel invest there's really two things that you cannot cannot fake one is a product that is built really well.
[1087] So if you look at Com, Robin Hood, Uber, Tesla, Amazon, these products are transcendent.
[1088] They're well -constructed.
[1089] There's craftsmanship to them.
[1090] They're great products.
[1091] So you're saying not fundamentally like the idea, but the execution of the actual craft of the construction.
[1092] The actual product is amazing.
[1093] Then there's customers.
[1094] And that, every business has ultimately a customer.
[1095] And that customer, if they are in fact delighted by that product, that's the magic.
[1096] Because you need a team to build the product, and then you need customers to use the product.
[1097] And really, those three vectors are undeniable.
[1098] Now, you can have great teams that build a bad product, doesn't happen too often, or you get to have customers who don't like the product, but generally speaking, a great team will build a great product or a good product and iterate, and then eventually delight customers.
[1099] And so most people say the team is the most important, but there's a lot of smart people out there.
[1100] And let's assume that you can raise money for your idea or you have money or you can just convince people to do it for free.
[1101] If you make a great product and it connects with users, that's the magic.
[1102] You look at Clubhouse, it's actually a really well -designed product.
[1103] And that product is connecting with customers.
[1104] And if you were to talk to the customers or look at the product, you would see a well -constructed product and a delighted customer.
[1105] And you can tell the delighted customer by just the amount of time they use it.
[1106] That's called engagement.
[1107] It's a fancy word for how much they use it.
[1108] And Snapchat, when that was going around and they were trying to raise money, they had a fraction of the number of users.
[1109] But the top maybe third were opening the app every hour.
[1110] And nobody had ever seen that before.
[1111] People were using Facebook, you know, a couple times a day, the top users.
[1112] But nobody had ever seen people using it every day for 100.
[1113] days in a row every hour.
[1114] And I was like, what's going on here?
[1115] It's like, oh, the ephemeral messaging and then the streaks.
[1116] They had created these streaks between people where, you know, every day and then people would be like on vacation.
[1117] Like, I just have to open my streak and keep my streak with Lex that we chatted every day going.
[1118] And so they had this like addictive nature to it.
[1119] And that's why Clubhouse was able to garner so much investment is the number of hours people were using it every month, uh, was just unbelievably off the charts.
[1120] Some of that is execution, but some of us of the weird magic of the product market fit yeah so there's something i mean clubhouse there's a it's still a mystery to me because i also use discord voice there's an intimacy to voice oh for sure that you get people's yeah tent it's it's well but like the video gets in the way actually in a weird way there's a privacy when you just use voice people are not taking showers now lex i mean yeah this is we're in a pandemic and people just roll out of bed and the hair thing nobody's getting haircuts nobody's hair is good nobody's getting haircuts.
[1121] People are wearing gym clothes.
[1122] I mean, Zoom is just horrific to be on Zoom for five hours a day.
[1123] It is exhausting.
[1124] Well, it does make me wonder what once when we emerge from the pandemic, whether product market fit, how that evolves with Clubhouse and all those kinds of things.
[1125] Yeah, I know Clubhouse is a beneficiary of the pandemic for sure.
[1126] When do you think the pandemic, when do you think debts will be under, let's say, 200 a day and we'll have 200 million people on the other side of this because that's kind of what it takes right you got to get to 150 200 million people on the other side in america i haven't you know i personally stopped deeply thinking about this because i've been frustrated for so long that you checked out i almost checked out because it uh psychologically allows me to carry on because i thought for many months now uh that testing needs to be done at scale and it still hasn't gotten done it has so We gave up, basically, on testing.
[1127] We gave up.
[1128] Because we're, and we're all sitting there waiting for vaccine to come along.
[1129] And the distribution of the vaccine is not, you know, it's struggling from the same kind of things as the testing is going to take quite a bit of time.
[1130] So it does, if everything goes great, meaning there's not a second strand of the virus that's going to create a second major wave, that I am cynical enough to think that it won't be until mid -sum.
[1131] summer that we started opening back up.
[1132] Yeah, I think it's going to be May June.
[1133] I'm a little bit earlier than you.
[1134] I've been tracking it.
[1135] It's like 1 .5 million shots in arms a day.
[1136] I think this vaccine's been undersold.
[1137] I mean, it's a miracle.
[1138] Not one person who was in the trials died, who took it, and only one went to the hospital, and they weren't even put on a ventilator.
[1139] And the hospitalizations are plummeting, and we're at 10 % now in the United States.
[1140] At the pace, we're going at 1 .5 a day.
[1141] I think when the Johnson Johnson one comes out next month, it will be $3 million a day, maybe, two and a half.
[1142] And we already have 100 million people who've likely had it.
[1143] So I've been doing the math.
[1144] I think we're like 60 days away, February of March.
[1145] Yeah, sometime in April, I think anybody's going to be able to get a shot.
[1146] And the number of deaths is going to go below 200 a day.
[1147] And once that happens, I think people have had enough of this.
[1148] They're just going to go YOLO.
[1149] But see, the crucial piece for me that I've been focusing on is the social media aspect of how the, it's not just about the reality of deaths, it's about the state of the collective intelligence of the human species, which is determined by our communication on social media.
[1150] So we could, yeah, we can be collectively afraid.
[1151] The fear can spread or it could be Yolo can spread or it could be like all different kinds of misinformation.
[1152] And of course, during the election year, the politics influences are, perception of what is true and not.
[1153] But, you know, having real rigorous, nuanced conversation about this kind of stuff is the way out of this.
[1154] And that's where social media really comes in because social media drives division where people form tribes and so on.
[1155] And it feels like it's honestly a technology problem.
[1156] You know, people say it's a human problem, but it just feels like, I believe people are good, and technology can enable them to be thoughtful.
[1157] We talked earlier about, you know, the magic of Silicon Valley and then maybe going too far with the Facebook groups example where, you know, you take out all that friction.
[1158] What happened was we used to have something called R -Kron, reverse chronological order.
[1159] That's how you consumed a feed.
[1160] So any kind of social feed, like Twitter, was in reverse chronological order.
[1161] The newest thing was up top, and you would just work your way backwards.
[1162] And so it gave this, like, really fresh feeling.
[1163] And then a guy named Dave Moran and the team over at Facebook realized, you know, there are some things that got a lot of attention two hours ago.
[1164] And the stuff since then has not been as important.
[1165] But if you missed that, there was a really good tweet where there was a really good update.
[1166] Like, somebody had a baby.
[1167] Let's, that's got a, can we get the baby one at the top?
[1168] And it was like, well, how would we do that?
[1169] How would we know that that's the important one?
[1170] It's like, well, let's put a like button on it.
[1171] And let's see how many comments there are.
[1172] So if it gets a lot of likes or comments or retweets, let's show those first, and then we'll kind of mix in the most recent stuff.
[1173] And so when you're on Twitter, and then when Facebook did that, Facebook became so addicting because Facebook was on, what has got the most engagement put that first?
[1174] So every time you open up Facebook, get the dopamine hit.
[1175] And then what happens when you see the bar mitzvah photo or, you know, the enraging story about some injustice in the world?
[1176] you retweet it, you write a comment, you share it on your wall, and thus this addiction to the outrageous, the outlandish, the inspiring, occurred.
[1177] And it used to be like inspiring stuff, puppies or some heartwarming story.
[1178] And then it got dark.
[1179] And then people started to realize if I want to show up on the top of my friend's feeds, if I say something controversial or I'm outraged, I get to the top.
[1180] And then that's when outrage culture came in.
[1181] And then that's when cancel culture came in, everybody started to realize, if I try to cancel that person for being a racist or a sexist or a horrible human being or whatever they did that's wrong, I get to the top of the feed.
[1182] And we all collectively started playing a very weird video game, which is how outrage can we all be?
[1183] And to get to the top of the list.
[1184] And then, of course, with Trump, he realized it.
[1185] And he's like, okay, yeah, I'm just going to make fun of a celebrity and I get more retweets.
[1186] Okay, I'm going to make fun of Rosie O'Donnell for being overweight or something.
[1187] And he just starts attacking people and people like, oh my God, what did he say?
[1188] And he copied that from Howard Stern because he was in New York and he used to be on Howard Stern.
[1189] And Howard Stern took over all the dialogue in the 80s and 90s because he was outrageous.
[1190] And then Trump did that.
[1191] And then social media incorporated that into the operating system.
[1192] It became the actual device of social media was the ding, ding, ding, ding, we've got something incredible for you.
[1193] Everybody salivates like Pavlog's dog, you know.
[1194] Oh my God.
[1195] I can be outraged.
[1196] that's what's got to be undone.
[1197] And the only way for that to be undone is these things can't be billions of people where the most outrageous thing that happened in the world today in the last five minutes is now in front of you.
[1198] And that's why people have anxiety, they don't sleep, and they doom scroll all night is because the human mind was not meant to process this much suffering, pain, anger, and that's why we have all this mental health issues.
[1199] Also, you know, young girls or even adults, watching other people post their private jets and their vacations and, you know, yolo adventures on their Instagram.
[1200] To the point at which young people are now faking, being on private jets to put on their Instagram and creating like this crazy fomo around their Instagrams.
[1201] Like, we wonder why people are unhappy.
[1202] Like, if you think everybody's on a private jet going to some Michelin Star restaurant or whatever the coolest thing in the world is today, like going to the Grammys, going to whatever, Coachella, Burning Man. Like, you're like, oh, but I'm home.
[1203] I'm in my house.
[1204] Yeah.
[1205] And I'm not at Burning Man. Getting inadequate.
[1206] Exactly.
[1207] So this whole system is creating the wrong set of incentives.
[1208] I tend to believe it's possible to still have extremely high engagement and create a successful, profitable business while encouraging personal growth.
[1209] Like, encouraging people to be the best version of themselves.
[1210] I just think we haven't, we got the first.
[1211] generation of social networks.
[1212] I think a new generation needs to be built.
[1213] Is that your plan for a business?
[1214] Well, I have a longer -term plan in terms of ambition, which is I believe in being able to have deep connection between human and AI systems, like partners, friends.
[1215] There is a connection to there with social media.
[1216] I do think AI has a strong role to play in representing us, in guys, in guidance, us in how we consume social media.
[1217] So this algorithm that controls the feed for Facebook is a somewhat centralized algorithm.
[1218] But instead to give more power to the people, individuals to where each one of us have our own algorithm.
[1219] Bring your own algorithm.
[1220] Bring your own algorithm.
[1221] B -Y -O -A.
[1222] I like it.
[1223] Instead of bringing your own alcohol, bring your own algorithm.
[1224] Well, I mean, if you thought about it, if we came and said, I want, when I look at my Twitter feed, I would like to see the people with who are the most helpful in the world, generous, kind, intelligent, considered, you know, commenting on things that I don't already know about because I want to open my worldview.
[1225] That could be a beautiful thing for society.
[1226] And actually, Jack was talking about potentially on Twitter letting people bring their own algorithms and sort their feeds themselves.
[1227] This would be a wonderful thing.
[1228] I think it's one of the reasons Clubhouse has resonated is it's such a diverse, group of people that I've been able to drop in on conversations with people who are nothing like me and listen in and hear conversations that I wouldn't normally be privy to.
[1229] And I, my, everybody's like, oh, come join as a speaker.
[1230] I want to do a room with you.
[1231] I get asked every day, can we do a room, can we do a room, ask an angel investor, talk about startups.
[1232] And I'm like, my usage of Clubhouse is going on my Peloton treadmill, putting Clubhouse on, picking a room, and just listening.
[1233] Yeah.
[1234] It's so delightful for me. as a podcaster where my job is to talk, to sit back and just put in a couple of miles and play chess and listen to a clubhouse discussion that is about relationships or, you know, some fashion or hip hop or whatever it is that I'm not part of.
[1235] I just sit there and I listen and you learn.
[1236] It's like such a delightful day.
[1237] I always think about these kids who go to college and I always been so jealous of these Ivy League kids, they go and they're like, oh, I got to go to class.
[1238] And I'm like, I would just love to sit there and listen to professor.
[1239] Relax talk.
[1240] You know, like what a privilege to sit there and let somebody else drive and talk and listen and learn?
[1241] Yeah.
[1242] That's the beauty of podcasting, but of course Clubhouse creates a whole other experience where it's conversations is different.
[1243] I think it's going to be the in -between.
[1244] I like it as a you release your podcast.
[1245] Like, you and I are going to release this podcast, right?
[1246] And then at some point I'll have you on my pod when you launch your startup.
[1247] And then at some point somebody's going to be like, you and I will run into you, and I ran into you, I saw you were on Clubhouse the other night.
[1248] And I was busy, but I was almost going to click on you and say, let's start a room together.
[1249] But you and I will start a room together with Eric Weinstein or somebody or Sam Harris will jump in or Elon.
[1250] And we'll have a different experience, which would just shoot the shit.
[1251] And it'll act as like a fabric and a little filler between the tent pole podcasts.
[1252] Right?
[1253] Like you and Eric, you've done three, I think, with Eric?
[1254] Yeah, was your four.
[1255] I haven't released the fourth yet.
[1256] Oh, okay.
[1257] So I'm watched all three because I really thought you're U -Way and him, like, giving you advice.
[1258] is very interesting dynamic.
[1259] I thought it's very interesting dynamic.
[1260] And I find him like a fascinating cat.
[1261] We know everybody in common except we've never met.
[1262] It's very weird because you know you you think about the social graph in the real world.
[1263] This is why I think augmented reality is going to be such an amazing product.
[1264] I just have one killer feature I want for augmented reality.
[1265] We wear our glasses and when I look at you above your head, I see the relationships we have and the things we've done together, right?
[1266] So I see, oh, you both know Sam Harris, or you had Elon on the podcast on this date, or you and I were both at Burning Man in 2016.
[1267] So it's the most meaningful element of our connection in the network, yeah.
[1268] And then, because we would discover that through small talk, but imagine you're like at a party and you look and it just, people glow.
[1269] And you just see a glow around a person and like green means you have some financial relationship, blue means you have some friendship one, or yellow means you have friendship one.
[1270] Blue means you know nothing about each other.
[1271] You have no connections.
[1272] You're like, wow, these blue people have no connection to.
[1273] These people, that one's glowing red.
[1274] We know seven or more people in common.
[1275] And those are the seven people.
[1276] Oh, we should go talk about how we know each other.
[1277] And that sort of happened with Facebook member or MySpace where you were like, oh, you know that person, friend of a friend?
[1278] Yeah.
[1279] But that's what there's going to be, AR's like, this is why I think if Apple figures out AR or Snapchat Yeah, and they just have those glasses.
[1280] You know, forget about VR.
[1281] It's just nauseating and whatever.
[1282] But AR, where you put the glasses on, you see the real world, but you augmented.
[1283] You make, just like you were saying, you make it frictionless, a very low friction to make a deep human connection because you have all the basic elements there are ready.
[1284] Now think about the unintended consequences of what I just described.
[1285] It could get creepy and weird.
[1286] The privacy thing, yeah.
[1287] I mean, people will opt.
[1288] Here's the thing, people, your privacy is an illusion.
[1289] Like, all this information is there.
[1290] And then people are more than willing to give up privacy in exchange for some value.
[1291] You know, it's a value trade.
[1292] And giving, if my Tesla, when I'm driving in the direction of my house just starts the navigation and saves me three clicks and that friction's gone, I'm willing to give Tesla my location and my home address, right?
[1293] I'm not willing to give Zuckerberg anything because I don't trust them, but you get the idea.
[1294] I mean, it will be that way with like DNA and other things at some point.
[1295] We'll just be like, yeah, just take my DNA.
[1296] Like, I don't, yeah, sure, people can look and see that I'm a mental midget and my IQ's like lower than I don't want to bring the bell curve up or whatever, but you could figure out like, if we all put our DNA in a sequenced online and I'm like, oh, yeah, you know, Lex has got 10 more IQ points than JCal and, you know, Sam's got 10 more than Lex.
[1297] And all of a sudden people are like, oh, bed out of shape about it.
[1298] But what if we did that?
[1299] And they were like, and by the way, you also, all three of you are going to get Parkinson's, unless you do X, Y, and Z, unless you eat more blueberries or whatever we figure out.
[1300] They're going to accept it pretty quickly.
[1301] Yeah, that's...
[1302] Brave New World.
[1303] Brave New World.
[1304] I have to ask you, you're just like you were saying, you're one of the world experts in investing in startups.
[1305] In startups.
[1306] Yeah, VC and so on.
[1307] From the perspective of the startup, I was always kind of skeptical.
[1308] of raising money, it feels like people do it too quickly, too easily.
[1309] But I don't know what the hell I'm talking about.
[1310] When is the, when should a startup raise money?
[1311] And from the perspective of the investor, when should the investor invest in a startup?
[1312] Like, is there a timing thing here?
[1313] Is there, what, yeah, what?
[1314] It's a very important question because the venture capital community is only going to fund, you know, sub 1 % of enterprises started in the United States every year, like maybe 10 basis points of them, like one in a thousand.
[1315] And the reason is it's jet fuel.
[1316] You only want to take that money if you really want to build something big and you want to build it fast.
[1317] And when you put jet fuel behind a startup, as we've seen with other rockets, things can blow up and people can die.
[1318] You know, it's not people literally dying, but the business can go up and smoke, right?
[1319] Like rockets get blown up all the time at SpaceX as part of their ambitious plans.
[1320] And startups, seven out of ten startups we invest in go to zero.
[1321] Now, if you were to start the business and only build it off customer revenue and use your own money and go nice and slow and grow 10 % a year, the chances of you blowing up the rocket are very low because you're riding a bicycle.
[1322] You can go a little faster, but the bicycle can only go so fast.
[1323] And once you start taking that money, the way the portfolio, the way venture capital is constructed, as a, in the mix of like MIT or Harvard's endowments is, you know, we're going to put some money into safe things.
[1324] And then we're going to have these really binary things over here.
[1325] And they probably put 5 % in venture capital traditionally.
[1326] It's grown to 20 % just as a function of how successful it's been.
[1327] So, you know, the Harvard's of the world in MIT is probably one five or 10 % in venture, but it's grown to 25 % because, you know, companies like Airbnb and Uber have grown so big and Tesla.
[1328] But the goal is in these venture funds, we're going to invest in 30 names, and one or two of them are going to return three times the capital we've deployed.
[1329] So it's a $300 million fund, and there's 30 names, and they each got $10 million.
[1330] That means one of the $10 million is going to return the fund plus.
[1331] So that means it has to grow 30x and then 60x to double the fund.
[1332] And you're really supposed to be doing three times cash on cash.
[1333] So that $300 million fund's expectation is in 10 years to return $900 billion.
[1334] Triple the person's money, as opposed to the stock market, which doubles your money in the same period.
[1335] So you're supposed to do 25 % annualized returns in order to triple the money.
[1336] And maybe I have an outlying chance of four or five times the money, which does happen sometimes when you have an outlier in your portfolio.
[1337] Uber or Facebook was.
[1338] And what that means is the venture capitalist behavior on the game they're playing is different than you as the founder.
[1339] You as the founder, you may really care about this, and it dying really matters to you.
[1340] And then you've got a venture capital who's like, we're betting on 30 names, we need two of them to hit it out of the park, maybe three, and nothing else is meaningful.
[1341] So now you start thinking about the game theory there.
[1342] You're dealing with, you know, money that is coming in that only care about you going 100x.
[1343] Yes.
[1344] It's a whole different ballgame.
[1345] Whereas if you build off revenue, you don't have to do that.
[1346] And if you look at a company likecom .com, we invested at $5 million.
[1347] The next round they did was $250.
[1348] They were so capital efficient that they grew from $10 ,000 a month in revenue to millions of dollars a month in revenue over those four years since we invested and they didn't raise money in between.
[1349] Wow.
[1350] It was unbelievable.
[1351] And I've only seen this happen three or four times.
[1352] So it doesn't happen all this capital efficient, meaning based on customer revenue alone plus some small amount of fundraising, you're able to go.
[1353] Like, how hard is it to do that?
[1354] It takes extreme product market fit.
[1355] You have to have a great price for your product that has a great margin.
[1356] Yeah.
[1357] And if you're doing something in hardware, it's probably impossible because it's super capital intensive.
[1358] So it's probably got to be a software business.
[1359] Hardware businesses take a lot more.
[1360] Do venture capital is getting in the way at all of the business?
[1361] Or do it?
[1362] to get out of the way.
[1363] If you get young venture capitalists who are starting their career, they're very nervous and scared because they're putting all these bets.
[1364] And then there's a very weird thing that happens.
[1365] The bad news comes first.
[1366] So companies that don't work out go out of business immediately.
[1367] So if it's not going to be calm or Robin Hood or Uber, you know you have one of those great successes somewhere in your 5, 6, 7, 8 as an investor.
[1368] What is the first five years like, the first five years, you feel like an idiot.
[1369] Because you, let's say you make these 10 bets.
[1370] In year two, two or three of them come back and they don't have product market fit and they're out of money.
[1371] And they say, can we have more money?
[1372] And you say, no, you have to go get it from somebody else because you have to prove that there's still a market for it.
[1373] We may keep our pro rata.
[1374] We may put a little bit in to maintain our percentage ownership, but we're not going to give you another big chunk of money.
[1375] And that company dies.
[1376] So now you've got 10 million, poof, up in smoke.
[1377] Boom, 10 million up in smoke.
[1378] So this is called the J -curve where your performance goes down and then it's only in years four, five, and six it starts going up.
[1379] And what you're seeing right now is the people who started like I did in 2000, you know, just bit 11, 12 years ago in 2009 I started investing.
[1380] We all look like geniuses.
[1381] Why?
[1382] We're at the end of the cycle.
[1383] We invested after when the stock market was on the floor after the financial crisis and it's gone straight up since.
[1384] So everybody looked, there's a couple little blips in there, but generally speaking, there hasn't been like a major crack.
[1385] With the exception of the pandemic crash, but that bounced right back.
[1386] And so, you know, it takes a decade to figure out if you're good at it.
[1387] And then if the market crashes again, everybody feels like in and again, the cycle starts again.
[1388] So you are now, as a founder, you are now inserting yourself into that casino.
[1389] And now you've got all these other forces pushing and pulling.
[1390] And you're growing, let's say your company was growing 50%.
[1391] You feel like, wow, I'm successful.
[1392] I made a million dollars last year, and now I'm doing a million and a half.
[1393] And the first thing of VC is going to say, is how do we try?
[1394] triple.
[1395] We're growing too slow.
[1396] See, but that's like you said, that beautifully is a rocket fuel.
[1397] It's, uh, in, in the sense, it's a kind of motivation.
[1398] It's a drive.
[1399] I mean, it's a positive.
[1400] So if you want that.
[1401] Yes.
[1402] If you want that.
[1403] If you want that, if you want to go to Navy SEAL school, you're going to be in pain and they're going to put that hose in your face while you're underwater with your hands tied behind your back in the pool and you're going to be choking and you may have to do CPR on you in like every couple of years, tragically, somebody dies in Navy sales school.
[1404] Yeah.
[1405] Well, does it mean we're getting rid of the Navy Seals?
[1406] Rock, if he dies, he dies.
[1407] I don't know if you know David Goggins is by any chance.
[1408] I do.
[1409] I mean, I don't know personally, but oh my lord.
[1410] So I'm running 48 miles together with him in person in a month.
[1411] What?
[1412] You're doing an ultramarathon?
[1413] With him and probably other stuff because he enjoys just breaking people, making them cry.
[1414] Oh my God, I'm so jelly.
[1415] So, no, I, well, I offered, we agreed a while ago to do a podcast.
[1416] And he's like, oh, yeah, come.
[1417] We'll do it this date.
[1418] Is he in the Bay Area?
[1419] I don't know where the hell he is, but we're doing it.
[1420] And I don't think I'm supposed to say where it is, but it's not anywhere close to anywhere of this.
[1421] It's in the middle of nowhere.
[1422] But he seems to be in a bunch of different locations.
[1423] Like, he's in Oregon or something like that.
[1424] What does he do for outside of writing books and being inspiration?
[1425] Does he actually train people or like, you know, life coach or what are you doing?
[1426] He's just, he's a full -time insane.
[1427] Like, he fights forest fires like for a few months a year.
[1428] as a farmer like unpaid labor like he you know there's a bunch of people who are like him like navy seals and so on that kind of make a career automotivational speak and all that kind of stuff he's not interested in any of that he's literally interested in uh just doing hard shit all the time breaking himself breaking himself he seems like he wants to break himself and that that book is amazing and the audio book's amazing when he's talking about how fatty was and how he just had to go and keep running and his legs are broken and he's just super pain and he just goes through it it's really inspiring the inspiring thing also are you going to videotape yourself doing this i can't wait to see you get destroyed yeah well this is going to be so entertaining for the for the lax audience the pain uh but the other inspiring thing is he's he's happily married oh good and there's a partnership there that's you know everybody finds uh this attention as a push and pull that's beautiful i think uh But, and speaking of beautiful push and pool, how about that transition?
[1429] Yeah, here we go.
[1430] You and Chimot, he's a friend of yours.
[1431] Bestie.
[1432] We're besties.
[1433] Yeah.
[1434] Good friend.
[1435] I mean, he's, there's very few people in my life, him, Elon, David Sachs, John Brockman's.
[1436] Very few people have supported me as much as those folks.
[1437] I mean, I'm a huge debt.
[1438] So he's also co -host on the All -In podcast.
[1439] We taped episode 21 today.
[1440] Oh, today?
[1441] Yeah.
[1442] Every Friday now.
[1443] to do every Friday.
[1444] They're addicted like me and you are to podcast.
[1445] So you're going to release it when?
[1446] It's probably released as we're sitting here.
[1447] Okay, beautiful.
[1448] I can't wait.
[1449] Special guest on it.
[1450] We had Draymond Green from the Warriors phone in, so we had our first guest.
[1451] Awesome.
[1452] Yeah, so it's really funny because he plays poker with us and we're all besties.
[1453] So, yeah.
[1454] Beautiful.
[1455] So you guys went pretty heated against each other versus Rob on Robin.
[1456] Yes.
[1457] Maybe there's just two things I want to ask.
[1458] First, on the actual Robin Hood discussion and the Wall Street best discussion.
[1459] Can you steal man in his argument?
[1460] What was the nature of the disagreement?
[1461] Where, where, yeah, what, what is the little, because I don't think it's as big as a space as it came off as sounding.
[1462] What is the nature of the disagreement?
[1463] He felt that Robin Hood turned off trading because the hedge funds told them to and that they were bowing down to the pressure of the hedge funds.
[1464] That's not true, but in a vacuum of information, you know what happens to people's minds.
[1465] Conspiracy theories abound, and sometimes there is a conspiracy theory, and sometimes there's just the appearance of impropriety or a bunch of related things.
[1466] Like, when you look at the Trump situation with Russia, like, was Trump trying to coordinate with Russia, or were the Russians just screwing with a bunch of, like, neophyte, idiotic dipshits like, you know, Donald Trump Jr., who don't know any better?
[1467] And they don't know that you shouldn't meet with the Russians.
[1468] And if you do meet with the Russians, you are probably a useful idiot.
[1469] You probably should tell the FBI.
[1470] Like, they're just a bunch of idiots in all likelihood.
[1471] Who knows?
[1472] And there's a vacuum of information.
[1473] And there's a vacuum of information.
[1474] We don't know.
[1475] And the Russians are trying to compromise everybody.
[1476] So would you call it a conspiracy or would you call it an attempted, you know, conspiracy?
[1477] There was no conspiracy here.
[1478] What it was, was Robin Hood needed to raise billions of dollars to say solvent.
[1479] in all likelihood, uh, and they weren't allowed to talk about it.
[1480] So they were forced into not talking about it in all likelihood and had to come up with that money or shut down.
[1481] And then what got me upset with Chamath and we had a talk afterwards that people don't know about, I'll talk about it here for the first time.
[1482] On Sunday, we had to have a little, we had to air it out.
[1483] Yeah, in the episode after you guys, it sounded like you've had a private, you've made up.
[1484] We had a private discussion, just one on one.
[1485] And we said, listen, we love each other.
[1486] we're besties.
[1487] We've always been there for each other.
[1488] What happened here?
[1489] And what happened there is, I'm fiercely loyal to my folks, whether it's Chimoth or Travis from Uber or Sacks or whoever.
[1490] I'm just a loyal guy.
[1491] And I'm always right or die with my founders.
[1492] If I invest in them, even if they make a mistake and Uber made plenty of mistakes, I always went on CNBC on my podcast and said, hey, we're going to fix these things.
[1493] I'm in touch with the team.
[1494] Mistakes were made.
[1495] We're going to solve them.
[1496] This is a group of people with great intent who want.
[1497] to make the world a better place.
[1498] And you know what?
[1499] I was hated for a period of time with Uber.
[1500] I was hated for it last week with Robin Hood.
[1501] I got a lot of blowback.
[1502] But I think in both of those cases, eventually I was right.
[1503] Uber's doing great stuff in the world.
[1504] Robin Hood's doing great stuff in the world.
[1505] And I like to be loyal to my investments and my partners to just, I feel like if you invest and you're on the team, you know, you have really three choices.
[1506] You can either fight for your team.
[1507] You can go silent or you can throw your team under the bus.
[1508] And I've watched investors throw the team that they invested in that made them a bunch of money under the bus, not acceptable to me. And being quiet, it's not acceptable to me. So I always ask the founder, do you want me to, is it okay if I go out and defend you publicly?
[1509] If they say yes, I do it.
[1510] That's beautiful, by the way, because what else do we have in this world, if not friendship?
[1511] Loyalty means everything to me. I grew up in Brooklyn, where if you were not loyal and you, you know, and you were not loyal to your crew, then you were a Ronan.
[1512] You were, you know, out there on your own, flailing in the, you know, trust me, you do not want to be on your own in 1970s, 80s, Brooklyn, Manhattan.
[1513] Like, you need to have a crew with you.
[1514] I've gotten into, you know, you don't want to get into a fight with 10 guys and be alone.
[1515] Or just be with, you need a crew to survive.
[1516] So I just learned early, and my dad, who owned a bar, just drilled into me being loyal.
[1517] And so for whatever reason, I'm a bulldog when it comes to loyalty.
[1518] And Schumath came out and said, you know, these guys need to go to jail and their scumbags and I'm trying to defend them.
[1519] And I'm in a position where I can't defend them because I don't have complete information.
[1520] There is no complete information.
[1521] It's in the heat of the moment.
[1522] And then it becomes the number one story.
[1523] And it's my number three investment.
[1524] And Chimoth has a competing company, SoFi.
[1525] Yeah.
[1526] And he's killing my guys.
[1527] And then I started killing his guys.
[1528] Yes.
[1529] And then all of a sudden we're like, wait a second, we're best friends.
[1530] Yes.
[1531] And we're swinging our swords at each other.
[1532] And we're a group of the seven samurai who fight together.
[1533] When did we turn on each other?
[1534] And then everybody else who's on the pod, David's, who, you know, both on the spectrum a bit, they got a little asperger's or whatever.
[1535] No offense, Lex.
[1536] None taken.
[1537] I'm not saying, you know, there is a, you know, you're into AI and, you know, you might be somewhere.
[1538] It's not a coincidence.
[1539] Anyway, we upgraded the two David's firmware.
[1540] We're going to upgrade your firmware after this.
[1541] I'll give you, yeah, you're on the 1 .5, you have the three emotions now, or should we add fourth?
[1542] Do you want to go with joy?
[1543] I'm in the 2 .0 already.
[1544] You're on the 2 .0.
[1545] You got the joy.
[1546] Yeah, good.
[1547] That's difficult.
[1548] It's difficult.
[1549] You'll get there.
[1550] Just let it happen, Lex.
[1551] Just let the joy happen.
[1552] So anyway, we just talked about it offline.
[1553] And we decided, like, listen, we didn't pregame that episode.
[1554] And I happened to be skiing with my family.
[1555] I had taken the first, like, vacation since this goddamn pandemic started.
[1556] And I was having a wonderful time.
[1557] And then this whole thing blows up.
[1558] I'm coming off the mountain.
[1559] Just, you know, having a great time with my daughter skiing.
[1560] And, you know, and then I'm mixing it up with him.
[1561] And, you know, he had a short fuse about it.
[1562] because he was triggered, he told me, because he really feels like he's fighting to defend, you know, the every man. And I was like, that's what my team's doing.
[1563] That's why they named the company Robin Hood.
[1564] Yeah.
[1565] We're on the same side here.
[1566] And then over time, we've started to see the explanation come out.
[1567] And, you know, people who are friends are going to have disagreements.
[1568] In the podcast, it happened to happen very publicly.
[1569] And we didn't know it was going to become the number one story in the world.
[1570] If Trump still had his Twitter handle, this would not have been a story.
[1571] Yeah.
[1572] Trump would have said something about GameStop and he would have co -opted the entire conversation.
[1573] So in a way, going back to our censorship discussion, I might actually be in favor of Trump being censored only because, only because how delightful has it been since January 20th that we can all focus on something other than him.
[1574] Yeah.
[1575] He was exhausting.
[1576] I mean, the amount of cycles he took on our processors.
[1577] unalvised the, uh, the petition.
[1578] And now this is a little bit more of a distributed, like this.
[1579] Yeah, everybody gets a chance to be the number one new story.
[1580] Everybody gets a chance to discuss it.
[1581] But so on a scale of one to 10, how much do you love, uh, Chimoth?
[1582] Oh, 11.
[1583] I mean, I love Chimoth.
[1584] I mean, we played cards last night.
[1585] We're, we're besties.
[1586] And, you know, I would, I would, I would literally jump in front of a bullet for him.
[1587] I mean, what's the lesson in that discussion?
[1588] Because it was super, I wouldn't, I think the love was felt and the respect was felt throughout.
[1589] Even when you guys, you guys, are going pretty vicious on each other.
[1590] Is there a lesson to be learned?
[1591] Do you regret any of that conversation?
[1592] No, I mean, I think he told me that he regretted some of the things he said.
[1593] He said publicly on the podcast, like, listen, I was a little hot.
[1594] I may have said things in the heat of the moment.
[1595] But I don't live with too much regret because I always think about intent.
[1596] And it's one of the nuance and intent have been totally lost.
[1597] The idea that we could have any kind of a nuanced discussion about things seems to have been forgotten.
[1598] And the fact that people don't look at people's needs.
[1599] intent.
[1600] If you hurt somebody's feelings or you disrespect somebody or you do something mean or whatever, I always look at the intent, you know, and I've had people attack me and I look at the intent and I'm like, that person feels bad about themselves.
[1601] Or maybe I said something and I insulted them and that's why their blowbacks there.
[1602] So I always try to think, what's the intent of the person?
[1603] And then almost universally, you talk to somebody and you find out you ascribe some crazy intent that's not there.
[1604] And they're like, oh, yeah, you know what happened?
[1605] I got in a fight with my spouse, and I didn't sleep last night, and I've had a lot of anxiety about my business, and I just snapped and said something about you.
[1606] And it's like, oh, okay.
[1607] Like, I literally had somebody on Twitter this past summer.
[1608] I had said something.
[1609] I was complaining about a New York Times journalist and something I thought was wrong.
[1610] And this person was a fan of that journalist.
[1611] And they went, I kid you not, onto my social media account, found a picture I'd taken about how blue the sky was one day.
[1612] They reverse image search, the tree line, found the tree line on Google image search somehow with a reverse image search, found an old listing that some broker had listed on their website of my house, and then posted my home address, the value of my home, and docks me on Twitter.
[1613] And I'm like, what is going on here?
[1614] the person.
[1615] And I look them up and they work in private equity in Boston.
[1616] And I look and I'm like, this person works in July 4th week.
[1617] So, and I, when I look at the person's LinkedIn, we have seven people in common.
[1618] So going back to the air conversation real go.
[1619] Yeah.
[1620] I'm like, okay, this person literally just docks me. I asked him to take it down.
[1621] They told me they won't take it down.
[1622] And then I look at it.
[1623] So then I DM him back on Instagram, on Twitter.
[1624] And I said, by the way, your boss, Susan?
[1625] and I know seven people in common and these are the seven people here's a screenshot what is she going to think when I call her on Monday and you've doxed me here's my phone number if you'd like to talk he calls me I said what's going on why would you do this he's like well I really pissed off about what you said about this person I was like you understand I've had like two or three stalkers and anybody who's in high profile like I am like or medium profile you're going to have weird things happen you literally put my home address you put my family at risk what if I put your home address on my, I have 400 ,000 followers or 300 ,000 followers, you have like 300.
[1626] What if I post your address?
[1627] He's like, well, I wish you wouldn't do that.
[1628] I was like, well, I asked you kindly to take my address down.
[1629] And I said, are you married?
[1630] I said, how old are you like 25 or something?
[1631] He's like, no, I'm 42.
[1632] I was like, you're 42 years old.
[1633] I said, are you married?
[1634] You have kids?
[1635] He's like, yeah, I just had a baby like six months ago.
[1636] I'm like, you're home with your wife.
[1637] It's July 4th weekend.
[1638] You're doxing Jason Callaghanis because you're upset at me because I said, something about a New York Times writer.
[1639] He's like, yeah, this is the biggest mistake of my life.
[1640] I said, I tell you what, let's forget it ever happened.
[1641] And he wrote me back.
[1642] And he said, I just wanted to thank you for how you handled it.
[1643] My wife said I'm a complete fucking moron.
[1644] And he says to me on email.
[1645] My wife says a complete fucking moron.
[1646] And I'm really sorry, blah, blah, blah, blah.
[1647] And I wrote her back.
[1648] I said, I wrote her back.
[1649] And I said, my wife says the same thing to me all the time.
[1650] Welcome to the club.
[1651] It's totally fine.
[1652] But intent, nuance, it matters, right?
[1653] And the person could be having a bad day and they do something stupid they regret.
[1654] And what am I going to do?
[1655] Cancel the guy?
[1656] No. Or if I had called his boss, he would have been fired immediately.
[1657] Yeah.
[1658] And then I got to live with this guy, got fired, and he's got a kid.
[1659] And what is this personal destruction?
[1660] Why are we doing this to each other?
[1661] Life's hard enough.
[1662] Life's hard, right?
[1663] Like, just getting through the day's hard.
[1664] Yeah.
[1665] And that little bit of empathy, thinking about the intent of the person, allows you to then sort of de -escalate this kind of conversation that social media wants to escalate.
[1666] So social media wants to ask.
[1667] Yeah.
[1668] If this, in my younger years, I would have retweeted the guy's home class and my address and would have called his boss and tried to get him fired or whatever.
[1669] And it's like, now I'm just like, what, why are we attacking each other?
[1670] Life is so hard.
[1671] I mean, this is what the pandemic I think should make everybody realize is like, look at how hard it is.
[1672] Life is hard.
[1673] And then just think about all the people suffering right now who are.
[1674] are at home, the single mom or dad with two or three kids at home in public school.
[1675] Maybe they've been laid off and their kids aren't learning and they're in a tiny apartment.
[1676] I mean, this has been brutal for a lot of people, not to mention people losing loved ones or maybe some people got corona and now their lungs are still not right.
[1677] Can I ask you about love?
[1678] Oh, sure.
[1679] I'm feeling it, you know, like we're an hour or two here, Lex.
[1680] Yeah, you feel like we could become besties.
[1681] I feel like we got a bromance going here, Lex.
[1682] I feel it too.
[1683] I don't know if it's Eric Weinstein level, but I feel like it's close.
[1684] Yeah, I'm feeling the love.
[1685] But we talked about the, there's music to my ears, your whole rant on the Olympic nature of a startup.
[1686] Is there a role, like what role does love, family, friendship play in that brutal pursuit of excellence that is building a startup, building a company, or building creating anything new in this world?
[1687] Such a great question and totally unprepared for it.
[1688] Because I know nobody would ever ask me about that.
[1689] So I think it's why you've got quite a following on your podcast, is that you're able to ask these questions.
[1690] And I can tell one story because, you know, I don't talk about, I try not to talk about relationship with Elon that often because, you know, he's so famous now.
[1691] I mean, when we met, I used to go out to parties with him and people like, oh, my God, you're Jason Calcas.
[1692] I was like, yeah.
[1693] And, like, who's your friend?
[1694] I'm like, I was my friend Elon.
[1695] And they'd be like, what?
[1696] He's doing rocket ships?
[1697] But he's told this story publicly, so I can tell it.
[1698] And it would never talk about anything that he hasn't already talked about publicly, especially since he's so high profile, but it was pretty funny moment.
[1699] He, there was a moment in time when Tesla almost went out of business.
[1700] And you've probably heard the story many times, but it was during the financial crisis.
[1701] and they were running out of money.
[1702] And I said, you know, let's go get a steak.
[1703] And we're in L .A. We drove to Boa and I had my orange Tesla Roadster and he had his P1 or P2, like the red one that I think is in space now.
[1704] And we drove to the valet and we had a steak together and we're sitting there.
[1705] And I said, you know, I read the story in Gawker or whatever, you know, New York Times here.
[1706] You only got like five weeks of money left in Tesla.
[1707] He goes, it's not true.
[1708] I was like, oh, thank God.
[1709] And he goes, we have two weeks.
[1710] I was like, oh, God.
[1711] I was like, well, what's going on with the rocket ship company?
[1712] Yeah.
[1713] You know, like, you know, I know you did the one last month and don't you have one coming up?
[1714] He's like, yeah, we've got the third one coming up.
[1715] I was like, well, how's that going?
[1716] I said, well, we'd blow that one up.
[1717] There's no more SpaceX.
[1718] I was like, so two weeks of money left in Tesla and SpaceX, you blew up the first two rockets, you blow up the third, SpaceX is over.
[1719] He's like, yeah.
[1720] I was like, I can loan you a couple million dollars.
[1721] I don't have like a ton.
[1722] He's like, it's okay.
[1723] Our friend, beep, has loaned me some money.
[1724] And Elon's been super public about this.
[1725] I would never tell the story unless he hadn't been.
[1726] But he was talking, he never said who it was.
[1727] But somebody had loaned him money to keep him afloat.
[1728] He was functionally bankrupt.
[1729] I mean, he had the equity in the companies, but the equity was quickly becoming worth zero and the financial crisis.
[1730] And he's figuring out if he's going to go on vacation for Christmas or not, and he's on the phone trying to, you know, you know, save the, save both companies.
[1731] And I said, certainly there must be some good news.
[1732] And he takes out his Blackberry to date this conversation.
[1733] There are no iPhones.
[1734] It takes us Blackberry.
[1735] And he starts swiping.
[1736] And he says, don't tell anybody.
[1737] This is what I'm building.
[1738] And he shows me the Model S. And nobody knew that he was working on the Model S. We knew he was doing the roadster and was trying to save the company.
[1739] and I looked at it and I was like that's gorgeous it was the clay models so it was a full -sized clay model so there's human being standing around a clay version of this tiny little blackberry picture I'm scrolling through on the remember that little pad or the ball on the blackberry I'm scrolling through it I'm like this is fucking great and I just said to him it's like what's the range going to be and says well I think we get 250 miles I was like 250 miles like yeah I think it'll be the safest car ever I said what is it going to cost he says I think this could cost eventually 50, 60 ,000 dollars.
[1740] I said, Elon, if you make that car, you'll change the goddamn world.
[1741] You have to, this company must survive because the roadsters for like 2 ,000 people in the United States, this car is for every person in the United States.
[1742] Every single person in the United States will want this car if it's $50 ,000.
[1743] And maybe some of the people who, you have $20 ,000 or $30 ,000 cars won't be able to afford it, but they'll all want it.
[1744] It's gorgeous.
[1745] and he said, you really think so?
[1746] I said, yeah.
[1747] So I got home, and I talked to my wife, Jade, and I said, you have the checkbook?
[1748] She does all the finances and stuff like that, and pays everything the bills and whatever.
[1749] And I said, yeah, don't tell anybody.
[1750] Elon's making this great car.
[1751] And I wrote two checks for $50 ,000.
[1752] And I just took out a piece of paper, and I wrote, E, comma, love the new car, I'll take two.
[1753] And I signed it.
[1754] I kissed the two $50 ,000 checks, put them in the envelope, And I fed exed to him for Monday delivery.
[1755] And I said to Jade, that $100 ,000 is going to be gone in 48 hours because it will pay for one or two days of payroll on Tesla.
[1756] So we just added, like, instead of two weeks in row, he's got 12 days.
[1757] Yeah.
[1758] And the checks don't cash, but then I read a story that he's closed the money, saved the company, like, the next week or two.
[1759] And a couple of months later, the checks get cashed.
[1760] And I'm like, okay.
[1761] Three years later, I get an email, your reservation number, it's from Tesla, your reservation number is zero zero zero zero zero zero zero zero zero seven.
[1762] And then five seconds later, your reservation number one is zero zero zero seven.
[1763] And I forward the number one to Elon and I said, you know, I can't take number one.
[1764] I can't take that.
[1765] That's yours.
[1766] Yeah.
[1767] And it's like, oh, I got five of them.
[1768] And besides, you're the first person who ordered it.
[1769] And I was the first person who had seen it.
[1770] You're going to give me. You need to be tearyot.
[1771] I mean, that's a beautiful, that's a beautiful moment.
[1772] It was an incredible moment for both of us, and we talk about it sometimes, you know, those moments in time.
[1773] And to your point about love, that's like the darkest moment, one of the darkest moments in his life, probably.
[1774] I think it was, I could tell you it was the darkest period of his life, for sure.
[1775] And he's been very public about how dark that was.
[1776] And I think, you know, this is why I have great sympathy for the entrepreneurs of the world, like the suffering and the pain.
[1777] And when he talks about the suffering and the pain that all of these founders have felt, And then we were throwing rocks at them and we're criticizing them as they try to change the world and save humanity.
[1778] And in Tesla's case, I mean, they weren't, you know, they weren't like delivering pizza.
[1779] I mean, they were trying to get us off of fossil fuels.
[1780] Like this was a big, heady mission to literally save the environment, the planet, humanity.
[1781] And the way they shorted that stock and they attacked him, it was always perplexing to me why any human being who is standing on God's green earth would want to throw.
[1782] rocks at the guy who is trying to stem the dam of global warming that is about to engulf all of us.
[1783] How dare they?
[1784] Throw rocks at that guy.
[1785] There's so many people you could throw rocks at.
[1786] There's somebody who's making the jewel vaporizer.
[1787] Throw rocks at that scumbag.
[1788] No offense.
[1789] But like whoever's making the jewel things and is, you know, selling peanut colada flavor to 12 -year -olds.
[1790] Like throw rocks at them.
[1791] Somebody's doing something, you know, abhorrent, but not e. I mean, and yeah, anyway, that car is, you know, up the road here, sitting under a cover with 20 ,000 miles on it in my garage.
[1792] And then the roads are number 16s in the garage next to it.
[1793] And every day I walk by the two of them, and I get a warm feeling in my heart because I know he did it.
[1794] Yeah.
[1795] Against all odds.
[1796] Against all odds.
[1797] He pulled it off.
[1798] And it was that moment, that month in that 2000, I think it was January, it was probably December, January, December of 2008, I think.
[1799] It's just 12 years ago when you think about 13 years ago.
[1800] It was dark.
[1801] I mean, it was dark.
[1802] And they almost had the same thing happen, you know, in the Model 3 production in June of two years, three years ago.
[1803] And I remember him just trying to get the Model 3 out the door.
[1804] And the company almost crashed then.
[1805] Most of these companies have, you know, these kind of moments.
[1806] And I think friendship is you get what you give.
[1807] You get what you give.
[1808] And if you are there for people, You're going to feel so good about having done that.
[1809] And then the reciprocation effect, which you probably know very well, is so great in the world that any time you're kind to people, you build this incredible bond.
[1810] And then what are we at the end of the day, Lex, besides a series of memories with the people we love?
[1811] That's all it is.
[1812] It's just a series of memories and moments.
[1813] It's just moments.
[1814] You ever see Blade Runner?
[1815] Yes, of course.
[1816] Do you remember what Rucker Harris says at the end?
[1817] All of these memories gone, like tears in the rain?
[1818] I mean, that's our existence.
[1819] It just all goes away at some point.
[1820] It's just these drops of rain.
[1821] Each of those memories just like one snowflake or one drop of rain, and they're all lost at some point, but they're here now.
[1822] And that's why we have to be there for each other.
[1823] That's why I feel like what I do is so important in this world, and I get such great meaning out of it, just being a friend, just having these conversations.
[1824] what you're doing on your podcast, just talking to intelligent people and spreading the word and the disciple, the gospel of what they're saying and amplifying it, you're inspiring so many people.
[1825] Every podcast, you get 500 ,000 people, a million people watch these videos, and there's some kid in Sri Lanka or some little girl in Afghanistan who's going to stumble upon this on YouTube, and they're going to change the world in the next century because it's not just about America.
[1826] Oh, look, our story is almost over, right?
[1827] Like, we were the story of the last two or three hundred years.
[1828] I hope it keeps going.
[1829] But there's all these other places in the world, San Paolo and Africa, where people now have access to these videos.
[1830] And somebody will have this video and go, Elon did it.
[1831] Oh, and that guy, Jason, was his friend.
[1832] And, oh, and Lex does those interviews with the end.
[1833] Oh, yeah, I could do it too.
[1834] Your little magical moment of love amidst the suffering with Elon, because you've talked about it, it'll have these ripple effects.
[1835] It's fascinating to think about it.
[1836] So weird.
[1837] To come in new entrepreneurs being born, new, more love being put out there, in more support through these rough times when people are trying to create new things.
[1838] I mean, that's a beautiful thing.
[1839] That's a beautiful, I'm glad you think of friendship in this way.
[1840] I'm deeply grateful that you're loyal in the way you are.
[1841] Here's the thing.
[1842] It costs you nothing to make this invest.
[1843] either.
[1844] The amount of time it takes to be bitter or angry, sitting at home, to be disappointed, you could just channel that same amount of energy into being loyal, loving, kind, and there for people.
[1845] It just only takes the intention, right?
[1846] The water is going to, those emotions are going to flow, right?
[1847] Like Sam would always tell me when I was struggling in my life, and I talked to him, he'd say, you know, Jason, your brain is spewing all these ideas.
[1848] imagine you're sitting by a river and the river is all your ideas you are not a slave to any one of these ideas they're just whipping by like each of those little waves in the river you can pick one of those ideas out and look at it and examine it and either keep it or throw it back in the river and let it go and i was like wow sam that was like of my entire friendship with sam harris that was like the one moment where i was just like oh my god all my life i've wondered about all these thoughts in my head insecurities you know imposter syndrome.
[1849] Like, I didn't go to MIT.
[1850] You know, I'm not the smartest guy.
[1851] But somehow I made a career writing little 50K checks and now, you know, $3 million checks, but whatever, you know, little checks and being a journalist and doing this little podcast.
[1852] And it's ended up to something.
[1853] And I kind of, I'm proud of it.
[1854] I'm 50 and I'm kind of proud of what I did.
[1855] And I wake up every morning, I could retire, and I say, I kind of like what I do.
[1856] I kind of like having the conversation and writing the check.
[1857] and then being on somebody's team and I got offered to be in these giant mega funds and they said Jason you're in it you invest in 60 companies a year you know 500K at a time you put $30 million a year to work come work with us write one $150 million check and then you can go to Aspen and Cabo and Coachella and not work but why are you doing all this work it's like well the $50 million check is like it's like a formality it's just like being an ATM like The companies are already huge by that time.
[1858] I really want to meet the two people with the idea.
[1859] I want to meet them in year one.
[1860] Yes.
[1861] I want to meet them on day zero.
[1862] I want to be the guy who wrote the first, second, or third check.
[1863] I want a guy who wrote the 3 ,000th check, the last check.
[1864] It's fucking boring.
[1865] And make that basic human connection.
[1866] And also be there.
[1867] Be with them to the rough times.
[1868] Be with them with that first.
[1869] I mean, the first early successes, I mean, that's a beautiful.
[1870] So great.
[1871] When a founder.
[1872] and the team get product market fit, and you just know it's going to work?
[1873] Oh, man, Lex, it's, when Com would email me and they'd say, we edit, you know, the company's been growing, and we're not going to go out of business, but we edit some sleep stuff, and then we added this other function, and we have a streak now, and we grew 10X in the last, you know, three months, and we're good, you know, it's like, ah, that's nice, it's real nice.
[1874] It's a nice feeling.
[1875] Well, because so many of them die.
[1876] We talked about that J -curve early.
[1877] Imagine it's like all these baby turtles going out to the ocean and the seagulls are ripping them to shreds and then their sharks are eating them.
[1878] But then like a couple of the turtles make it and they become wise old, 100 -year -old turtles.
[1879] Yeah.
[1880] You know?
[1881] And you're like, yep, I remember when you catched and like all of your brothers and sisters were ripped to shreds by the seagulls and you made it into the water.
[1882] And then you made it out to the deep water.
[1883] It's a pretty great feeling.
[1884] I think there's no better way to end it.
[1885] There it is.
[1886] The talk of the cruelty of life, that's suffering that is life.
[1887] And the love amidst the suffering.
[1888] Jason, I've been a fan of yours for a long time.
[1889] You're one of the most special people in Silicon Valley.
[1890] Thanks, Lex.
[1891] And maybe you'll also call me in one of the rough times.
[1892] Oh, yeah.
[1893] I'm sure there'll be many.
[1894] There will be, yeah.
[1895] You know, there's one expression.
[1896] Nobody gets there alone.
[1897] Nobody gets there alone.
[1898] And anybody who thinks that they got there alone is delusional and kidding themselves.
[1899] And they will at some point wake up and realize, oh, shit, there were a lot of people help me get here.
[1900] I need to write a couple of gratitude letters.
[1901] I got a gratitude letter the other day from a friend of mine who I helped.
[1902] And I was one of the, you know about these gratitude letters people are writing?
[1903] It turns out Martin Seligman in, um, uh, was it authentic happiness?
[1904] Anyway, the guy who really studied happiness and joy, turns out one of the greatest amplifiers of joy in your life is to thank somebody for doing something for you.
[1905] And somebody who I had helped just wrote me a letter, and I got in Christmas, and I had the stack of Christmas cards, and I hadn't opened them.
[1906] And it's the second week of January, and I was just getting to, like, the last stack, and I opened it up, and I almost missed it.
[1907] It's an incredibly heartwarming letter about how meaningful, like, certain things I had done to, help along the way and how he'd always appreciated my counsel.
[1908] And I was just like, well, this happened 25 years ago.
[1909] And you wrote this letter now.
[1910] And it just hit me like a ton of bricks.
[1911] And I was just like, wow, you know, if you're hearing this, there's probably 10 people who are really instrumental in your lives, in your lives, go ahead and call them on the phone, write them email or even better, just write a letter and send it to them and just tell them you're thankful.
[1912] And let me tell you something, the amplification of joy in your life will go 100x, a hundred X when you tell somebody you love them and that you really appreciate them and that what they did for you was magical.
[1913] So just, and you can look it up, gratitude.
[1914] Gratitude is like one of these incredible forces.
[1915] Amen.
[1916] I'm grateful.
[1917] I'm grateful.
[1918] Wasted all this time with me. I love it.
[1919] Thanks for listening to this conversation with Jason Colicanis, and thank you to our sponsors, Brave Browser, Linode Linux Virtual Machines, 4Sigmatic Mushroom Coffee, and Rev Speech -to -Tex service.
[1920] Click the sponsor links to get a discount to support this podcast.
[1921] And now, let me leave you with some words from the man himself, Jason Colicanis.
[1922] The number one reason a startup shuts down is not running out of money.
[1923] The number one reason a startup fails is that the founder gives up.
[1924] Thank you for listening and hope to see you next time.